New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-09-30, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 31–12 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +11.00 total EPA, and +5.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.00 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+6.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins to JAX 47 for 21 yards (33-J.Adams).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +11.00 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Moncrief · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +9.07 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.81 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Yeldon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.78 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
4. 4 J. O'Shaughnessy · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Leggett · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.15 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Kearse · New York Jets · Receiving · +0.98 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Herndon · New York Jets · Receiving · +0.97 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Seferian-Jenkins · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.85 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Yeldon (B. Bortles pass) (Q2 31:56)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Moncrief (B. Bortles pass) (Q3 18:47)
• New York Jets — J. Leggett (S. Darnold pass) (Q4 11:21)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Yeldon (Q4 0:27)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q1 48:45)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 39:28)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 30:34)
• New York Jets — J. Myers (Q3 19:58)
• New York Jets — J. Myers (Q4 12:56)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 14 (Q1 48:45) — (3:45) 4-J.Lambo 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 13–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 4 (Q2 39:28) — (9:28) 4-J.Lambo 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 31 (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 24-T.Yeldon for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 31:47) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 36 (Q2 30:34) — (:34) 4-J.Lambo 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 9–3. Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the JAX 98 (Q3 27:27) — (12:27) 20-I.Crowell left end tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (99-M.Dareus, 93-C.Campbell).; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q3 19:58); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 67 (Q3 18:47) — (3:47) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 18:40) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 9–6. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q4 12:56) — (12:56) 2-J.Myers 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 86-J.Leggett for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 0:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 88-A.Seferian-Jenkins to JAX 47 for 21 yards (33-J.Adams). [WPA +6.5% · EPA +2.56]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 24-T.Yeldon for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.6% · EPA +3.54]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 34:39) — (4:39) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 12-D.Westbrook to JAX 49 for 27 yards (21-M.Claiborne). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.27]
• New York Jets (Q1 59:31) — (14:31) 29-B.Powell left tackle to NYJ 29 for 9 yards (44-M.Jack). PENALTY on JAX-44-M.Jack, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 29. [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.00]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 32:33) — (2:33) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short left to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy to NYJ 38 for 17 yards (58-D.Lee). [WPA +5.1% · EPA +2.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 12:53) — (12:53) 24-T.Yeldon up the middle to JAX 29 for 4 yards (54-A.Williamson). FUMBLES (54-A.Williamson), RECOVERED by NYJ-22-T.Johnson at JAX 30. 22-T.Johnson to JAX 5 for 25 yards (5-B.Bortles). The Rep [WPA -2.3% · EPA -7.07]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:47) — (3:47) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.7% · EPA +5.56]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 5:51) — (5:51) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short left to 12-D.Westbrook to NYJ 16 for 7 yards (41-B.Skrine). FUMBLES (41-B.Skrine), RECOVERED by NYJ-41-B.Skrine at NYJ 16. 41-B.Skrine to NYJ 16 for no gain (12 [WPA -2.5% · EPA -4.17]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 24-T.Yeldon for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.6% · EPA +3.54]

Quarterback report card

B.Bortles led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 45 dropbacks · 64.4% completion · +5.1% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +11.00 total EPA
• S.Darnold (New York Jets) · 44 dropbacks · 38.6% completion · -11.2% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -11.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.01 vs -0.21), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 drives, +0.88 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 14 drives, -15.21 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Bortles (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• S. Darnold (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 48:45 · NYJ 14 · Score 0-3
   (3:45) 4-J.Lambo 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 39:28 · NYJ 4 · Score 0-6
   (9:28) 4-J.Lambo 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 31:56 · NYJ 31 · Score 0-12
   (1:56) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 24-T.Yeldon for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 31:47 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-13
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:34 · NYJ 36 · Score 0-16
   (:34) 4-J.Lambo 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q3 27:27 · JAX 98 · Score 0-18
   (12:27) 20-I.Crowell left end tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (99-M.Dareus, 93-C.Campbell).
7. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 19:58 · JAX 9 · Score 3-18
   (4:58) 2-J.Myers 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards. Penalty on JAX-21-A.Bouye, Defensive Offside, declined.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 18:47 · NYJ 67 · Score 3-24
   (3:47) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 18:40 · NYJ 15 · Score 3-25
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 12:56 · JAX 20 · Score 6-25
    (12:56) 2-J.Myers 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 11:21 · JAX 2 · Score 12-25
    (11:21) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short middle to 86-J.Leggett for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:27 · NYJ 1 · Score 12-31
    (:27) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.