FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 8, 2011 · 10 min read

New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2010 Week 18 Recap

Jets defeat Colts 17–16 in Week 18

P.Garcon led Fantasy Impact as Jets prevailed in a 17–16 Week 18 finish.

New York Jets 17 12–5 Winner
Final 17–16
Indianapolis Colts 16 10–7
Winner
New York Jets
Final score
17–16
Halftime
New York Jets 0–7 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
M. Sanchez
FantasyHQ MVP
P.Garcon
Game date
January 8, 2011

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • Laken Tomlinson
    Laken Tomlinson 16 CAR · 82 YDS · 2 TD +5.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Bryan Edwards
    Bryan Edwards 4 REC · 62 YDS +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Cotchery 2 REC · 17 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • P.Garcon 5 REC · 112 YDS · 1 TD +9.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Paul Manning 18/27 · 219 YDS · 1 TD +9.0 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Tamme 5 REC · 46 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New York Jets defeated the Indianapolis Colts 17–16 in Week 18 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-08, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+35.5% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New York Jets swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-08, the New York Jets took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Sanchez (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with +0.37 total EPA, and -2.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.70 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+35.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (:03) 2-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
New York Jets07100017
Indianapolis Colts7360016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Garcon · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.70 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  2. 2 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +8.98 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Tomlinson · New York Jets · Rushing · +5.01 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Edwards · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.34 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Tamme · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Rhodes · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +0.73 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Sanchez · New York Jets · Passing · +0.37 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.01 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Garcon — IND · Receiving

P. Garcon posted the highest total EPA (+9.70) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +1.39 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.91 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — P. Garcon (P. Manning pass) (Q2 35:35)
  • New York Jets — L. Tomlinson (Q3 24:53)
  • New York Jets — L. Tomlinson (Q4 10:03)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 19:59)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 4:41)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 0:57)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 0:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 57 (Q2 35:35) — (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 35:25) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q3 24:53) — (9:53) (Run formation) 75-R.Turner reported in as eligible. 21-L.Tomlinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 24:48) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 29 (Q3 19:59) — (4:59) 4-A.Vinatieri 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–6. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 10:03) — (10:03) (Run formation) 75-R.Turner reported in as eligible. 21-L.Tomlinson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 9:59) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 14 (Q4 4:41) — (4:41) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 32 (Q4 0:57) — (:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the IND 14 (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 2-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New York Jets (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 2-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford. [WPA +35.5% · EPA +0.25]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:57) — (:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee. [WPA +22.2% · EPA +1.30]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 6:36) — (6:36) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 85-P.Garcon to NYJ 18 for 21 yards (31-A.Cromartie). [WPA +19.1% · EPA +2.55]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 35:35) — (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +4.91]
  • New York Jets (Q4 0:29) — (:29) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards to IND 14 for 18 yards (27-J.Lacey). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +0.95]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 35:35) — (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +4.91]
  • New York Jets (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left intended for 81-D.Keller INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Tryon [96-K.Dawson] at IND 0. 20-J.Tryon to IND 23 for 23 yards (60-D.Ferguson). [WPA -10.2% · EPA -3.74]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 59:20) — (14:20) (No Huddle) 29-J.Addai right end to IND 27 for -2 yards (22-B.Pool). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -2.65]
  • New York Jets (Q3 27:18) — (12:18) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle to 81-D.Keller to IND 23 for 20 yards (35-K.Hamlin, 58-G.Brackett). [WPA +7.9% · EPA +2.55]

Quarterback report card

M.Sanchez led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 33 dropbacks · 54.5% completion · -2.0% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.37 total EPA
  • P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 27 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +3.2% CPOE · +0.33 EPA/play · +8.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew York JetsIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play+0.071+0.064
Offensive success rate44.8%50.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.011+0.333
Rush EPA/play+0.128-0.181
Defensive EPA/play-0.064-0.071
Defensive success rate50.0%55.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New York Jets +0.07, Indianapolis Colts +0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +4.32 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 9 drives, +6.20 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 35:35 · NYJ 57 · Score 0-6
    (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 35:25 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 24:53 · IND 1 · Score 6-7
    (9:53) (Run formation) 75-R.Turner reported in as eligible. 21-L.Tomlinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 24:48 · IND 2 · Score 7-7
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
  5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 19:59 · NYJ 29 · Score 7-10
    (4:59) 4-A.Vinatieri 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  6. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 10:03 · IND 1 · Score 13-10
    (10:03) (Run formation) 75-R.Turner reported in as eligible. 21-L.Tomlinson right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 9:59 · IND 2 · Score 14-10
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
  8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 4:41 · NYJ 14 · Score 14-13
    (4:41) 4-A.Vinatieri 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 0:57 · NYJ 32 · Score 14-16
    (:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 0:03 · IND 14 · Score 17-16
    (:03) 2-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

The New York Jets beat the Indianapolis Colts 17-16 in Week 18, 2010 on 2011-01-08.

What was the final score of New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was New York Jets 17, Indianapolis Colts 16 (NYJ 17-16 IND) in Week 18, 2010 on 2011-01-08.

What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q2: New York Jets 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q3: New York Jets 7, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q4: New York Jets 10, Indianapolis Colts 6; Final: New York Jets 17, Indianapolis Colts 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — P. Garcon (P. Manning pass) (Q2 35:35) New York Jets touchdown — L. Tomlinson (Q3 24:53) New York Jets touchdown — L. Tomlinson (Q4 10:03) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 19:59, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 4:41, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 0:57, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q4 0:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

M. Sanchez (New York Jets), 54.5% completion, -2.0% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.37 total passing EPA. P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 66.7% completion, +3.2% CPOE, +0.33 EPA per dropback, +8.98 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts?

P. Garcon (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +9.70 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.91 EPA): (5:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 85-P.Garcon for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +35.5%.

Was New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. New York Jets won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

New York Jets

Entered 11-5 Now 12-5 W

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 10-6 Now 10-7 L