FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 30, 2012 · 10 min read

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills: 2012 Week 17 Recap

Bills defeat Jets 28–9 in Week 17

R.Fitzpatrick led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 9–28 Week 17 finish.

New York Jets 9 6–10
Final 9–28
Buffalo Bills 28 6–10 Winner
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
9–28
Halftime
New York Jets 9–14 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
M. Sanchez
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Fitzpatrick
Game date
December 30, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • L.Hilliard 1 REC · 7 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • S.Greene 19 CAR · 74 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Reuland 1 REC · 4 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • R.Fitzpatrick 12/26 · 225 YDS · 1 TD +8.6 Fantasy Impact
  • St.Johnson 6 REC · 111 YDS +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Brandon Smith
    Brandon Smith 2 CAR · 20 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the New York Jets 28–9 in Week 17 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-30, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-43.0% win probability) came in the second quarter when New York Jets swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-30, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 28–9 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Sanchez (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -12.11 total EPA, and -12.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.59 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-43.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New York Jets changed the game: End of half - 2.24 pm

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
New York Jets360009
Buffalo Bills77140028

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Fitzpatrick · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +8.59 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  2. 2 St. Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.35 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Smith · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +4.16 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.08 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Spiller · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.53 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Choice · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.89 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Martin · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.36 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
  7. 7 L. Hilliard · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.22 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  8. 8 S. Greene · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.14 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Fitzpatrick — BUF · Passing

R. Fitzpatrick posted the highest total EPA (+8.59) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 26 counted snaps, they averaged +0.33 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.62 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (3:32) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 28-C.Spiller for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Center screen, caught at BUF 35. Key block: K.Urbik.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — M. Sanchez (Q1 48:42)
  • Buffalo Bills — C. Spiller (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 33:32)
  • Buffalo Bills — B. Smith (Q4 10:55)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Choice (Q4 1:14)

Field goals

  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q1 54:05)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 40:58)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 33:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 29 (Q1 54:05) — (9:05) 2-N.Folk 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 85 (Q1 48:42); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 48:34) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–6. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 5 (Q2 40:58); New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 10 (Q2 33:53) — (3:53) 2-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 66 (Q2 33:32); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 33:21) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q4 10:55) — (10:55) Direct snap to B.Smith (R.Fitzpatrick at WR). (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 10:52) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 13 (Q4 1:14) — (1:14) 20-T.Choice right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 1:10) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New York Jets (Q2) — End of half - 2.24 pm [WPA -43.0% · EPA -1.63]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 33:32) — (3:32) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 28-C.Spiller for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Center screen, caught at BUF 35. Key block: K.Urbik. [WPA +19.5% · EPA +6.62]
  • New York Jets (Q1 48:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 43-Br.Scott at NYJ 20. 43-Br.Scott for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Receiver underthrown at NYJ 22. [WPA -18.6% · EPA -5.75]
  • New York Jets (Q2 36:38) — (6:38) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 11-J.Kerley pushed ob at BUF 31 for 40 yards (33-R.Brooks). Screen pass, caught at NYJ 27. [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.94]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 29:54) — (14:54) 28-C.Spiller up the middle to BUF 29 for 2 yards (70-M.Devito). FUMBLES (70-M.Devito), RECOVERED by NYJ-37-Y.Bell at BUF 25. 37-Y.Bell to BUF 15 for 10 yards (85-L.Smith). [WPA -13.6% · EPA -6.10]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 33:32) — (3:32) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 28-C.Spiller for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Center screen, caught at BUF 35. Key block: K.Urbik. [WPA +19.5% · EPA +6.62]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 29:54) — (14:54) 28-C.Spiller up the middle to BUF 29 for 2 yards (70-M.Devito). FUMBLES (70-M.Devito), RECOVERED by NYJ-37-Y.Bell at BUF 25. 37-Y.Bell to BUF 15 for 10 yards (85-L.Smith). [WPA -13.6% · EPA -6.10]
  • New York Jets (Q1 48:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 43-Br.Scott at NYJ 20. 43-Br.Scott for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Receiver underthrown at NYJ 22. [WPA -18.6% · EPA -5.75]
  • New York Jets (Q3 18:14) — (3:14) 6-M.Sanchez sacked at NYJ 33 for -7 yards (91-Sp.Johnson). FUMBLES (91-Sp.Johnson), RECOVERED by BUF-53-N.Bradham at NYJ 34. 53-N.Bradham to NYJ 34 for no gain (63-J.Smith). [WPA -13.4% · EPA -5.15]

Quarterback report card

M.Sanchez led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 39 dropbacks · 43.6% completion · -12.1% CPOE · -0.31 EPA/play · -12.11 total EPA
  • R.Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) · 26 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -12.9% CPOE · +0.33 EPA/play · +8.59 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew York JetsBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play-0.201-0.006
Offensive success rate43.0%40.5%
Pass EPA/play-0.311+0.330
Rush EPA/play-0.133-0.189
Defensive EPA/play+0.006+0.201
Defensive success rate59.5%57.0%

By the numbers

Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.20), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -0.45 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 13 drives, -18.69 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Sanchez (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 54:05 · BUF 29 · Score 3-0
    (9:05) 2-N.Folk 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
  2. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 48:42 · BUF 85 · Score 3-6
    (3:42) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 43-Br.Scott at NYJ 20. 43-Br.Scott for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Receiver unde
  3. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 48:34 · NYJ 2 · Score 3-7
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
  4. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 40:58 · BUF 5 · Score 6-7
    (10:58) 2-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone. Kick tipped by A.Carrington, but still went through uprights.
  5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 33:53 · BUF 10 · Score 9-7
    (3:53) 2-N.Folk 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-3-R.Malone.
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 33:32 · NYJ 66 · Score 9-13
    (3:32) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 28-C.Spiller for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Center screen, caught at BUF 35. Key block: K.Urbik.
  7. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 33:21 · NYJ 2 · Score 9-14
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
  8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 10:55 · NYJ 4 · Score 9-20
    (10:55) Direct snap to B.Smith (R.Fitzpatrick at WR). (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 10:52 · NYJ 2 · Score 9-21
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
  10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 1:14 · NYJ 13 · Score 9-27
    (1:14) 20-T.Choice right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 1:10 · NYJ 2 · Score 9-28
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 28-9 in Week 17, 2012 on 2012-12-30.

What was the final score of New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

The final score was New York Jets 9, Buffalo Bills 28 (NYJ 9-28 BUF) in Week 17, 2012 on 2012-12-30.

What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: New York Jets 3, Buffalo Bills 7; Q2: New York Jets 6, Buffalo Bills 7; Q4: New York Jets 0, Buffalo Bills 14; Final: New York Jets 9, Buffalo Bills 28.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — M. Sanchez (Q1 48:42) Buffalo Bills touchdown — C. Spiller (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 33:32) Buffalo Bills touchdown — B. Smith (Q4 10:55) Buffalo Bills touchdown — T. Choice (Q4 1:14) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q1 54:05, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q2 40:58, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q2 33:53, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

M. Sanchez (New York Jets), 43.6% completion, -12.1% CPOE, -0.31 EPA per dropback, -12.11 total passing EPA. R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills), 46.2% completion, -12.9% CPOE, +0.33 EPA per dropback, +8.59 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?

R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +8.59 on passing plays. across 26 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.62 EPA): (3:32) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 28-C.Spiller for 66 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Center screen, caught at BUF 35. Key block: K.Urbik.. The biggest win-probability swing was -43.0%.

Season records after this game

New York Jets

Entered 6-9 Now 6-10 L

Buffalo Bills

Entered 5-10 Now 6-10 W