New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills: 2004 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-11-07, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 22–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +6.62 total EPA.

On the individual side, S. Moss (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (7:24) 10-C.Pennington up the middle to BUF 45 for 12 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 41. 24-T.McGee to NYJ 21 for 38 yards (83-S.Moss

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 S. Moss · New York Jets · Receiving · +13.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +2.17 EPA/play
2. 2 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.16 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Bledsoe · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +6.62 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
4. 4 Q. Carter · New York Jets · Passing · +6.33 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.11 EPA/play
5. 5 E. Moulds · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.66 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
6. 6 J. McCareins · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.56 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Baker · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.65 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.65 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Shelton · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.24 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — W. McGahee (Q1 50:25)
• New York Jets — J. McCareins (C. Pennington pass) (Q2 34:39)
• Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (D. Bledsoe pass) (Q3 23:14)
• New York Jets — S. Moss (Q. Carter pass) (Q4 4:18)

Field goals

• New York Jets — D. Brien (Q2 40:24)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 30:04)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 10:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 12 (Q1 50:25) — (5:25) 21-W.McGahee right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: T.Euhus.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 50:18) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 23 (Q2 40:24) — (10:24) 6-D.Brien 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 6 (Q2 34:39) — (4:39) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught over middle, 2 yds. into end zone.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 34:35) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 2 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 9-R.Lindell 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q3 23:14) — (8:14) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear right corner of end zone.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 23:08) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–5. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 12 (Q4 10:43) — (10:43) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills registered a safety from the BUF 99 (Q4 6:11) — (6:11) 28-C.Martin right guard tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (93-P.Williams).; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 51 (Q4 4:18) — (4:18) (No Huddle) 17-Q.Carter pass to 83-S.Moss for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 32, right side.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 4:06) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q1 52:24) — (7:24) 10-C.Pennington up the middle to BUF 45 for 12 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 41. 24-T.McGee to NYJ 21 for 38 yards (83-S.Moss [WPA -14.3% · EPA -4.77]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 26:44) — (11:44) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe left tackle to NYJ 27 for 17 yards (20-D.Pagel). Initial pressure on QB: S.Ellis. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +1.88]
• New York Jets (Q1 55:00) — (10:00) 6-D.Brien 36 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin. [WPA -9.8% · EPA -3.69]
• New York Jets (Q4 4:18) — (4:18) (No Huddle) 17-Q.Carter pass to 83-S.Moss for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 32, right side. [WPA +9.7% · EPA +6.04]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 32:06) — (2:06) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds pushed ob at NYJ 26 for 26 yards (29-D.Abraham). Caught along right sideline at NYJ 28. Penalty on NYJ-25-R.Tongue, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +8.4% · EPA +1.88]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q4 4:18) — (4:18) (No Huddle) 17-Q.Carter pass to 83-S.Moss for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 32, right side. [WPA +9.7% · EPA +6.04]
• New York Jets (Q1 52:24) — (7:24) 10-C.Pennington up the middle to BUF 45 for 12 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 41. 24-T.McGee to NYJ 21 for 38 yards (83-S.Moss [WPA -14.3% · EPA -4.77]
• New York Jets (Q1 55:00) — (10:00) 6-D.Brien 36 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin. [WPA -9.8% · EPA -3.69]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 50:25) — (5:25) 21-W.McGahee right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: T.Euhus. [WPA +7.9% · EPA +3.34]

Quarterback report card

D.Bledsoe led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) · 30 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +0.22 EPA/play · +6.62 total EPA
• C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 18 dropbacks · 38.9% completion · -0.05 EPA/play · -0.92 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New York Jets -0.05, Buffalo Bills -0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Buffalo Bills: 13 drives, -2.15 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, -3.11 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• S. Moss (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 50:25 · NYJ 12 · Score 0-6
   (5:25) 21-W.McGahee right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: T.Euhus.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 50:18 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 40:24 · BUF 23 · Score 3-7
   (10:24) 6-D.Brien 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.
4. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 34:39 · BUF 6 · Score 9-7
   (4:39) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught over middle, 2 yds. into end zone.
5. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 34:35 · BUF 2 · Score 10-7
   6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.
6. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-10
   (:04) 9-R.Lindell 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 23:14 · NYJ 4 · Score 10-16
   (8:14) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 83-L.Evans for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear right corner of end zone.
8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 23:08 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-17
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
9. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 10:43 · NYJ 12 · Score 10-20
   (10:43) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
10. Buffalo Bills Safety (+2) — Q4 6:11 · BUF 99 · Score 10-22
    (6:11) 28-C.Martin right guard tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (93-P.Williams).
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 4:18 · BUF 51 · Score 16-22
    (4:18) (No Huddle) 17-Q.Carter pass to 83-S.Moss for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 32, right side.
12. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 4:06 · BUF 2 · Score 17-22
    6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.