New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2018 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-12, the New York Giants took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 27–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

N. Mullens (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with -0.45 total EPA, and +8.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Manning (New York Giants) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.17 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-35.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (:01) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass incomplete deep left. Penalty on SF-44-K.Juszczyk, Offensive Holding, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 E. Manning · New York Giants · Passing · +9.17 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Breida · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +4.29 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
3. 3 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.60 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Breida · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.29 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
5. 5 O. Beckham · New York Giants · Receiving · +3.04 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Shepard · New York Giants · Receiving · +1.85 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Coleman · New York Giants · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Barkley · New York Giants · Receiving · +1.68 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Giants — O. Beckham (E. Manning pass) (Q1 47:48)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Breida (Q2 43:09)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Breida (N. Mullens pass) (Q3 23:15)
• New York Giants — O. Beckham (E. Manning pass) (Q3 21:40)
• New York Giants — S. Shepard (E. Manning pass) (Q4 0:57)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q1 55:18)
• New York Giants — A. Rosas (Q2 31:53)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 30:07)
• New York Giants — A. Rosas (Q3 17:14)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 2:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Giants won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYG 35 (Q1 55:18) — (10:18) 9-R.Gould 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 10 (Q1 47:48) — (2:48) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 13-O.Beckham for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 47:43) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYG 3 (Q2 43:09) — (13:09) 22-M.Breida up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q2 43:05) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the SF 2 (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) 2-A.Rosas 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYG 18 (Q2 30:07) — (:07) 9-R.Gould 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: New York Giants won the period 10–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYG 11 (Q3 23:15) — (8:15) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short left to 22-M.Breida for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYG 0. 0-YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q3 23:09) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 20 (Q3 21:40) — (6:40) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 13-O.Beckham for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 21:36) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the SF 13 (Q3 17:14) — (2:14) 2-A.Rosas 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The fourth quarter: New York Giants won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYG 12 (Q4 2:50) — (2:50) 9-R.Gould 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 3 (Q4 0:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 87-S.Shepard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 0:53) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:01) — (:01) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass incomplete deep left. Penalty on SF-44-K.Juszczyk, Offensive Holding, declined. [WPA -35.3% · EPA -1.89]
• New York Giants (Q4 2:43) — (2:43) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 88-E.Engram pushed ob at SF 44 for 31 yards (20-J.Ward). Caught at NYG 46. 10-YAC [WPA +19.3% · EPA +1.98]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass deep middle to 11-M.Goodwin to NYG 21 for 26 yards (21-L.Collins). Caught at NYG 24. 3-YAC [WPA +17.6% · EPA +1.18]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 49:12) — (4:12) 4-N.Mullens pass short left intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 93-B.Goodson (20-J.Jenkins) at SF 17. 93-B.Goodson pushed ob at SF 12 for 5 yards (74-J.Staley). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -4.20]
• New York Giants (Q4 1:35) — (1:35) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 26-S.Barkley pushed ob at SF 12 for 23 yards (24-K.Williams). Caught at SF 32. 20-YAC [WPA +17.0% · EPA +2.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 4-N.Mullens pass short right intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 93-B.Goodson at NYG 43. 93-B.Goodson to NYG 46 for 3 yards (11-M.Goodwin). SF-11-M.Goodwin was injured during the play. [WPA -10.1% · EPA -4.85]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 49:12) — (4:12) 4-N.Mullens pass short left intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 93-B.Goodson (20-J.Jenkins) at SF 17. 93-B.Goodson pushed ob at SF 12 for 5 yards (74-J.Staley). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -4.20]
• New York Giants (Q3 21:40) — (6:40) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 13-O.Beckham for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.39]
• New York Giants (Q1 47:48) — (2:48) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 13-O.Beckham for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.8% · EPA +3.22]

Quarterback report card

N.Mullens led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• N.Mullens (San Francisco 49ers) · 41 dropbacks · 65.9% completion · +8.7% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.45 total EPA
• E.Manning (New York Giants) · 36 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · +1.6% CPOE · +0.25 EPA/play · +9.17 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Giants generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• New York Giants: 11 drives, +4.84 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, -0.63 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Giants leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• E. Manning (New York Giants) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• N. Mullens (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 55:18 · NYG 35 · Score 0-3
   (10:18) 9-R.Gould 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
2. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q1 47:48 · SF 10 · Score 6-3
   (2:48) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 13-O.Beckham for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q1 47:43 · SF 15 · Score 7-3
   2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 43:09 · NYG 3 · Score 7-9
   (13:09) 22-M.Breida up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 43:05 · NYG 15 · Score 7-10
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
6. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q2 31:53 · SF 2 · Score 10-10
   (1:53) 2-A.Rosas 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:07 · NYG 18 · Score 10-13
   (:07) 9-R.Gould 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
8. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 23:15 · NYG 11 · Score 10-19
   (8:15) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short left to 22-M.Breida for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYG 0. 0-YAC
9. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 23:09 · NYG 15 · Score 10-20
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
10. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q3 21:40 · SF 20 · Score 16-20
    (6:40) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 13-O.Beckham for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q3 21:36 · SF 15 · Score 17-20
    2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
12. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q3 17:14 · SF 13 · Score 20-20
    (2:14) 2-A.Rosas 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
13. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 2:50 · NYG 12 · Score 20-23
    (2:50) 9-R.Gould 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
14. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q4 0:57 · SF 3 · Score 26-23
    (:57) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 87-S.Shepard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q4 0:53 · SF 15 · Score 27-23
    2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.