FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · November 29, 2012 · 11 min read

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2012 Week 13 Recap

Falcons defeat Saints 23–13 in Week 13

T.Gonzalez led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 13–23 Week 13 finish.

New Orleans Saints 13 5–7
Final 13–23
Atlanta Falcons 23 11–1 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
13–23
Halftime
New Orleans Saints 7–17 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
D. Brees
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Gonzalez
Game date
November 29, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Saints

  • P.Thomas 14 CAR · 84 YDS · 1 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Louis Moore 7 REC · 123 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jordan Morgan
    Jordan Morgan 1 REC · 38 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • T.Gonzalez 4 REC · 58 YDS · 1 TD +6.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Morgan Cox
    Morgan Cox 1 REC · 8 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 5 REC · 48 YDS +0.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the New Orleans Saints 23–13 in Week 13 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-29, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-13.2% win probability) came in the third quarter when New Orleans Saints swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-29, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the New Orleans Saints, pulling away with a 23–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints) paced the passing game, with -15.77 total EPA, and -3.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.40 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when New Orleans Saints changed the game: (2:49) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 19-D.Henderson INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 43. 25-W.Moore to NO 41 for 16 yards (73-J.Evans).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
New Orleans Saints0760013
Atlanta Falcons71006023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.40 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
  2. 2 P. Thomas · New Orleans Saints · Rushing · +4.57 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Moore · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +4.01 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Morgan · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +3.35 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Graham · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +2.88 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Cox · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +0.48 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +0.27 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Turner · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +0.26 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Gonzalez — ATL · Receiving

T. Gonzalez posted the highest total EPA (+6.40) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.28 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.49 EPA) came from New Orleans Saints: (2:49) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 19-D.Henderson INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 43. 25-W.Moore to NO 41 for 16 yards (73-J.Evans).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q1 56:14)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 44:14)
  • New Orleans Saints — M. Ingram (Q2 33:25)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 38:58)
  • New Orleans Saints — G. Hartley (Q3 23:28)
  • New Orleans Saints — G. Hartley (Q3 18:58)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 14:53)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 4:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the NO 3 (Q1 56:14) — (11:14) 79-M.Johnson reported in as eligible. 33-M.Turner right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q1 56:09) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the NO 17 (Q2 44:14) — (14:14) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 88-T.Gonzalez for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the NO 2 (Q2 44:08) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 27 (Q2 38:58) — (8:58) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 33:25) — (3:25) 28-M.Ingram right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 33:17) — 5-G.Hartley extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel..

The third quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 6–0. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the ATL 3 (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) 5-G.Hartley 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.; New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the ATL 34 (Q3 18:58) — (3:58) 5-G.Hartley 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 6–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 11 (Q4 14:53) — (14:53) 3-M.Bryant 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NO 37 (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) 3-M.Bryant 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New Orleans Saints (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 19-D.Henderson INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 43. 25-W.Moore to NO 41 for 16 yards (73-J.Evans). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.49]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q2 30:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 43-D.Sproles to ATL 3 for 2 yards (27-R.McClain; 56-S.Weatherspoon). [WPA -9.2% · EPA -3.97]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q1 53:55) — (8:55) 69-E.Olsen reported in as eligible. 9-D.Brees pass deep left intended for 12-M.Colston INTERCEPTED by 28-T.DeCoud at ATL 0. Touchback. [WPA -8.7% · EPA -3.99]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q4 10:40) — (10:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees sacked at ATL 42 for -6 yards (55-J.Abraham). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -2.77]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q1 52:00) — (7:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 12-M.Colston pushed ob at NO 44 for 15 yards (28-T.DeCoud). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +2.48]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New Orleans Saints (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 19-D.Henderson INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 43. 25-W.Moore to NO 41 for 16 yards (73-J.Evans). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.49]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q2 39:52) — (9:52) 9-D.Brees pass short left intended for 29-C.Ivory INTERCEPTED by 56-S.Weatherspoon at NO 35. 56-S.Weatherspoon to NO 29 for 6 yards (29-C.Ivory). [WPA -5.3% · EPA -5.45]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q1 55:17) — (10:17) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 13-J.Morgan to ATL 40 for 38 yards (25-W.Moore). [WPA +6.8% · EPA +4.07]
  • New Orleans Saints (Q1 53:55) — (8:55) 69-E.Olsen reported in as eligible. 9-D.Brees pass deep left intended for 12-M.Colston INTERCEPTED by 28-T.DeCoud at ATL 0. Touchback. [WPA -8.7% · EPA -3.99]

Quarterback report card

D.Brees led all passers in efficiency for New Orleans Saints, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Brees (New Orleans Saints) · 54 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · -3.8% CPOE · -0.29 EPA/play · -15.77 total EPA
  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 34 dropbacks · 52.9% completion · -6.0% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -5.16 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew Orleans SaintsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.171-0.093
Offensive success rate44.1%35.5%
Pass EPA/play-0.292-0.152
Rush EPA/play+0.106-0.181
Defensive EPA/play+0.093+0.171
Defensive success rate64.5%55.9%

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.09 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, -7.05 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • New Orleans Saints: 13 drives, -15.86 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Brees (NO) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 56:14 · NO 3 · Score 0-6
    (11:14) 79-M.Johnson reported in as eligible. 33-M.Turner right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 56:09 · NO 2 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 44:14 · NO 17 · Score 0-13
    (14:14) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 88-T.Gonzalez for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 44:08 · NO 2 · Score 0-14
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  5. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 38:58 · NO 27 · Score 0-17
    (8:58) 3-M.Bryant 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  6. New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q2 33:25 · ATL 1 · Score 6-17
    (3:25) 28-M.Ingram right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q2 33:17 · ATL 2 · Score 7-17
    5-G.Hartley extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  8. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q3 23:28 · ATL 3 · Score 10-17
    (8:28) 5-G.Hartley 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  9. New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q3 18:58 · ATL 34 · Score 13-17
    (3:58) 5-G.Hartley 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-10-C.Daniel.
  10. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 14:53 · NO 11 · Score 13-20
    (14:53) 3-M.Bryant 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  11. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 4:29 · NO 37 · Score 13-23
    (4:29) 3-M.Bryant 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the New Orleans Saints 23-13 in Week 13, 2012 on 2012-11-29.

What was the final score of New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was New Orleans Saints 13, Atlanta Falcons 23 (NO 13-23 ATL) in Week 13, 2012 on 2012-11-29.

What was the score by quarter in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: New Orleans Saints 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: New Orleans Saints 7, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q3: New Orleans Saints 6, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: New Orleans Saints 0, Atlanta Falcons 6; Final: New Orleans Saints 13, Atlanta Falcons 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q1 56:14) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 44:14) New Orleans Saints touchdown — M. Ingram (Q2 33:25) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 38:58, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — G. Hartley (Q3 23:28, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — G. Hartley (Q3 18:58, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 14:53, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 4:29, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

D. Brees (New Orleans Saints), 51.9% completion, -3.8% CPOE, -0.29 EPA per dropback, -15.77 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 52.9% completion, -6.0% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -5.16 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +6.40 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.49 EPA): (2:49) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 19-D.Henderson INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 43. 25-W.Moore to NO 41 for 16 yards (73-J.Evans).. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.2%.

Season records after this game

New Orleans Saints

Entered 5-6 Now 5-7 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 10-1 Now 11-1 W