New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans: 2018 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-11, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 34–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -3.01 total EPA, and -12.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Davis (Tennessee Titans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (10:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 10-J.Gordon to TEN 34 for 44 yards (59-W.Woodyard).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Davis · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +10.01 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Mariota · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +9.60 total EPA · 28 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Smith · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +5.39 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.80 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Henry · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +4.80 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Firkser · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.75 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Gordon · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.67 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Jennings · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +1.27 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Mariota · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tennessee Titans — J. Smith (M. Mariota pass) (Q1 56:36)
• Tennessee Titans — C. Davis (M. Mariota pass) (Q1 51:05)
• New England Patriots — J. Develin (Q2 42:54)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q2 31:12)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q4 7:17)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q1 54:24)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Succop (Q1 47:39)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Succop (Q3 19:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 17–3. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 4 (Q1 56:36) — (11:36) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 81-J.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 56:29) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the TEN 34 (Q1 54:24) — (9:24) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 23 (Q1 51:05); Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 50:58) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the NE 15 (Q1 47:39) — (2:39) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the TEN 1 (Q2 42:54) — (12:54) 46-J.Develin up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 42:49) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q2 31:12) — (1:12) 22-D.Henry right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 31:09) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The third quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 3–0. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the NE 13 (Q3 19:19) — (4:19) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The fourth quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 7–0. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the NE 10 (Q4 7:17) — (7:17) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q4 7:13) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q1 55:49) — (10:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 10-J.Gordon to TEN 34 for 44 yards (59-W.Woodyard). [WPA +9.3% · EPA +4.76]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 84-C.Davis for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.23]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 34:00) — (4:00) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 84-C.Davis ran ob at NE 21 for 20 yards. [WPA +7.8% · EPA +2.66]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 60:00) — 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 63 yards from NE 35 to TEN 2. 15-D.Jennings pushed ob at NE 40 for 58 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +2.18]
• New England Patriots (Q2 42:54) — (12:54) 46-J.Develin up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +0.88]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q1 55:49) — (10:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 10-J.Gordon to TEN 34 for 44 yards (59-W.Woodyard). [WPA +9.3% · EPA +4.76]
• New England Patriots (Q2 43:59) — (13:59) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 28-J.White pushed ob at TEN 1 for 11 yards (59-W.Woodyard). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +3.39]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 84-C.Davis for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.23]
• New England Patriots (Q2 39:28) — (9:28) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen. [WPA -5.1% · EPA -3.17]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 44 dropbacks · 47.7% completion · -12.2% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -3.01 total EPA
• M.Mariota (Tennessee Titans) · 28 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +10.8% CPOE · +0.34 EPA/play · +9.60 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Tennessee Titans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• New England Patriots: 12 drives, -14.26 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Tennessee Titans: 11 drives, +12.56 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Davis (Tennessee Titans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• M. Mariota (TEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q1 56:36 · NE 4 · Score 0-6
   (11:36) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short right to 81-J.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q1 56:29 · NE 15 · Score 0-7
   4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
3. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 54:24 · TEN 34 · Score 3-7
   (9:24) (Field Goal formation) 3-S.Gostkowski 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
4. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q1 51:05 · NE 23 · Score 3-13
   (6:05) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 84-C.Davis for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
5. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q1 50:58 · NE 15 · Score 3-14
   4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
6. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q1 47:39 · NE 15 · Score 3-17
   (2:39) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 42:54 · TEN 1 · Score 9-17
   (12:54) 46-J.Develin up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 42:49 · TEN 15 · Score 10-17
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
9. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 31:12 · NE 1 · Score 10-23
   (1:12) 22-D.Henry right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 31:09 · NE 15 · Score 10-24
    4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
11. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q3 19:19 · NE 13 · Score 10-27
    (4:19) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
12. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 7:17 · NE 10 · Score 10-33
    (7:17) Direct snap to 22-D.Henry. 22-D.Henry up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 7:13 · NE 15 · Score 10-34
    4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.