FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 26, 2004 · 10 min read

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: 2004 Week 16 Recap

Patriots defeat Jets 23–7 in Week 16

T.Brady led Fantasy Impact as Patriots prevailed in a 23–7 Week 16 finish.

New England Patriots 23 13–2 Winner
Final 23–7
New York Jets 7 10–5
Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
23–7
Halftime
New England Patriots 13–0 New York Jets
Top passer
C. Pennington
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Brady
Game date
December 26, 2004

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • T.Brady 21/33 · 258 YDS · 2 TD +12.6 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Branch 7 REC · 82 YDS · 1 TD +8.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Derrick Graham
    Derrick Graham 2 REC · 30 YDS · 1 TD +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • W.Chrebet 4 REC · 51 YDS +5.5 Fantasy Impact
  • J.McCareins 5 REC · 76 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • S.Moss 2 REC · 32 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New England Patriots defeated the New York Jets 23–7 in Week 16 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-12-26, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-21.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when New York Jets swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-12-26, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 23–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Pennington (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -6.57 total EPA.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (11:41) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 26. 54-T.Bruschi to NYJ 38 for 36 yards (86-C.Baker).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
New England Patriots13370023
New York Jets007007

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +12.63 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Branch · New England Patriots · Receiving · +8.77 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
  3. 3 W. Chrebet · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Graham · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Givens · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.06 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.03 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. McCareins · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.81 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Fauria · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.79 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
  8. 8 S. Moss · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.25 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.62 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Brady — NE · Passing

T. Brady posted the highest total EPA (+12.63) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 33 counted snaps, they averaged +0.38 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.27 EPA) came from New York Jets: (11:41) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 26. 54-T.Bruschi to NYJ 38 for 36 yards (86-C.Baker).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New England Patriots — D. Graham (T. Brady pass) (Q2 31:56)
  • New England Patriots — D. Branch (T. Brady pass) (Q4 12:42)
  • New York Jets — S. Moss (C. Pennington pass) (Q4 9:41)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q2 37:52)
  • New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:12)
  • New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q3 15:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 10 (Q2 37:52) — (7:52) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 16 (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 31:50) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 11 (Q2 30:12) — (:12) 4-A.Vinatieri 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 8 (Q3 15:43) — (:43) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 6 (Q4 12:42) — (12:42) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 12:36) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NE 15 (Q4 9:41) — (9:41) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 9:32) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New York Jets (Q1 56:41) — (11:41) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 26. 54-T.Bruschi to NYJ 38 for 36 yards (86-C.Baker). [WPA -21.2% · EPA -6.27]
  • New York Jets (Q1 59:07) — (14:07) 10-C.Pennington pass to 28-C.Martin to NYJ 49 for 22 yards (26-E.Wilson). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.85]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 43:05) — (13:05) 12-T.Brady up the middle to NYJ 38 for 5 yards (51-J.Vilma). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +1.20]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +4.35]
  • New York Jets (Q1 50:37) — (5:37) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-J.McCareins to NE 40 for 6 yards (22-A.Samuel). [WPA +7.0% · EPA +1.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New York Jets (Q1 56:41) — (11:41) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 26. 54-T.Bruschi to NYJ 38 for 36 yards (86-C.Baker). [WPA -21.2% · EPA -6.27]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +4.35]
  • New York Jets (Q4 2:25) — (2:25) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NE 37 for -2 yards (59-R.Colvin). FUMBLES (59-R.Colvin), RECOVERED by NE-97-J.Green at NE 36. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -3.45]
  • New York Jets (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 80-W.Chrebet INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson at NYJ 39. 26-E.Wilson to NYJ 15 for 24 yards (28-C.Martin). [WPA -1.9% · EPA -3.31]

Quarterback report card

C.Pennington led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 40 dropbacks · 55.0% completion · -0.16 EPA/play · -6.57 total EPA
  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 33 dropbacks · 63.6% completion · +0.38 EPA/play · +12.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew England PatriotsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play+0.085-0.171
Offensive success rate48.3%42.5%
Pass EPA/play+0.407-0.171
Rush EPA/play-0.168-0.224
Defensive EPA/play+0.171-0.085
Defensive success rate57.5%51.7%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New England Patriots generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.17), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • New England Patriots: 12 drives, +7.40 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 11 drives, -12.48 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 37:52 · NYJ 10 · Score 3-0
    (7:52) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
  2. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 31:56 · NYJ 16 · Score 9-0
    (1:56) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 31:50 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-0
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
  4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:12 · NYJ 11 · Score 13-0
    (:12) 4-A.Vinatieri 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
  5. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 15:43 · NYJ 8 · Score 16-0
    (:43) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
  6. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 12:42 · NYJ 6 · Score 22-0
    (12:42) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 12:36 · NYJ 2 · Score 23-0
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
  8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 9:41 · NE 15 · Score 23-6
    (9:41) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 9:32 · NE 2 · Score 23-7
    6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-T.Gowin.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

The New England Patriots beat the New York Jets 23-7 in Week 16, 2004 on 2004-12-26.

What was the final score of New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

The final score was New England Patriots 23, New York Jets 7 (NE 23-7 NYJ) in Week 16, 2004 on 2004-12-26.

What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

Q2: New England Patriots 13, New York Jets 0; Q3: New England Patriots 3, New York Jets 0; Q4: New England Patriots 7, New York Jets 7; Final: New England Patriots 23, New York Jets 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

New England Patriots touchdown — D. Graham (T. Brady pass) (Q2 31:56) New England Patriots touchdown — D. Branch (T. Brady pass) (Q4 12:42) New York Jets touchdown — S. Moss (C. Pennington pass) (Q4 9:41) New England Patriots field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 37:52, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:12, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 15:43, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

C. Pennington (New York Jets), 55.0% completion, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -6.57 total passing EPA. T. Brady (New England Patriots), 63.6% completion, +0.38 EPA per dropback, +12.63 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

T. Brady (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +12.63 on passing plays. across 33 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.27 EPA): (11:41) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 83-S.Moss INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 26. 54-T.Bruschi to NYJ 38 for 36 yards (86-C.Baker).. The biggest win-probability swing was -21.2%.

Season records after this game

New England Patriots

Entered 12-2 Now 13-2 W

New York Jets

Entered 10-4 Now 10-5 L