FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 11, 2022 · 9 min read

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins: 2022 Week 1 Recap

Dolphins defeat Patriots 20–7 in Week 1

Jaylen Waddle led Fantasy Impact as Dolphins prevailed in a 7–20 Week 1 finish.

New England Patriots 7 0–1
Final 7–20
Miami Dolphins 20 1–0 Winner
Winner
Miami Dolphins
Final score
7–20
Halftime
New England Patriots 0–17 Miami Dolphins
Top passer
Tua Tagovailoa
FantasyHQ MVP
Jaylen Waddle
Game date
September 11, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • Jakobi Meyers
    Jakobi Meyers 4 REC · 55 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Kendrick Bourne
    Kendrick Bourne 1 REC · 41 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyren Montgomery
    Tyren Montgomery 3 REC · 15 YDS · 1 TD +2.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

  • Jaylen Waddle
    Jaylen Waddle 4 REC · 69 YDS · 1 TD +8.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tua Tagovailoa
    Tua Tagovailoa 23/36 · 242 YDS · 1 TD +5.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Edmonds
    Chris Edmonds 4 REC · 40 YDS +4.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Miami Dolphins defeated the New England Patriots 20–7 in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-09-11, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-18.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when New England Patriots swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-09-11, the Miami Dolphins took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 20–7 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +5.86 total EPA, and +8.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Waddle (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.48 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (10:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 1-D.Parker INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland (25-X.Howard) at MIA -3. 8-J.Holland to MIA 28 for 31 yards (76-I.Wynn).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
New England Patriots007007
Miami Dolphins31430020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Waddle · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +8.48 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.70 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Tagovailoa · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +5.86 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Edmonds · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Meyers · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.05 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  5. 5 K. Bourne · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.69 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Montgomery · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.18 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Smith · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Mostert · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +0.91 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Waddle — MIA · Receiving

J. Waddle posted the highest total EPA (+8.48) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Miami Dolphins's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.70 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.82 EPA) came from Miami Dolphins: (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Miami Dolphins — M. Ingram (Q2 37:40)
  • Miami Dolphins — J. Waddle (T. Tagovailoa pass) (Q2 30:24)
  • New England Patriots — T. Montgomery (M. Jones pass) (Q3 19:50)

Field goals

  • Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q1 49:10)
  • Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q3 15:24)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 3–0. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NE 25 (Q1 49:10) — (4:10) 7-J.Sanders 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead..

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 14–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the MIA 85 (Q2 37:40); Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 37:34) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NE 42 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 30:18) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the MIA 6 (Q3 19:50) — (4:50) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 14-T.Montgomery for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 19:44) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NE 31 (Q3 15:24) — (:24) 7-J.Sanders 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New England Patriots (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 1-D.Parker INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland (25-X.Howard) at MIA -3. 8-J.Holland to MIA 28 for 31 yards (76-I.Wynn). [WPA -18.0% · EPA -6.00]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 37:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at NE 6 for -9 yards (29-Br.Jones). FUMBLES (29-Br.Jones) [29-Br.Jones], RECOVERED by MIA-6-M.Ingram at NE 2. 6-M.Ingram for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.4% · EPA -6.70]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 46:27) — (1:27) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 15-N.Agholor pushed ob at MIA 40 for 17 yards (29-Br.Jones). [WPA +11.5% · EPA +2.88]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.4% · EPA +6.82]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q1 51:48) — (6:48) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 10-T.Hill to NE 22 for 23 yards (31-Jo.Jones). FUMBLES (31-Jo.Jones), ball out of bounds at NE 22. [WPA +6.1% · EPA +1.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.4% · EPA +6.82]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 37:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at NE 6 for -9 yards (29-Br.Jones). FUMBLES (29-Br.Jones) [29-Br.Jones], RECOVERED by MIA-6-M.Ingram at NE 2. 6-M.Ingram for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.4% · EPA -6.70]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 1-D.Parker INTERCEPTED by 8-J.Holland (25-X.Howard) at MIA -3. 8-J.Holland to MIA 28 for 31 yards (76-I.Wynn). [WPA -18.0% · EPA -6.00]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 5:06) — (5:06) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 15-N.Agholor to MIA 38 for 5 yards (28-K.Kohou). FUMBLES (28-K.Kohou), RECOVERED by MIA-15-J.Phillips at MIA 37. [WPA -4.0% · EPA -4.01]

Quarterback report card

T.Tagovailoa led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) · 36 dropbacks · 63.9% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +5.86 total EPA
  • M.Jones (New England Patriots) · 35 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +2.9% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -7.37 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew England PatriotsMiami Dolphins
Offensive EPA/play-0.163+0.029
Offensive success rate43.5%49.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.211+0.163
Rush EPA/play-0.185-0.131
Defensive EPA/play-0.029+0.163
Defensive success rate50.7%56.5%

By the numbers

Miami Dolphins held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.16), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Miami Dolphins: 9 drives, +2.11 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • New England Patriots: 9 drives, -11.24 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Miami Dolphins leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Waddle (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Tagovailoa (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q1 49:10 · NE 25 · Score 0-3
    (4:10) 7-J.Sanders 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.
  2. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 37:40 · MIA 85 · Score 0-9
    (7:40) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked at NE 6 for -9 yards (29-Br.Jones). FUMBLES (29-Br.Jones) [29-Br.Jones], RECOVERED by MIA-6-M.Ingram at NE 2. 6-M.Ingram for
  3. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 37:34 · NE 15 · Score 0-10
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.
  4. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 30:24 · NE 42 · Score 0-16
    (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 30:18 · NE 15 · Score 0-17
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.
  6. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 19:50 · MIA 6 · Score 6-17
    (4:50) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 14-T.Montgomery for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 19:44 · MIA 15 · Score 7-17
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
  8. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q3 15:24 · NE 31 · Score 7-20
    (:24) 7-J.Sanders 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-B.Ferguson, Holder-4-T.Morstead.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

The Miami Dolphins beat the New England Patriots 20-7 in Week 1, 2022 on 2022-09-11.

What was the final score of New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

The final score was New England Patriots 7, Miami Dolphins 20 (NE 7-20 MIA) in Week 1, 2022 on 2022-09-11.

What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

Q1: New England Patriots 0, Miami Dolphins 3; Q2: New England Patriots 0, Miami Dolphins 14; Q3: New England Patriots 7, Miami Dolphins 3; Final: New England Patriots 7, Miami Dolphins 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

Miami Dolphins touchdown — M. Ingram (Q2 37:40) Miami Dolphins touchdown — J. Waddle (T. Tagovailoa pass) (Q2 30:24) New England Patriots touchdown — T. Montgomery (M. Jones pass) (Q3 19:50) Miami Dolphins field goal — J. Sanders (Q1 49:10, 3 pts) Miami Dolphins field goal — J. Sanders (Q3 15:24, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

T. Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins), 63.9% completion, +8.0% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +5.86 total passing EPA. M. Jones (New England Patriots), 60.0% completion, +2.9% CPOE, -0.21 EPA per dropback, -7.37 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins?

J. Waddle (Miami Dolphins) led the game in total EPA with +8.48 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.82 EPA): (:24) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to 17-J.Waddle for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -18.0%.

Season records after this game

New England Patriots

Now 0-1 L

Miami Dolphins

Now 1-0 W