New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins: 2006 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-10, the Miami Dolphins took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 21–0 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 8 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Harrington (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +5.50 total EPA, and +1.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Booker (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.29 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (2:44) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 82-D.Graham to NE 38 for 5 yards (52-C.Crowder). FUMBLES (52-C.Crowder), RECOVERED by MIA-25-W.Allen at NE 39. 25-W.Allen to NE 39 for no gain (84-B.Watson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Booker · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +8.29 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Harrington · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +5.50 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
3. 3 R. McMichael · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.42 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
4. 4 S. Morris · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.97 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Morris · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +1.87 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Faulk · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Caldwell · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.45 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Miami Dolphins — M. Booker (J. Harrington pass) (Q3 17:59)
• Miami Dolphins — S. Morris (Q4 5:03)

Field goals

• Miami Dolphins — O. Mare (Q1 45:32)
• Miami Dolphins — O. Mare (Q2 30:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 3–0. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NE 17 (Q1 45:32) — (:32) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones..

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 3–0. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NE 15 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 10-O.Mare 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones..

The third quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NE 32 (Q3 17:59) — (2:59) 3-J.Harrington pass deep right to 86-M.Booker for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 17:51) — 10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 8–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NE 3 (Q4 5:03) — (5:03) 31-S.Morris right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins registered a safety from the NE 2 (Q4 4:56) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Harrington pass to 86-M.Booker is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q1 47:44) — (2:44) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 82-D.Graham to NE 38 for 5 yards (52-C.Crowder). FUMBLES (52-C.Crowder), RECOVERED by MIA-25-W.Allen at NE 39. 25-W.Allen to NE 39 for no gain (84-B.Watson). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.23]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 17:59) — (2:59) 3-J.Harrington pass deep right to 86-M.Booker for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.13]
• New England Patriots (Q2 32:01) — (2:01) 15-K.Walter punts 19 yards to MIA 23, Center-66-L.Paxton, fair catch by 83-W.Welker. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -0.89]
• New England Patriots (Q2 33:26) — (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 80-T.Brown pushed ob at MIA 45 for 21 yards (24-R.Hill) [99-J.Taylor]. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +1.83]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 54:17) — (9:17) 3-J.Harrington pass short middle to 31-S.Morris ran ob at NE 45 for 28 yards (25-A.Hawkins). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +2.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q4 0:33) — (:33) 3-J.Harrington kneels to NE 7 for -1 yards. [EPA -4.75]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:44) — (2:44) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 82-D.Graham to NE 38 for 5 yards (52-C.Crowder). FUMBLES (52-C.Crowder), RECOVERED by MIA-25-W.Allen at NE 39. 25-W.Allen to NE 39 for no gain (84-B.Watson). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.23]
• New England Patriots (Q4 3:22) — (3:22) 16-M.Cassel sacked at MIA 45 for -6 yards (99-J.Taylor). FUMBLES (99-J.Taylor), RECOVERED by MIA-90-J.Zgonina at MIA 43. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -4.06]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 31-S.Morris left guard to NE 5 for 44 yards (27-E.Hobbs). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.69]

Quarterback report card

J.Harrington led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Harrington (Miami Dolphins) · 36 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +1.4% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +5.50 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 31 dropbacks · 38.7% completion · -14.6% CPOE · -0.44 EPA/play · -13.74 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Miami Dolphins held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.24), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Miami Dolphins: 11 drives, +1.80 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 10 drives, -19.06 total EPA, 0 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Miami Dolphins leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Booker (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q1 45:32 · NE 17 · Score 0-3
   (:32) 10-O.Mare 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
2. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · NE 15 · Score 0-6
   (:03) 10-O.Mare 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
3. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q3 17:59 · NE 32 · Score 0-12
   (2:59) 3-J.Harrington pass deep right to 86-M.Booker for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q3 17:51 · NE 2 · Score 0-13
   10-O.Mare extra point is GOOD, Center-97-J.Denney, Holder-5-D.Jones.
5. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 5:03 · NE 3 · Score 0-19
   (5:03) 31-S.Morris right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Miami Dolphins Safety (+2) — Q4 4:56 · NE 2 · Score 0-21
   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Harrington pass to 86-M.Booker is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.