New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2023 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-15, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 21–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Jones (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -2.10 total EPA, and +1.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Mayer (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.79 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (3:48) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 85-H.Henry INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Moehrig at LV 9. 25-T.Moehrig to LV 34 for 25 yards (1-D.Parker). LV-25-T.Moehrig was injured during the play.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Mayer · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +7.79 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Bourne · New England Patriots · Receiving · +7.57 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Hoyer · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +6.46 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Meyers · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.43 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Garoppolo · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +4.07 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Tucker · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.03 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Elliott · New England Patriots · Rushing · +3.14 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Gesicki · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Meyers (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q2 42:27)
• New England Patriots — E. Elliott (Q3 23:59)
• New England Patriots — R. Stevenson (Q4 3:36)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q1 51:57)
• New England Patriots — C. Ryland (Q2 38:42)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 30:14)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 30:10)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q3 18:58)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 13:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 6 (Q1 51:57) — (6:57) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 13–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NE 12 (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 16-J.Meyers for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 42:22) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 24 (Q2 38:42) — (8:42) 37-C.Ryland 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 19 (Q2 30:14) — (:14) 2-D.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LV 35 (Q2 30:10) — 2-D.Carlson kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q3 23:59) — (8:59) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 15-E.Elliott. 15-E.Elliott up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 23:56) — 37-C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 12 (Q3 18:58) — (3:58) 2-D.Carlson 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–5. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 6 (Q4 13:06) — (13:06) 2-D.Carlson 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 3:36) — (3:36) 38-R.Stevenson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 3:33) — 37-C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Las Vegas Raiders registered a safety from the LV 96 (Q4 1:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked in End Zone for -4 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 91-B.Nichols and 98-M.Crosby)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q2 33:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 85-H.Henry INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Moehrig at LV 9. 25-T.Moehrig to LV 34 for 25 yards (1-D.Parker). LV-25-T.Moehrig was injured during the play. [WPA -15.3% · EPA -5.19]
• New England Patriots (Q4 1:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked in End Zone for -4 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 91-B.Nichols and 98-M.Crosby). [WPA -13.5% · EPA -1.42]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:43) — (3:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 48-Ja.Tavai (5-J.Peppers) at NE 14. 48-Ja.Tavai to NE 14 for no gain (68-A.James). LV-17-D.Adams was injured du [WPA -10.5% · EPA -4.92]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass deep middle to 11-T.Tucker to NE 21 for 48 yards (31-Jo.Jones). NE-31-Jo.Jones was injured during the play. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.98]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 53:33) — (8:33) 2-D.Carlson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. PENALTY on NE-96-S.Roberts, Leverage, 12 yards, enforced at NE 23 - No Play. [WPA +10.0% · EPA +2.79]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q2 33:48) — (3:48) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass deep right intended for 85-H.Henry INTERCEPTED by 25-T.Moehrig at LV 9. 25-T.Moehrig to LV 34 for 25 yards (1-D.Parker). LV-25-T.Moehrig was injured during the play. [WPA -15.3% · EPA -5.19]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:43) — (3:43) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 48-Ja.Tavai (5-J.Peppers) at NE 14. 48-Ja.Tavai to NE 14 for no gain (68-A.James). LV-17-D.Adams was injured du [WPA -10.5% · EPA -4.92]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hoyer pass deep middle to 11-T.Tucker to NE 21 for 48 yards (31-Jo.Jones). NE-31-Jo.Jones was injured during the play. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.98]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 45:14) — (:14) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 87-M.Mayer to NE 23 for 32 yards (31-Jo.Jones). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +3.35]

Quarterback report card

M.Jones led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Jones (New England Patriots) · 38 dropbacks · 63.2% completion · +1.7% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -2.10 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (Las Vegas Raiders) · 25 dropbacks · 56.0% completion · -5.4% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +4.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New England Patriots -0.03, Las Vegas Raiders +0.01) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, +0.91 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 9 drives, -2.19 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Mayer (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Garoppolo (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 51:57 · NE 6 · Score 0-3
   (6:57) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
2. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 42:27 · NE 12 · Score 0-9
   (12:27) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 16-J.Meyers for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 42:22 · NE 15 · Score 0-10
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 38:42 · LV 24 · Score 3-10
   (8:42) 37-C.Ryland 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
5. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:14 · NE 19 · Score 3-13
   (:14) 2-D.Carlson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
6. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:10 · LV 35 · Score 3-13
   2-D.Carlson kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback.
7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 23:59 · LV 2 · Score 9-13
   (8:59) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 15-E.Elliott. 15-E.Elliott up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 23:56 · LV 15 · Score 10-13
   37-C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
9. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 18:58 · NE 12 · Score 10-16
   (3:58) 2-D.Carlson 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
10. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 13:06 · NE 6 · Score 10-19
    (13:06) 2-D.Carlson 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
11. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 3:36 · LV 1 · Score 16-19
    (3:36) 38-R.Stevenson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 3:33 · LV 15 · Score 17-19
    37-C.Ryland extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
13. Las Vegas Raiders Safety (+2) — Q4 1:52 · LV 96 · Score 17-21
    (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones sacked in End Zone for -4 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 91-B.Nichols and 98-M.Crosby).