New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals: 2013 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-10-06, the Cincinnati Bengals took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 13–6 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with -6.01 total EPA, and -9.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Jones (Cincinnati Bengals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Cincinnati Bengals changed the game: (3:34) 25-G.Bernard left end to NE 49 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-51-J.Mayo at CIN 46. 51-J.Mayo to CIN 44 for 2 yards (65-C.Boling).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Jones · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +4.04 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Green · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +2.30 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Sanu · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +1.08 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Hoomanawanui · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Amendola · New England Patriots · Receiving · +0.97 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Green-Ellis · Cincinnati Bengals · Rushing · +0.85 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Dobson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +0.77 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Dalton · Cincinnati Bengals · Rushing · +0.74 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Cincinnati Bengals — B. Green-Ellis (Q4 9:27)

Field goals

• Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q2 33:17)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 30:13)
• Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q3 20:48)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 6:30)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the NE 21 (Q2 33:17) — (3:17) 2-M.Nugent 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the CIN 24 (Q2 30:13) — (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The third quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 3–0. Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the NE 32 (Q3 20:48) — (5:48) 2-M.Nugent 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

The fourth quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–3. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q4 9:27) — (9:27) 42-B.Green-Ellis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 9:21) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the CIN 1 (Q4 6:30) — (6:30) 3-S.Gostkowski 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 3:34) — (3:34) 25-G.Bernard left end to NE 49 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-51-J.Mayo at CIN 46. 51-J.Mayo to CIN 44 for 2 yards (65-C.Boling). [WPA -18.0% · EPA -3.66]
• New England Patriots (Q2 38:02) — (8:02) 29-L.Blount left tackle to CIN 25 for 7 yards (96-C.Dunlap). FUMBLES (96-C.Dunlap), RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 24. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 30 for 6 yards (76-S.Vollmer). [WPA -13.9% · EPA -4.63]
• New England Patriots (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 17-A.Dobson INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Jones at CIN 3. 24-A.Jones to CIN 3 for no gain (17-A.Dobson). [WPA -13.7% · EPA -1.65]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 45:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 85-T.Eifert INTERCEPTED by 55-B.Spikes at NE 5. 55-B.Spikes to NE 8 for 3 yards (85-T.Eifert). [WPA -11.3% · EPA -4.07]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q3 20:48) — (5:48) 2-M.Nugent 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber. [WPA +10.7% · EPA +1.85]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q2 38:02) — (8:02) 29-L.Blount left tackle to CIN 25 for 7 yards (96-C.Dunlap). FUMBLES (96-C.Dunlap), RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 24. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 30 for 6 yards (76-S.Vollmer). [WPA -13.9% · EPA -4.63]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 45:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 85-T.Eifert INTERCEPTED by 55-B.Spikes at NE 5. 55-B.Spikes to NE 8 for 3 yards (85-T.Eifert). [WPA -11.3% · EPA -4.07]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 3:34) — (3:34) 25-G.Bernard left end to NE 49 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty). FUMBLES (32-D.McCourty), RECOVERED by NE-51-J.Mayo at CIN 46. 51-J.Mayo to CIN 44 for 2 yards (65-C.Boling). [WPA -18.0% · EPA -3.66]
• New England Patriots (Q4 8:43) — (8:43) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 17-A.Dobson to CIN 14 for 56 yards (43-G.Iloka). FUMBLES (43-G.Iloka), and recovers at CIN 17. 17-A.Dobson to CIN 17 for no gain (58-R.Maualuga). {Pass credited [WPA +9.2% · EPA +3.58]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 44 dropbacks · 40.9% completion · -9.0% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -6.01 total EPA
• A.Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) · 33 dropbacks · 60.6% completion · +6.8% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Cincinnati Bengals held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.02 vs -0.11), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Cincinnati Bengals: 13 drives, -1.55 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 12 drives, -8.34 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Cincinnati Bengals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Jones (Cincinnati Bengals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Dalton (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q2 33:17 · NE 21 · Score 0-3
   (3:17) 2-M.Nugent 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
2. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:13 · CIN 24 · Score 3-3
   (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
3. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q3 20:48 · NE 32 · Score 3-6
   (5:48) 2-M.Nugent 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
4. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q4 9:27 · NE 1 · Score 3-12
   (9:27) 42-B.Green-Ellis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q4 9:21 · NE 2 · Score 3-13
   2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
6. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 6:30 · CIN 1 · Score 6-13
   (6:30) 3-S.Gostkowski 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.