New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2022 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-12, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Arizona Cardinals, pulling away with a 27–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. McCoy (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with -25.37 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, H. Henry (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.60 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.6% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to ARI 22 for 4 yards (23-K.Dugger) [91-D.Wise]. FUMBLES (23-K.Dugger), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.McMillan at ARI 23. 50-R.McMillan for 23 yard

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 H. Henry · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.60 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
2. 2 P. Strong · New England Patriots · Rushing · +4.21 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Anderson · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.97 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Bourne · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Conner · Arizona Cardinals · Rushing · +2.45 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Clement · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.45 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Parker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
8. 8 P. Strong · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.66 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — K. Harris (Q2 41:32)
• Arizona Cardinals — J. Conner (Q2 33:07)
• New England Patriots — D. Hopkins (C. McCoy pass) (Q3 20:42)
• New England Patriots — P. Strong (Q4 14:13)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q2 44:56)
• Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q2 39:38)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 30:04)
• New England Patriots — unlisted player (Q2 30:00)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q3 25:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 13–13. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the NE 15 (Q2 44:56) — (14:56) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the ARI 14 (Q2 41:32) — (11:32) (Shotgun) 36-K.Harris up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q2 41:25) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the NE 14 (Q2 39:38) — (9:38) 5-M.Prater 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the NE 10 (Q2 33:07) — (3:07) 6-J.Conner up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 32:59) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the ARI 33 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 6-N.Folk 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the ARI 4 (Q3 25:18) — (10:18) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 82 (Q3 20:42); New England Patriots added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q3 20:32) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the ARI 3 (Q4 14:13) — (14:13) (Shotgun) 35-P.Strong up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ARI-25-Z.Collins, Defensive Offside, declined.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q4 14:09) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 20:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to ARI 22 for 4 yards (23-K.Dugger) [91-D.Wise]. FUMBLES (23-K.Dugger), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.McMillan at ARI 23. 50-R.McMillan for 23 yard [WPA -26.6% · EPA -8.11]
• New England Patriots (Q3 27:29) — (12:29) (Shotgun) 35-P.Strong left end to ARI 12 for 44 yards (33-A.Hamilton; 21-T.Mullen). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +3.34]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) 10-M.Jones pass short middle intended for 11-T.Thornton INTERCEPTED by 9-I.Simmons (97-C.Thomas) at NE 41. 9-I.Simmons to NE 36 for 5 yards (25-Ma.Jones). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -5.02]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q2 41:03) — (11:03) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass incomplete deep right to 2-M.Brown [55-J.Uche]. PENALTY on NE-31-Jo.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at ARI 34 - No Play. [WPA +11.4% · EPA +2.84]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q2 30:36) — (:36) 12-C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to 85-T.McBride (48-J.Tavai). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -2.72]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 20:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to ARI 22 for 4 yards (23-K.Dugger) [91-D.Wise]. FUMBLES (23-K.Dugger), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.McMillan at ARI 23. 50-R.McMillan for 23 yard [WPA -26.6% · EPA -8.11]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) 10-M.Jones pass short middle intended for 11-T.Thornton INTERCEPTED by 9-I.Simmons (97-C.Thomas) at NE 41. 9-I.Simmons to NE 36 for 5 yards (25-Ma.Jones). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -5.02]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass deep left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 25-Ma.Jones [55-J.Uche] at NE 19. 25-Ma.Jones pushed ob at NE 37 for 18 yards (85-T.McBride). [WPA -10.5% · EPA -4.39]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) 5-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee. [WPA -6.4% · EPA -3.49]

Quarterback report card

C.McCoy led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.McCoy (Arizona Cardinals) · 56 dropbacks · 48.2% completion · -1.9% CPOE · -0.45 EPA/play · -25.37 total EPA
• M.Jones (New England Patriots) · 39 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · -2.6% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -4.14 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New England Patriots generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.14 vs -0.31), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Arizona Cardinals: 12 drives, -27.61 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 13 drives, -10.38 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• H. Henry (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 44:56 · NE 15 · Score 0-3
   (14:56) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
2. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 41:32 · ARI 14 · Score 6-3
   (11:32) (Shotgun) 36-K.Harris up the middle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 41:25 · ARI 15 · Score 7-3
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.
4. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 39:38 · NE 14 · Score 7-6
   (9:38) 5-M.Prater 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
5. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 33:07 · NE 10 · Score 7-12
   (3:07) 6-J.Conner up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 32:59 · NE 15 · Score 7-13
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-14-A.Lee.
7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · ARI 33 · Score 10-13
   (:04) 6-N.Folk 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.
8. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 10-13
   END QUARTER 2
9. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 25:18 · ARI 4 · Score 13-13
   (10:18) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.
10. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 20:42 · NE 82 · Score 19-13
    (5:42) (Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to ARI 22 for 4 yards (23-K.Dugger) [91-D.Wise]. FUMBLES (23-K.Dugger), RECOVERED by NE-50-R.McMil
11. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 20:32 · ARI 15 · Score 20-13
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 14:13 · ARI 3 · Score 26-13
    (14:13) (Shotgun) 35-P.Strong up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ARI-25-Z.Collins, Defensive Offside, declined.
13. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 14:09 · ARI 15 · Score 27-13
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-17-M.Palardy.