Minnesota Vikings vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2023 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-10, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 3–0 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 3 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -23.76 total EPA, and -6.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Osborn (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +2.91 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (1:57) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short left intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 40-I.Pace at LV 34. 40-I.Pace to LV 34 for no gain (17-D.Adams).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 K. Osborn · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.91 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
2. 2 A. O'Connell · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +2.41 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.41 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Jefferson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.83 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Jacobs · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.74 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Addison · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.73 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
6. 6 N. Mullens · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +1.68 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Mattison · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.66 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Hockenson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.97 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Field goals

• Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q4 2:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The fourth quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 3–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the LV 18 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 1-G.Joseph 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 1:57) — (1:57) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short left intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 40-I.Pace at LV 34. 40-I.Pace to LV 34 for no gain (17-D.Adams). [WPA -26.9% · EPA -4.53]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q4 2:34) — (2:34) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short right to 3-J.Addison pushed ob at LV 22 for 20 yards (25-T.Moehrig). LV-21-A.Robertson was injured during the play. [WPA +17.5% · EPA +2.24]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 25:57) — (10:57) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short middle to 13-H.Renfrow to MIN 11 for 38 yards (7-B.Murphy). [WPA +14.4% · EPA +3.59]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:07) — (:07) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short left to 17-D.Adams to MIN 45 for 24 yards. Lateral to 70-G.Van Roten to MIN 40 for 5 yards. FUMBLES, touched at MIN 40, RECOVERED by MIN-20-J.Ward at MIN 40. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -0.11]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 24:16) — (9:16) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 13-H.Renfrow to MIN 18 for 2 yards (44-J.Metellus). FUMBLES (44-J.Metellus), RECOVERED by MIN-5-M.Blackmon at MIN 16. [WPA -10.0% · EPA -4.23]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 1:57) — (1:57) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short left intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 40-I.Pace at LV 34. 40-I.Pace to LV 34 for no gain (17-D.Adams). [WPA -26.9% · EPA -4.53]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 24:16) — (9:16) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short right to 13-H.Renfrow to MIN 18 for 2 yards (44-J.Metellus). FUMBLES (44-J.Metellus), RECOVERED by MIN-5-M.Blackmon at MIN 16. [WPA -10.0% · EPA -4.23]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 35:37) — (5:37) 1-G.Joseph 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright. [WPA -8.9% · EPA -3.64]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 25:57) — (10:57) (Shotgun) 4-A.O'Connell pass short middle to 13-H.Renfrow to MIN 11 for 38 yards (7-B.Murphy). [WPA +14.4% · EPA +3.59]

Quarterback report card

A.O'Connell led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.O'Connell (Las Vegas Raiders) · 36 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -6.5% CPOE · -0.66 EPA/play · -23.76 total EPA
• J.Dobbs (Minnesota Vikings) · 34 dropbacks · 29.4% completion · -22.4% CPOE · -0.40 EPA/play · -13.57 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Minnesota Vikings generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.25 vs -0.43), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 13 drives, -27.49 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
• Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, -22.37 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• K. Osborn (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. O'Connell (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• J. Dobbs (MIN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 2:00 · LV 18 · Score 3-0
   (2:00) 1-G.Joseph 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.