Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers: 2022 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-01, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 41–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with -13.79 total EPA, and -7.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Nailor (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (11:59) 16-P.O'Donnell punt is BLOCKED by 44-J.Metellus, Center-56-J.Coco, recovered by GB-6-D.Leavitt at GB 4. 6-D.Leavitt to GB 1 for -3 yards (91-P.Jones).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Nailor · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +7.44 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.48 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Osborn · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +6.86 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
3. 3 N. Mullens · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +5.71 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +5.48 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Tonyan · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.18 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +4.80 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Lazard · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.98 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.54 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — K. Nixon (Q1 55:38)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Savage (Q1 50:33)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Tonyan (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 32:48)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Dillon (Q4 15:00)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q4 9:31)
• Minnesota Vikings — J. Nailor (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 7:44)
• Minnesota Vikings — K. Osborn (N. Mullens pass) (Q4 0:25)

Field goals

• Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q1 55:41)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 39:52)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 30:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the GB 2 (Q1 55:41) — (10:41) 1-G.Joseph 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 35 (Q1 55:38) — 1-G.Joseph kicks 70 yards from MIN 35 to GB -5. 25-K.Nixon for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 55:25) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 37 (Q1 50:33); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 50:17) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 8 (Q2 39:52) — (9:52) 2-M.Crosby 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 21 (Q2 32:48) — (2:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q2 32:41) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIN 37 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 2-M.Crosby 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 14–14. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 28-A.Dillon left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 14:54) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q4 9:31) — (9:31) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 9:25) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 47 (Q4 7:44); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 7:36) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the GB 9 (Q4 0:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short middle to 17-K.Osborn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 0:21) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:59) — (11:59) 16-P.O'Donnell punt is BLOCKED by 44-J.Metellus, Center-56-J.Coco, recovered by GB-6-D.Leavitt at GB 4. 6-D.Leavitt to GB 1 for -3 yards (91-P.Jones). [WPA -17.5% · EPA -5.43]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:38) — 1-G.Joseph kicks 70 yards from MIN 35 to GB -5. 25-K.Nixon for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.8% · EPA +5.57]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q1 50:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle intended for 87-T.Hockenson INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage (29-R.Douglas) at GB 25. 26-D.Savage for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -8.08]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:37) — (6:37) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 45 for -16 yards (94-D.Tomlinson). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -4.64]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q2 36:00) — (6:00) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Amos (93-T.Slaton) at GB 14. 31-A.Amos pushed ob at GB 40 for 26 yards (72-E.Cleveland). [WPA -7.0% · EPA -5.37]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Minnesota Vikings (Q1 50:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle intended for 87-T.Hockenson INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage (29-R.Douglas) at GB 25. 26-D.Savage for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -8.08]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:38) — 1-G.Joseph kicks 70 yards from MIN 35 to GB -5. 25-K.Nixon for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.8% · EPA +5.57]
• Minnesota Vikings (Q3 22:11) — (7:11) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at GB 22 for -7 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark), RECOVERED by GB-97-K.Clark at GB 24. [WPA -1.0% · EPA -5.52]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:59) — (11:59) 16-P.O'Donnell punt is BLOCKED by 44-J.Metellus, Center-56-J.Coco, recovered by GB-6-D.Leavitt at GB 4. 6-D.Leavitt to GB 1 for -3 yards (91-P.Jones). [WPA -17.5% · EPA -5.43]

Quarterback report card

K.Cousins led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) · 36 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -7.0% CPOE · -0.38 EPA/play · -13.79 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 26 dropbacks · 57.7% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +4.80 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +8.21 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, -19.11 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Nailor (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Cousins (MIN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q1 55:41 · GB 2 · Score 3-0
   (10:41) 1-G.Joseph 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 55:38 · MIN 35 · Score 3-6
   1-G.Joseph kicks 70 yards from MIN 35 to GB -5. 25-K.Nixon for 105 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 55:25 · MIN 15 · Score 3-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 50:33 · GB 37 · Score 3-13
   (5:33) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle intended for 87-T.Hockenson INTERCEPTED by 26-D.Savage (29-R.Douglas) at GB 25. 26-D.Savage for 75 yards, TOUCHDO
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:17 · MIN 15 · Score 3-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
6. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 39:52 · MIN 8 · Score 3-17
   (9:52) 2-M.Crosby 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 32:48 · MIN 21 · Score 3-23
   (2:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 32:41 · MIN 15 · Score 3-24
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
9. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · MIN 37 · Score 3-27
   (:04) 2-M.Crosby 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · MIN 2 · Score 3-33
    (15:00) 28-A.Dillon left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 14:54 · MIN 15 · Score 3-34
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 9:31 · MIN 2 · Score 3-40
    (9:31) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 9:25 · MIN 15 · Score 3-41
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Coco, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
14. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 7:44 · GB 47 · Score 9-41
    (7:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep left to 83-J.Nailor for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-47-J.Hollins, Defensive Offside, declined.
15. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 7:36 · GB 15 · Score 10-41
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
16. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 0:25 · GB 9 · Score 16-41
    (:25) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short middle to 17-K.Osborn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 0:21 · GB 15 · Score 17-41
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.