FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 12 · November 24, 2016 · 10 min read

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 12 Recap

Lions defeat Vikings 16–13 in Week 12

A.Boldin led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 13–16 Week 12 finish.

Minnesota Vikings 13 6–5
Final 13–16
Detroit Lions 16 7–4 Winner
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
13–16
Halftime
Minnesota Vikings 7–10 Detroit Lions
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
A.Boldin
Game date
November 24, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Cordarrelle Patterson
    Cordarrelle Patterson 1 CAR · 22 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Asiata 5 CAR · 27 YDS · 1 TD +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Ellison 1 REC · 21 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • A.Boldin 7 REC · 69 YDS · 1 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • G.Tate 5 REC · 77 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 23/43 · 246 YDS · 1 TD +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Minnesota Vikings 16–13 in Week 12 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-11-24, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-29.5% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 12 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-11-24, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 16–13 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +0.41 total EPA, and -0.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Boldin (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.5% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (:38) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at MIN 33. 23-D.Slay to MIN 20 for 13 yards (84-C.Patterson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Minnesota Vikings7033013
Detroit Lions7306016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Boldin · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.55 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
  2. 2 G. Tate · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.48 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Patterson · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.48 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Asiata · Minnesota Vikings · Rushing · +1.37 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Ellison · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Johnson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.42 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +0.41 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.01 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Boldin — DET · Receiving

A. Boldin posted the highest total EPA (+6.55) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +0.73 EPA per play.

The signature play (-3.45 EPA) came from Minnesota Vikings: (:38) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at MIN 33. 23-D.Slay to MIN 20 for 13 yards (84-C.Patterson).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — A. Boldin (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 52:20)
  • Minnesota Vikings — M. Asiata (Q1 45:44)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q2 36:49)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Forbath (Q3 22:07)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Forbath (Q4 12:41)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 1:49)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 0:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q1 52:20) — (7:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 80-A.Boldin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 52:14) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 5 (Q1 45:44) — (:44) 44-M.Asiata left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q1 45:40) — 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 3–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 11 (Q2 36:49) — (6:49) 5-M.Prater 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 3–0. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the DET 12 (Q3 22:07) — (7:07) 2-K.Forbath 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 6–3. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the DET 10 (Q4 12:41) — (12:41) 2-K.Forbath 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 30 (Q4 1:49) — (1:49) 5-M.Prater 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 22 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 5-M.Prater 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 0:38) — (:38) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at MIN 33. 23-D.Slay to MIN 20 for 13 yards (84-C.Patterson). [WPA -29.5% · EPA -3.45]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 5-M.Prater 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. [WPA +19.3% · EPA +0.46]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 1:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 25-T.Riddick to MIN 30 for -1 yards (54-E.Kendricks). [WPA -15.7% · EPA -1.56]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 3:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 80-A.Boldin pushed ob at DET 47 for 29 yards (24-C.Munnerlyn) [99-D.Hunter]. Penalty on MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +2.63]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 33:45) — (3:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass incomplete short left to 19-A.Thielen (92-H.Ngata). [WPA -12.4% · EPA -2.62]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 0:38) — (:38) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at MIN 33. 23-D.Slay to MIN 20 for 13 yards (84-C.Patterson). [WPA -29.5% · EPA -3.45]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 24:45) — (9:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right to 21-J.McKinnon pushed ob at DET 20 for 41 yards (32-T.Wilson). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +2.84]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 32:07) — (2:07) 70-C.Robinson reported in as eligible. 34-Z.Zenner up the middle to MIN 49 for no gain (96-B.Robison). Detroit challenged the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruli [WPA -9.7% · EPA -2.82]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 3:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 80-A.Boldin pushed ob at DET 47 for 29 yards (24-C.Munnerlyn) [99-D.Hunter]. Penalty on MIN-24-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +2.63]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 43 dropbacks · 53.5% completion · -0.8% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.41 total EPA
  • S.Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) · 40 dropbacks · 77.5% completion · +9.8% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -3.02 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMinnesota VikingsDetroit Lions
Offensive EPA/play-0.052-0.052
Offensive success rate43.1%41.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.075+0.009
Rush EPA/play-0.007-0.292
Defensive EPA/play+0.052+0.052
Defensive success rate58.7%56.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Minnesota Vikings -0.05, Detroit Lions -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Detroit Lions: 10 drives, -3.88 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 9 drives, -3.76 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • A. Boldin (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • S. Bradford (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 52:20 · MIN 2 · Score 0-6
    (7:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 80-A.Boldin for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 52:14 · MIN 15 · Score 0-7
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  3. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 45:44 · DET 5 · Score 6-7
    (:44) 44-M.Asiata left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q1 45:40 · DET 15 · Score 7-7
    2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  5. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 36:49 · MIN 11 · Score 7-10
    (6:49) 5-M.Prater 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  6. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q3 22:07 · DET 12 · Score 10-10
    (7:07) 2-K.Forbath 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  7. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 12:41 · DET 10 · Score 13-10
    (12:41) 2-K.Forbath 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  8. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 1:49 · MIN 30 · Score 13-13
    (1:49) 5-M.Prater 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  9. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · MIN 22 · Score 13-16
    (:04) 5-M.Prater 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

The Detroit Lions beat the Minnesota Vikings 16-13 in Week 12, 2016 on 2016-11-24.

What was the final score of Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

The final score was Minnesota Vikings 13, Detroit Lions 16 (MIN 13-16 DET) in Week 12, 2016 on 2016-11-24.

What was the score by quarter in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Q1: Minnesota Vikings 7, Detroit Lions 7; Q2: Minnesota Vikings 0, Detroit Lions 3; Q3: Minnesota Vikings 3, Detroit Lions 0; Q4: Minnesota Vikings 3, Detroit Lions 6; Final: Minnesota Vikings 13, Detroit Lions 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

Detroit Lions touchdown — A. Boldin (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 52:20) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — M. Asiata (Q1 45:44) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q2 36:49, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — K. Forbath (Q3 22:07, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — K. Forbath (Q4 12:41, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q4 1:49, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q4 0:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 53.5% completion, -0.8% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.41 total passing EPA. S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings), 77.5% completion, +9.8% CPOE, -0.08 EPA per dropback, -3.02 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions?

A. Boldin (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +6.55 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.45 EPA): (:38) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right intended for 19-A.Thielen INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Slay at MIN 33. 23-D.Slay to MIN 20 for 13 yards (84-C.Patterson).. The biggest win-probability swing was -29.5%.

Was Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Detroit Lions won 16-13 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 6-4 Now 6-5 L

Detroit Lions

Entered 6-4 Now 7-4 W