Miami Dolphins vs. Philadelphia Eagles: 2015 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-15, the Miami Dolphins took care of business against the Philadelphia Eagles, pulling away with a 20–19 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Tannehill (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +1.86 total EPA, and -5.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Celek (Philadelphia Eagles) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.03 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-33.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Philadelphia Eagles changed the game: (4:32) (Shotgun) 3-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Jones at MIA -3. 20-R.Jones ran ob at MIA 4 for 7 yards (19-M.Austin).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Celek · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +9.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.26 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Matthews · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +7.06 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Bradford · Philadelphia Eagles · Passing · +3.94 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Huff · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +3.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
5. 5 L. Miller · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Murray · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Tannehill · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +1.86 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Mathews · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +1.35 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Philadelphia Eagles — J. Huff (S. Bradford pass) (Q1 53:51)
• Philadelphia Eagles — R. Mathews (Q1 49:48)
• Miami Dolphins — L. Miller (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 35:57)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Landry (R. Tannehill pass) (Q4 15:00)

Field goals

• Miami Dolphins — A. Franks (Q1 55:32)
• Miami Dolphins — A. Franks (Q2 38:21)
• Philadelphia Eagles — C. Sturgis (Q4 10:23)
• Philadelphia Eagles — unlisted player (Q4 1:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Philadelphia Eagles won the period 16–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the PHI 24 (Q1 55:32) — (10:32) 3-A.Franks 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.; Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the MIA 2 (Q1 53:51) — (8:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-S.Bradford pass short middle to 13-J.Huff for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-N.Suh].; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 53:43) — 6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.; Philadelphia Eagles registered a safety from the PHI 99 (Q1 53:41); Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the MIA 1 (Q1 49:48) — (4:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-R.Mathews right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 49:43) — 6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones..

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 10–0. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the PHI 4 (Q2 38:21) — (8:21) 3-A.Franks 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the PHI 13 (Q2 35:57) — (5:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 26-L.Miller for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the PHI 15 (Q2 35:52) — 3-A.Franks extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–6. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the PHI 4 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 14-J.Landry for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the PHI 15 (Q4 14:55) — 3-A.Franks extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the MIA 19 (Q4 10:23) — (10:23) 6-C.Sturgis 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.; Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal (Q4 1:57) — Timeout #2 by PHI at 01:57..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Philadelphia Eagles (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 3-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Jones at MIA -3. 20-R.Jones ran ob at MIA 4 for 7 yards (19-M.Austin). [WPA -33.4% · EPA -4.23]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q4 1:01) — (1:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-M.Sanchez pass short middle to 81-J.Matthews to 50 for 6 yards (20-R.Jones; 52-K.Sheppard) [50-O.Vernon]. [WPA -24.4% · EPA -1.65]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 15:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 18-R.Matthews to PHI 8 for 43 yards (27-M.Jenkins). [WPA +19.2% · EPA +3.86]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 2:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 14-J.Landry to MIA 37 for 18 yards (38-E.Biggers). [WPA +14.8% · EPA +1.71]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 58:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 26-L.Miller to PHI 34 for 35 yards (95-M.Kendricks). [WPA +14.8% · EPA +3.99]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Philadelphia Eagles (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 3-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 20-R.Jones at MIA -3. 20-R.Jones ran ob at MIA 4 for 7 yards (19-M.Austin). [WPA -33.4% · EPA -4.23]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) 8-D.Jones punt is BLOCKED by 49-Z.Vigil, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, ball out of bounds at PHI 12. [WPA -9.7% · EPA -4.20]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 58:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 26-L.Miller to PHI 34 for 35 yards (95-M.Kendricks). [WPA +14.8% · EPA +3.99]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 15:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 18-R.Matthews to PHI 8 for 43 yards (27-M.Jenkins). [WPA +19.2% · EPA +3.86]

Quarterback report card

R.Tannehill led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Tannehill (Miami Dolphins) · 40 dropbacks · 52.5% completion · -5.2% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +1.86 total EPA
• S.Bradford (Philadelphia Eagles) · 34 dropbacks · 55.9% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +3.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Miami Dolphins -0.02, Philadelphia Eagles -0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Miami Dolphins: 14 drives, -1.79 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Philadelphia Eagles: 14 drives, -6.98 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Miami Dolphins leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Celek (Philadelphia Eagles) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Tannehill (MIA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• S. Bradford (PHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q1 55:32 · PHI 24 · Score 3-0
   (10:32) 3-A.Franks 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
2. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q1 53:51 · MIA 2 · Score 3-6
   (8:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-S.Bradford pass short middle to 13-J.Huff for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-N.Suh].
3. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q1 53:43 · MIA 15 · Score 3-7
   6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
4. Philadelphia Eagles Safety (+2) — Q1 53:41 · PHI 99 · Score 3-9
   (8:41) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at MIA -6 for -7 yards (26-W.Thurmond). FUMBLES (26-W.Thurmond) [26-W.Thurmond], ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY.
5. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q1 49:48 · MIA 1 · Score 3-15
   (4:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-R.Mathews right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q1 49:43 · MIA 15 · Score 3-16
   6-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
7. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 38:21 · PHI 4 · Score 6-16
   (8:21) 3-A.Franks 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
8. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 35:57 · PHI 13 · Score 12-16
   (5:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 26-L.Miller for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 35:52 · PHI 15 · Score 13-16
   3-A.Franks extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
10. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · PHI 4 · Score 19-16
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 14-J.Landry for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q4 14:55 · PHI 15 · Score 20-16
    3-A.Franks extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-4-M.Darr.
12. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q4 10:23 · MIA 19 · Score 20-19
    (10:23) 6-C.Sturgis 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-D.Jones.
13. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q4 1:57 · Score 20-19
    Timeout #2 by PHI at 01:57.