Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots: 2013 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-10-27, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 27–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Tannehill (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -3.36 total EPA, and -6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Dobson (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.69 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.4% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (7:51) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at MIA 13 for -10 yards (26-L.Ryan). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan) [26-L.Ryan], RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at MIA 13. 50-R.Ninkovich to MIA 13 for no gain (68-R.Incognito). 35th

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Dobson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.69 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Thomas · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +2.78 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Thomas · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.73 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.73 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Clay · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Gibson · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.23 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Ridley · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.12 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Hartline · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.69 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Miller · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +0.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Miami Dolphins — B. Gibson (R. Tannehill pass) (Q1 51:37)
• Miami Dolphins — D. Thomas (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 39:58)
• New England Patriots — A. Dobson (T. Brady pass) (Q3 23:33)
• New England Patriots — B. Bolden (Q3 21:46)
• New England Patriots — S. Ridley (Q4 7:18)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 33:47)
• Miami Dolphins — C. Sturgis (Q2 30:35)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q3 15:13)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NE 4 (Q1 51:37) — (6:37) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 10-B.Gibson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q1 51:32) — 9-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields..

The second quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 10–3. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q2 39:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 33-D.Thomas for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the NE 12 (Q2 39:55); New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the MIA 16 (Q2 33:47) — (3:47) 3-S.Gostkowski 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the NE 33 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) 9-C.Sturgis 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 17–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the MIA 14 (Q3 23:33); New England Patriots added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q3 23:28) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the MIA 2 (Q3 21:46) — (6:46) (No Huddle) 38-B.Bolden left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q3 21:42) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the MIA 30 (Q3 15:13) — (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the MIA 3 (Q4 7:18) — (7:18) 22-S.Ridley left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the MIA 2 (Q4 7:14) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Miami Dolphins (Q3 22:51) — (7:51) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at MIA 13 for -10 yards (26-L.Ryan). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan) [26-L.Ryan], RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at MIA 13. 50-R.Ninkovich to MIA 13 for no gain (68-R.Incognito). 35th [WPA -16.4% · EPA -4.77]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 13:16) — (13:16) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right intended for 11-M.Wallace INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Cole (32-D.McCourty) [50-R.Ninkovich] at NE 18. 23-M.Cole ran ob at NE 18 for no gain. The Replay Assista [WPA -15.3% · EPA -3.05]
• New England Patriots (Q1 57:19) — (12:19) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 87-R.Gronkowski INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Patterson at NE 42. 24-D.Patterson to NE 40 for 2 yards (87-R.Gronkowski). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.62]
• New England Patriots (Q3 15:13) — (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +1.51]
• New England Patriots (Q4 10:27) — (10:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles right guard to MIA 26 for 8 yards (52-P.Wheeler). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +2.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q3 22:51) — (7:51) 17-R.Tannehill sacked at MIA 13 for -10 yards (26-L.Ryan). FUMBLES (26-L.Ryan) [26-L.Ryan], RECOVERED by NE-50-R.Ninkovich at MIA 13. 50-R.Ninkovich to MIA 13 for no gain (68-R.Incognito). 35th [WPA -16.4% · EPA -4.77]
• New England Patriots (Q1 57:19) — (12:19) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 87-R.Gronkowski INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Patterson at NE 42. 24-D.Patterson to NE 40 for 2 yards (87-R.Gronkowski). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.62]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 25:18) — (10:18) 9-C.Sturgis 46 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields. [WPA -4.5% · EPA -3.84]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) 9-C.Sturgis 39 yard field goal is BLOCKED (95-Cha.Jones), Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields, RECOVERED by NE-28-S.Gregory at NE 25. 28-S.Gregory to NE 36 for 11 yards (79-D.Shelby). [WPA -3.2% · EPA -3.63]

Quarterback report card

R.Tannehill led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Tannehill (Miami Dolphins) · 50 dropbacks · 44.0% completion · -6.3% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -3.36 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 30 dropbacks · 43.3% completion · -3.4% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -2.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.07), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Miami Dolphins: 12 drives, -6.52 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 13 drives, +2.64 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Dobson (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Tannehill (MIA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 51:37 · NE 4 · Score 6-0
   (6:37) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 10-B.Gibson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 51:32 · NE 2 · Score 7-0
   9-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
3. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 39:58 · NE 5 · Score 13-0
   (9:58) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 33-D.Thomas for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 39:55 · NE 12 · Score 14-0
   9-C.Sturgis extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields. PENALTY on NE-25-K.Arrington, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
5. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 33:47 · MIA 16 · Score 14-3
   (3:47) 3-S.Gostkowski 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
6. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:35 · NE 33 · Score 17-3
   (:35) 9-C.Sturgis 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-B.Fields.
7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 23:33 · MIA 14 · Score 17-9
   (8:33) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 17-A.Dobson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-P.Wheeler]. NE 12-Brady 343 career Pass TD, passing Fran Tarkenton for 4t
8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 23:28 · MIA 2 · Score 17-10
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
9. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 21:46 · MIA 2 · Score 17-16
   (6:46) (No Huddle) 38-B.Bolden left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 21:42 · MIA 2 · Score 17-17
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
11. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 15:13 · MIA 30 · Score 17-20
    (:13) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 7:18 · MIA 3 · Score 17-26
    (7:18) 22-S.Ridley left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 7:14 · MIA 2 · Score 17-27
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Aiken, Holder-6-R.Allen.