FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 20, 2024 · 11 min read

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2024 Week 7 Recap

Colts defeat Dolphins 16–10 in Week 7

Jonnu Smith led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 10–16 Week 7 finish.

Miami Dolphins 10 2–4
Final 10–16
Indianapolis Colts 16 4–3 Winner
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
10–16
Halftime
Miami Dolphins 10–6 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
Anthony Richardson
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonnu Smith
Game date
October 20, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Dolphins

  • Jonnu Smith
    Jonnu Smith 7 REC · 96 YDS · 1 TD +10.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Alec Ingold
    Alec Ingold 1 REC · 25 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Tim Boyle
    Tim Boyle 8/13 · 78 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Michael Pittman
    Michael Pittman 3 REC · 63 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Ashton Dulin
    Ashton Dulin 1 CAR · 12 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Trey Sermon
    Trey Sermon 1 REC · 13 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Miami Dolphins 16–10 in Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-10-20, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-18.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-10-20, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 16–10 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 12 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Richardson (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -4.68 total EPA, and -18.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Smith (Miami Dolphins) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.88 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (5:19) 7-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Miami Dolphins7300010
Indianapolis Colts06712016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Smith · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +10.88 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Pittman · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.08 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Ingold · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.22 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Boyle · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +0.94 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Huntley · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +0.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Dulin · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +0.91 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Waddle · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Wright · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +0.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Smith — MIA · Receiving

J. Smith posted the highest total EPA (+10.88) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Miami Dolphins's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +1.55 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.30 EPA) came from Miami Dolphins: (11:48) 31-R.Mostert left tackle to MIA 45 for 7 yards (50-S.Olubi; 32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (50-S.Olubi), RECOVERED by IND-50-S.Olubi at MIA 46. 50-S.Olubi to MIA 28 for 18 yards (89-J.Hill; 17-J.Waddle).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Miami Dolphins — J. Smith (T. Huntley pass) (Q1 51:02)
  • Indianapolis Colts — T. Goodson (Q3 24:11)

Field goals

  • Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q2 30:25)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q2 30:05)
  • Indianapolis Colts — unlisted player (Q2 30:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q4 8:44)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q4 8:41)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q4 1:55)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Gay (Q4 1:51)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 7–0. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the IND 10 (Q1 51:02) — (6:02) (Shotgun) 18-T.Huntley pass short left to 9-J.Smith for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 50:56) — 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the IND 15 (Q2 30:25) — (:25) 7-J.Sanders 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the MIA 34 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 7-M.Gay 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the MIA 7 (Q3 24:11) — (9:11) (Shotgun) 31-T.Goodson left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 24:08) — 7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 12–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the MIA 4 (Q4 8:44) — (8:44) 7-M.Gay 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the IND 35 (Q4 8:41) — 7-M.Gay kicks 68 yards from IND 35 to MIA -3. 0-B.Berrios to MIA 23 for 26 yards (50-S.Olubi). MIA-0-B.Berrios was injured during the play.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the MIA 20 (Q4 1:55) — (1:55) 7-M.Gay 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the IND 35 (Q4 1:51) — 7-M.Gay kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback to the MIA 30..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q4 5:19) — (5:19) 7-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -3.52]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 18:02) — (3:02) 30-A.Ingold left guard to IND 15 for -2 yards (41-G.Stuard, 44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), touched at IND 14, RECOVERED by IND-96-T.Bryan at IND 14. [WPA -17.5% · EPA -5.82]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 26:48) — (11:48) 31-R.Mostert left tackle to MIA 45 for 7 yards (50-S.Olubi; 32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (50-S.Olubi), RECOVERED by IND-50-S.Olubi at MIA 46. 50-S.Olubi to MIA 28 for 18 yards (89-J.Hill; 17-J.Wadd [WPA -15.7% · EPA -6.30]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 45:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 12, touched at MIA 11, RECOVERED by MIA-92-Z.Sieler at MIA 16. [WPA -13.0% · EPA -5.34]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 12:56) — (12:56) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson pass short right to 14-A.Pierce to MIA 32 for 10 yards (20-J.Brooks, 29-K.Fuller). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +2.10]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 26:48) — (11:48) 31-R.Mostert left tackle to MIA 45 for 7 yards (50-S.Olubi; 32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (50-S.Olubi), RECOVERED by IND-50-S.Olubi at MIA 46. 50-S.Olubi to MIA 28 for 18 yards (89-J.Hill; 17-J.Wadd [WPA -15.7% · EPA -6.30]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q3 18:02) — (3:02) 30-A.Ingold left guard to IND 15 for -2 yards (41-G.Stuard, 44-Z.Franklin). FUMBLES (44-Z.Franklin), touched at IND 14, RECOVERED by IND-96-T.Bryan at IND 14. [WPA -17.5% · EPA -5.82]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 45:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 5-A.Richardson FUMBLES (Aborted) at MIA 12, touched at MIA 11, RECOVERED by MIA-92-Z.Sieler at MIA 16. [WPA -13.0% · EPA -5.34]
  • Miami Dolphins (Q4 5:19) — (5:19) 7-J.Sanders 54 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -3.52]

Quarterback report card

A.Richardson led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Richardson (Indianapolis Colts) · 30 dropbacks · 33.3% completion · -18.7% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -4.68 total EPA
  • T.Huntley (Miami Dolphins) · 19 dropbacks · 36.8% completion · -5.0% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -1.89 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatMiami DolphinsIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play-0.226-0.156
Offensive success rate44.7%38.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.030-0.156
Rush EPA/play-0.416-0.226
Defensive EPA/play+0.156+0.226
Defensive success rate61.3%55.3%

By the numbers

Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.16 vs -0.23), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, -12.49 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Miami Dolphins: 12 drives, -19.21 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Smith (Miami Dolphins) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Richardson (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Huntley (MIA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q1 51:02 · IND 10 · Score 6-0
    (6:02) (Shotgun) 18-T.Huntley pass short left to 9-J.Smith for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q1 50:56 · IND 15 · Score 7-0
    7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
  3. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:25 · IND 15 · Score 10-0
    (:25) 7-J.Sanders 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-M.Overton, Holder-16-J.Bailey.
  4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · MIA 34 · Score 10-3
    (:05) 7-M.Gay 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 10-3
    END QUARTER 2
  6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 24:11 · MIA 7 · Score 10-9
    (9:11) (Shotgun) 31-T.Goodson left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 24:08 · MIA 15 · Score 10-10
    7-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 8:44 · MIA 4 · Score 10-13
    (8:44) 7-M.Gay 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 8:41 · IND 35 · Score 10-13
    7-M.Gay kicks 68 yards from IND 35 to MIA -3. 0-B.Berrios to MIA 23 for 26 yards (50-S.Olubi). MIA-0-B.Berrios was injured during the play.
  10. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 1:55 · MIA 20 · Score 10-16
    (1:55) 7-M.Gay 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 1:51 · IND 35 · Score 10-16
    7-M.Gay kicks 65 yards from IND 35 to end zone, Touchback to the MIA 30.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Miami Dolphins 16-10 in Week 7, 2024 on 2024-10-20.

What was the final score of Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Miami Dolphins 10, Indianapolis Colts 16 (MIA 10-16 IND) in Week 7, 2024 on 2024-10-20.

What was the score by quarter in Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Miami Dolphins 7, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q2: Miami Dolphins 3, Indianapolis Colts 6; Q3: Miami Dolphins 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Miami Dolphins 0, Indianapolis Colts 12; Final: Miami Dolphins 10, Indianapolis Colts 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

Miami Dolphins touchdown — J. Smith (T. Huntley pass) (Q1 51:02) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — T. Goodson (Q3 24:11) Miami Dolphins field goal — J. Sanders (Q2 30:25, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q2 30:05, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — unlisted player (Q2 30:00, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q4 8:44, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q4 8:41, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q4 1:55, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — M. Gay (Q4 1:51, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

A. Richardson (Indianapolis Colts), 33.3% completion, -18.7% CPOE, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -4.68 total passing EPA. T. Huntley (Miami Dolphins), 36.8% completion, -5.0% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -1.89 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts?

J. Smith (Miami Dolphins) led the game in total EPA with +10.88 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.30 EPA): (11:48) 31-R.Mostert left tackle to MIA 45 for 7 yards (50-S.Olubi; 32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (50-S.Olubi), RECOVERED by IND-50-S.Olubi at MIA 46. 50-S.Olubi to MIA 28 for 18 yards (. The biggest win-probability swing was -18.9%.

Was Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Indianapolis Colts won 16-10 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Miami Dolphins

Entered 2-3 Now 2-4 L

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 3-3 Now 4-3 W