Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-11, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 31–12 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Osweiler (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -13.71 total EPA, and -5.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Jones (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.41 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: (11:06) (Shotgun) 8-B.Osweiler FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 19, RECOVERED by GB-93-R.Gilbert at GB 30. 93-R.Gilbert to GB 30 for no gain (79-S.Young).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +8.41 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.05 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Greene · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +4.06 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.06 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +3.54 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
5. 5 F. Gore · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +3.40 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Carroo · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Carroo · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +2.88 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.88 EPA/play
8. 8 N. O'Leary · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +2.84 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.84 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 51:07)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q2 45:00)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q3 24:38)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 22:31)

Field goals

• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q1 46:22)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q2 40:33)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q2 32:54)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Sanders (Q3 26:43)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 8:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIA 7 (Q1 51:07) — (6:07) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q1 51:07) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the GB 19 (Q1 46:22) — (1:22) 7-J.Sanders 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–6. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIA 2 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 44:53) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the GB 7 (Q2 40:33); Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the GB 29 (Q2 32:54) — (2:54) 7-J.Sanders 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the GB 22 (Q3 26:43) — (11:43) 7-J.Sanders 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIA 10 (Q3 24:38) — (9:38) 33-A.Jones right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 24:33) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the MIA 25 (Q3 22:31) — (7:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 22:25) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the MIA 20 (Q4 8:57) — (8:57) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Miami Dolphins (Q1 56:06) — (11:06) (Shotgun) 8-B.Osweiler FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 19, RECOVERED by GB-93-R.Gilbert at GB 30. 93-R.Gilbert to GB 30 for no gain (79-S.Young). [WPA -19.1% · EPA -6.69]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 59:49) — (14:49) (No Huddle) 21-F.Gore up the middle to GB 41 for 39 yards (23-J.Alexander). [WPA +9.2% · EPA +3.38]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 24:03) — (9:03) (No Huddle) 8-B.Osweiler pass short left intended for 80-D.Amendola INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at MIA 38. 26-B.Breeland pushed ob at MIA 12 for 26 yards (64-J.Brendel). [WPA -8.8% · EPA -5.61]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 35:36) — (5:36) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 45 for -6 yards (sack split by 91-C.Wake and 94-R.Quinn). [WPA -8.2% · EPA -3.40]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:13) — (1:13) 33-A.Jones up the middle pushed ob at MIA 4 for 67 yards (25-X.Howard). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +4.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q1 56:06) — (11:06) (Shotgun) 8-B.Osweiler FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 19, RECOVERED by GB-93-R.Gilbert at GB 30. 93-R.Gilbert to GB 30 for no gain (79-S.Young). [WPA -19.1% · EPA -6.69]
• Miami Dolphins (Q3 24:03) — (9:03) (No Huddle) 8-B.Osweiler pass short left intended for 80-D.Amendola INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at MIA 38. 26-B.Breeland pushed ob at MIA 12 for 26 yards (64-J.Brendel). [WPA -8.8% · EPA -5.61]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:13) — (1:13) 33-A.Jones up the middle pushed ob at MIA 4 for 67 yards (25-X.Howard). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +4.38]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:08) — (11:08) (Punt formation) 50-B.Martinez reported in as eligible. Direct snap to 36-R.Greene. 36-R.Greene left end to MIA 23 for 26 yards (45-M.Hull). [WPA +1.8% · EPA +4.06]

Quarterback report card

B.Osweiler led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Osweiler (Miami Dolphins) · 46 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -5.9% CPOE · -0.30 EPA/play · -13.71 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 36 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · +5.8% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +3.54 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs -0.13), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 9 drives, +7.15 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Miami Dolphins: 10 drives, -10.64 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Jones (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Osweiler (MIA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 51:07 · MIA 7 · Score 0-6
   (6:07) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 51:07 · MIA 15 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
3. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q1 46:22 · GB 19 · Score 3-7
   (1:22) 7-J.Sanders 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · MIA 2 · Score 3-13
   (15:00) (Shotgun) 33-A.Jones up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 44:53 · MIA 15 · Score 3-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
6. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 40:33 · GB 7 · Score 6-14
   (10:33) 7-J.Sanders 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack. Penalty on GB-37-J.Jackson, Defensive Offside, declined.
7. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 32:54 · GB 29 · Score 9-14
   (2:54) 7-J.Sanders 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack.
8. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q3 26:43 · GB 22 · Score 12-14
   (11:43) 7-J.Sanders 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-2-M.Haack.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:38 · MIA 10 · Score 12-20
   (9:38) 33-A.Jones right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:33 · MIA 15 · Score 12-21
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 22:31 · MIA 25 · Score 12-27
    (7:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 17-D.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 22:25 · MIA 15 · Score 12-28
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 8:57 · MIA 20 · Score 12-31
    (8:57) 2-M.Crosby 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.