Las Vegas Raiders vs. New York Jets: 2006 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-31, the New York Jets took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 23–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Pennington (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with +1.10 total EPA, and +13.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Gabriel (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.10 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+7.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (8:42) 16-B.Smith left end pushed ob at LV 23 for 20 yards (21-N.Asomugha).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Gabriel · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.10 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.05 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.90 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Curry · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.81 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
4. 4 L. Coles · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.44 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Baker · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Smith · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.37 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Fargas · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +1.15 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Pennington · New York Jets · Passing · +1.10 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — C. Baker (C. Pennington pass) (Q1 50:01)
• New York Jets — L. Washington (Q4 13:44)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 40:41)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q2 30:08)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q3 22:49)
• New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q4 11:48)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q1 50:01) — (5:01) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 86-C.Baker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 49:54) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NYJ 18 (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-C.Morris, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q2 30:08).

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the LV 4 (Q3 22:49) — (7:49) 1-M.Nugent 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the LV 15 (Q4 13:44) — (13:44) 29-L.Washington left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pitch left.; New York Jets added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 13:37) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q4 11:48) — (11:48) 1-M.Nugent 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q1 53:42) — (8:42) 16-B.Smith left end pushed ob at LV 23 for 20 yards (21-N.Asomugha). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +1.78]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 54:29) — (9:29) 2-A.Brooks pass short left to 19-J.Morant to LV 47 for 7 yards (36-D.Barrett). FUMBLES (36-D.Barrett), RECOVERED by NYJ-31-H.Poteat at LV 48. 31-H.Poteat to LV 44 for 4 yards. [WPA -7.4% · EPA -3.71]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 41:09) — (11:09) 2-A.Brooks sacked at NYJ 18 for -8 yards (25-K.Rhodes). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -1.25]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 21:12) — (6:12) 2-A.Brooks pass deep left to 80-D.Gabriel to LV 46 for 28 yards (26-E.Coleman, 54-V.Hobson). [WPA +6.5% · EPA +3.19]
• New York Jets (Q3 26:49) — (11:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass short right to 87-L.Coles ran ob at LV 34 for 18 yards. [WPA +5.7% · EPA +2.56]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) 2-A.Brooks sacked at LV 22 for -7 yards (50-E.Barton). FUMBLES (50-E.Barton), RECOVERED by NYJ-98-B.Hamilton at LV 22. 98-B.Hamilton to LV 22 for no gain (66-L.Walker). [WPA -1.4% · EPA -5.29]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 10:17) — (10:17) (No Huddle) 2-A.Brooks pass short right intended for 86-R.Williams INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Smith at NYJ 45. 33-E.Smith to NYJ 46 for 1 yard (86-R.Williams). [WPA -0.9% · EPA -4.49]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 54:29) — (9:29) 2-A.Brooks pass short left to 19-J.Morant to LV 47 for 7 yards (36-D.Barrett). FUMBLES (36-D.Barrett), RECOVERED by NYJ-31-H.Poteat at LV 48. 31-H.Poteat to LV 44 for 4 yards. [WPA -7.4% · EPA -3.71]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 7:14) — (7:14) (Run formation) 2-A.Brooks pass short right to 89-R.Curry to NYJ 44 for 17 yards (25-K.Rhodes, 22-J.Miller). [WPA -0.0% · EPA +3.37]

Quarterback report card

C.Pennington led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 34 dropbacks · 64.7% completion · +13.1% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +1.10 total EPA
• A.Brooks (Las Vegas Raiders) · 29 dropbacks · 51.7% completion · -8.1% CPOE · -0.48 EPA/play · -13.97 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Jets held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 10 drives, -16.04 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 10 drives, +3.25 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Gabriel (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Pennington (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Brooks (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 50:01 · LV 1 · Score 0-6
   (5:01) 10-C.Pennington pass short left to 86-C.Baker for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 49:54 · LV 2 · Score 0-7
   1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 40:41 · NYJ 18 · Score 3-7
   (10:41) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-C.Morris, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
4. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 30:08 · LV 17 · Score 3-10
   (:08) 1-M.Nugent 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham. NYJ-74-N.Mangold was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 22:49 · LV 4 · Score 3-13
   (7:49) 1-M.Nugent 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
6. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 13:44 · LV 15 · Score 3-19
   (13:44) 29-L.Washington left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pitch left.
7. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 13:37 · LV 2 · Score 3-20
   1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
8. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 11:48 · LV 17 · Score 3-23
   (11:48) 1-M.Nugent 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.