Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots: 2020 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-09-27, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 36–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -0.03 total EPA, and +9.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Burkhead (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (3:20) (Shotgun) 28-J.Jacobs left tackle to NE 13 for -1 yards (90-S.Calhoun). FUMBLES (90-S.Calhoun), RECOVERED by NE-27-J.Jackson at NE 13.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Burkhead · New England Patriots · Rushing · +6.76 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Michel · New England Patriots · Rushing · +5.20 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
3. 3 H. Renfrow · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.87 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
4. 4 F. Moreau · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.78 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Edwards · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Booker · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +2.61 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Taylor · New England Patriots · Rushing · +1.96 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
8. 8 Z. Jones · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.73 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — R. Burkhead (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:42)
• Las Vegas Raiders — F. Moreau (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:09)
• New England Patriots — R. Burkhead (Q3 21:46)
• New England Patriots — R. Burkhead (Q4 5:24)
• New England Patriots — D. Carr (Q4 5:13)
• Las Vegas Raiders — H. Renfrow (D. Carr pass) (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q1 45:20)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 42:35)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q2 37:59)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q3 16:31)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 11:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 11 (Q1 45:20) — (:20) 2-D.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–7. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 15 (Q2 42:35) — (12:35) 6-N.Folk 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 5 (Q2 37:59) — (7:59) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 11 (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-R.Burkhead for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 30:34) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 87-F.Moreau for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 30:06) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q3 21:46) — (6:46) (No Huddle) 34-R.Burkhead left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 34-Burkhead 4th multi-TD game of his career.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 21:41) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the LV 14 (Q3 16:31) — (1:31) 6-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–10. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the NE 7 (Q4 11:25) — (11:25) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q4 5:24); New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 94 (Q4 5:13); New England Patriots added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:09) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the NE 13 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q4 1:54) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 28-J.Jacobs left tackle to NE 13 for -1 yards (90-S.Calhoun). FUMBLES (90-S.Calhoun), RECOVERED by NE-27-J.Jackson at NE 13. [WPA -15.4% · EPA -5.19]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 25:48) — (10:48) 2-D.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. [WPA -11.9% · EPA -3.81]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:08) — (2:08) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 34-R.Burkhead INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Abram at NE 38. 24-J.Abram to NE 14 for 24 yards (69-S.Mason). [WPA -11.8% · EPA -5.10]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 27:58) — (12:58) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 89-B.Edwards to NE 26 for 34 yards (30-J.McCourty). [WPA +11.8% · EPA +3.01]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 42:10) — (12:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 40 for -8 yards (50-C.Winovich). FUMBLES (50-C.Winovich) [50-C.Winovich], RECOVERED by NE-93-L.Guy at LV 42. 93-L.Guy to LV 42 for no gain (66-G.Jack [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.63]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:13) — (5:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 90-S.Calhoun and 91-D.Wise). The Replay Official reviewed the safety ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 4-D.C [WPA -1.1% · EPA -6.89]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 42:10) — (12:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 40 for -8 yards (50-C.Winovich). FUMBLES (50-C.Winovich) [50-C.Winovich], RECOVERED by NE-93-L.Guy at LV 42. 93-L.Guy to LV 42 for no gain (66-G.Jack [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.63]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 28-J.Jacobs left tackle to NE 13 for -1 yards (90-S.Calhoun). FUMBLES (90-S.Calhoun), RECOVERED by NE-27-J.Jackson at NE 13. [WPA -15.4% · EPA -5.19]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:08) — (2:08) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 34-R.Burkhead INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Abram at NE 38. 24-J.Abram to NE 14 for 24 yards (69-S.Mason). [WPA -11.8% · EPA -5.10]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · +9.9% CPOE · -0.00 EPA/play · -0.03 total EPA
• C.Newton (New England Patriots) · 32 dropbacks · 53.1% completion · -7.7% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -1.83 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs -0.10), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, -7.58 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 12 drives, +11.75 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Burkhead (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Newton (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 45:20 · NE 11 · Score 3-0
   (:20) 2-D.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
2. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 42:35 · LV 15 · Score 3-3
   (12:35) 6-N.Folk 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
3. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 37:59 · LV 5 · Score 3-6
   (7:59) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
4. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 30:42 · LV 11 · Score 3-12
   (:42) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 34-R.Burkhead for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 30:34 · LV 15 · Score 3-13
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:09 · NE 1 · Score 9-13
   (:09) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 87-F.Moreau for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined.
7. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:06 · NE 15 · Score 10-13
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 21:46 · LV 5 · Score 10-19
   (6:46) (No Huddle) 34-R.Burkhead left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 34-Burkhead 4th multi-TD game of his career.
9. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 21:41 · LV 15 · Score 10-20
   6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
10. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 16:31 · LV 14 · Score 10-23
    (1:31) 6-N.Folk 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
11. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 11:25 · NE 7 · Score 13-23
    (11:25) 2-D.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
12. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 5:24 · LV 2 · Score 13-29
    (5:24) (No Huddle) 34-R.Burkhead left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 34-Burkhead 1st 3 TD game of his career The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the
13. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 5:13 · NE 94 · Score 13-35
    (5:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked in End Zone for -6 yards, SAFETY (sack split by 90-S.Calhoun and 91-D.Wise). The Replay Official reviewed the safety ruling, an
14. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 5:09 · LV 15 · Score 13-36
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
15. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · NE 13 · Score 19-36
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 1:54 · NE 15 · Score 20-36
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.