Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins: 2017 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-11-05, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Cutler (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with +10.83 total EPA, and +14.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (12:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 47 for -10 yards (93-N.Suh). FUMBLES (93-N.Suh), recovered by LV-73-M.Newhouse at LV 43. 73-M.Newhouse to LV 49 for 6 yards (47-K.Alonso). FUMBLES (47-K.Alonso)

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +12.55 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Cook · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +11.76 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Cutler · Miami Dolphins · Passing · +10.83 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Holton · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.42 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.42 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Thomas · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Williams · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.98 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Parker · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +3.70 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Roberts · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Miami Dolphins — D. Williams (J. Cutler pass) (Q2 40:47)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Holton (D. Carr pass) (Q2 33:35)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Lynch (Q3 24:38)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Landry (J. Cutler pass) (Q3 21:41)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Lynch (Q4 4:42)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Thomas (J. Cutler pass) (Q4 1:36)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — G. Tavecchio (Q1 52:35)
• Miami Dolphins — C. Parkey (Q2 30:37)
• Las Vegas Raiders — G. Tavecchio (Q2 30:01)
• Las Vegas Raiders — G. Tavecchio (Q3 30:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the MIA 17 (Q1 52:35) — (7:35) 2-G.Tavecchio 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–9. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the LV 10 (Q2 40:47) — (10:47) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 26-D.Williams for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the MIA 44 (Q2 33:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-J.Holton for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 33:26) — 2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Miami Dolphins connected on a field goal from the LV 31 (Q2 30:37) — (:37) 1-C.Parkey 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the MIA 35 (Q2 30:01) — (:01) (Field Goal formation) 2-G.Tavecchio 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LV 35 (Q3 30:00) — 2-G.Tavecchio kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the MIA 22 (Q3 24:38) — (9:38) 24-M.Lynch up the middle for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 24:23) — 2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q3 21:41) — (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-J.Landry for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 21:34) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack..

The fourth quarter: Miami Dolphins won the period 8–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the MIA 3 (Q4 4:42) — (4:42) (Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q4 4:37) — 2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the LV 15 (Q4 1:36) — (1:36) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 89-J.Thomas for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins registered a safety from the LV 2 (Q4 1:32) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 32-K.Drake rushes right tackle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 47 for -10 yards (93-N.Suh). FUMBLES (93-N.Suh), recovered by LV-73-M.Newhouse at LV 43. 73-M.Newhouse to LV 49 for 6 yards (47-K.Alonso). FUMBLES (47-K.Alonso) [WPA -13.0% · EPA -3.79]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 58:42) — (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 87-J.Cook ran ob at MIA 39 for 35 yards. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.87]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-J.Holton for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +4.42]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 4:56) — (4:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 10-S.Roberts pushed ob at MIA 36 for 29 yards (20-R.Jones). PENALTY on MIA-20-R.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at MIA 36. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +3.68]
• Miami Dolphins (Q2 37:37) — (7:37) 32-K.Drake left guard to LV 20 for 4 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin), RECOVERED by LV-38-T.Carrie at LV 19. [WPA -10.6% · EPA -5.12]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q2 37:37) — (7:37) 32-K.Drake left guard to LV 20 for 4 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin), RECOVERED by LV-38-T.Carrie at LV 19. [WPA -10.6% · EPA -5.12]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-J.Holton for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.0% · EPA +4.42]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 58:42) — (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 87-J.Cook ran ob at MIA 39 for 35 yards. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +3.87]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 47 for -10 yards (93-N.Suh). FUMBLES (93-N.Suh), recovered by LV-73-M.Newhouse at LV 43. 73-M.Newhouse to LV 49 for 6 yards (47-K.Alonso). FUMBLES (47-K.Alonso) [WPA -13.0% · EPA -3.79]

Quarterback report card

J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Cutler (Miami Dolphins) · 45 dropbacks · 75.6% completion · +14.0% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +10.83 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 34 dropbacks · 61.8% completion · +13.4% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +12.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs +0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, +7.84 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Miami Dolphins: 11 drives, +1.66 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Cutler (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 52:35 · MIA 17 · Score 3-0
   (7:35) 2-G.Tavecchio 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
2. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 40:47 · LV 10 · Score 3-6
   (10:47) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 26-D.Williams for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 33:35 · MIA 44 · Score 9-6
   (3:35) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-J.Holton for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 33:26 · MIA 15 · Score 10-6
   2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
5. Miami Dolphins FG (+3) — Q2 30:37 · LV 31 · Score 10-9
   (:37) 1-C.Parkey 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack.
6. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:01 · MIA 35 · Score 13-9
   (:01) (Field Goal formation) 2-G.Tavecchio 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
7. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 30:00 · LV 35 · Score 13-9
   2-G.Tavecchio kicks 65 yards from LV 35 to end zone, Touchback.
8. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 24:38 · MIA 22 · Score 19-9
   (9:38) 24-M.Lynch up the middle for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 24:23 · MIA 15 · Score 20-9
   2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
10. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q3 21:41 · LV 6 · Score 20-15
    (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-J.Landry for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q3 21:34 · LV 15 · Score 20-16
    1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-92-J.Denney, Holder-16-M.Haack.
12. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 4:42 · MIA 3 · Score 26-16
    (4:42) (Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 4:37 · MIA 15 · Score 27-16
    2-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
14. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 1:36 · LV 15 · Score 27-22
    (1:36) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 89-J.Thomas for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Miami Dolphins Safety (+2) — Q4 1:32 · LV 2 · Score 27-24
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 32-K.Drake rushes right tackle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.