FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 18, 2016 · 11 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 2016 Week 15 Recap

Raiders defeat Chargers 19–16 in Week 15

Derek Carr led Fantasy Impact as Raiders prevailed in a 19–16 Week 15 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 19 11–3 Winner
Final 19–16
Los Angeles Chargers 16 5–9
Winner
Las Vegas Raiders
Final score
19–16
Halftime
Tied 10–10 at halftime
Top passer
Derek Carr
FantasyHQ MVP
Derek Carr
Game date
December 18, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • Derek Carr
    Derek Carr 19/35 · 214 YDS · 1 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Crabtree 6 REC · 60 YDS · 1 TD +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Holmes 1 REC · 23 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • T.Benjamin 2 REC · 56 YDS · 1 TD +6.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Hunter Henry
    Hunter Henry 3 REC · 37 YDS · 1 TD +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Philip Rivers
    Philip Rivers 17/33 · 190 YDS · 2 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 19–16 in Week 15 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-18, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-26.8% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Los Angeles Chargers swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-18, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Los Angeles Chargers, pulling away with a 19–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +6.81 total EPA, and -1.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.81 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.8% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Los Angeles Chargers changed the game: (11:44) 27-K.Farrow up the middle to LAC 14 for -2 yards (54-P.Riley). FUMBLES (54-P.Riley), RECOVERED by LV-53-M.Smith at LAC 14. 53-M.Smith to LAC 13 for 1 yard (84-S.McGrath).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Las Vegas Raiders3736019
Los Angeles Chargers7360016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +6.81 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Benjamin · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +6.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
  3. 3 H. Henry · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +3.68 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Crabtree · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.81 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  5. 5 P. Rivers · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +2.43 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Holmes · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.96 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.96 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Olawale · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.77 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Rivera · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Carr — LV · Passing

D. Carr posted the highest total EPA (+6.81) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.19 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.53 EPA) came from Los Angeles Chargers: (11:44) 27-K.Farrow up the middle to LAC 14 for -2 yards (54-P.Riley). FUMBLES (54-P.Riley), RECOVERED by LV-53-M.Smith at LAC 14. 53-M.Smith to LAC 13 for 1 yard (84-S.McGrath).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Chargers — T. Benjamin (P. Rivers pass) (Q1 55:39)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:27)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — H. Henry (P. Rivers pass) (Q3 21:19)

Field goals

  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 49:58)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — J. Lambo (Q2 31:33)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 25:52)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 8:44)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 2:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 47 (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep right to 12-T.Benjamin for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 55:32) — 2-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-M.Windt, Holder-10-K.Clemens.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 27 (Q1 49:58) — (4:58) 11-S.Janikowski 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q2 31:33) — (1:33) 2-J.Lambo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-M.Windt, Holder-10-K.Clemens.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LAC 13 (Q2 30:27); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 30:22) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 6–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 15 (Q3 25:52) — (10:52) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q3 21:19) — (6:19) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 86-H.Henry for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 6–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 2 (Q4 8:44) — (8:44) 11-S.Janikowski 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the LAC 26 (Q4 2:42) — (2:42) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q4 11:44) — (11:44) 27-K.Farrow up the middle to LAC 14 for -2 yards (54-P.Riley). FUMBLES (54-P.Riley), RECOVERED by LV-53-M.Smith at LAC 14. 53-M.Smith to LAC 13 for 1 yard (84-S.McGrath). [WPA -26.8% · EPA -5.53]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep right to 12-T.Benjamin for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.7% · EPA +5.07]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:42) — (2:42) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King. [WPA +16.5% · EPA +0.95]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 46:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to LAC 10 for 4 yards (54-M.Ingram). FUMBLES (54-M.Ingram), RECOVERED by LAC-51-K.Emanuel at LAC 9. 51-K.Emanuel to LAC 9 for no gain (66-G.Jackson). The Repla [WPA -14.9% · EPA -5.05]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 3:28) — (3:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LAC 26 for -7 yards (54-M.Ingram). [WPA -13.3% · EPA -1.09]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q4 11:44) — (11:44) 27-K.Farrow up the middle to LAC 14 for -2 yards (54-P.Riley). FUMBLES (54-P.Riley), RECOVERED by LV-53-M.Smith at LAC 14. 53-M.Smith to LAC 13 for 1 yard (84-S.McGrath). [WPA -26.8% · EPA -5.53]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep right to 12-T.Benjamin for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.7% · EPA +5.07]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 46:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard to LAC 10 for 4 yards (54-M.Ingram). FUMBLES (54-M.Ingram), RECOVERED by LAC-51-K.Emanuel at LAC 9. 51-K.Emanuel to LAC 9 for no gain (66-G.Jackson). The Repla [WPA -14.9% · EPA -5.05]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 39:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 10-S.Roberts INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Reed at LAC 3. 38-T.Reed to LAC 6 for 3 yards (10-S.Roberts). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -3.68]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 35 dropbacks · 54.3% completion · -1.5% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +6.81 total EPA
  • P.Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) · 33 dropbacks · 51.5% completion · -1.5% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersLos Angeles Chargers
Offensive EPA/play-0.027-0.124
Offensive success rate47.4%34.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.195+0.073
Rush EPA/play-0.339-0.388
Defensive EPA/play+0.124+0.027
Defensive success rate65.7%52.6%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Los Angeles Chargers: 11 drives, -8.66 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, -2.12 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 55:39 · LV 47 · Score 0-6
    (10:39) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep right to 12-T.Benjamin for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 55:32 · LV 15 · Score 0-7
    2-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-M.Windt, Holder-10-K.Clemens.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 49:58 · LAC 27 · Score 3-7
    (4:58) 11-S.Janikowski 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  4. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 31:33 · LV 17 · Score 3-10
    (1:33) 2-J.Lambo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-M.Windt, Holder-10-K.Clemens.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:27 · LAC 13 · Score 9-10
    (:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 15-M.Crabtree (42-T.Williams). The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was
  6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:22 · LAC 15 · Score 10-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  7. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 25:52 · LAC 15 · Score 13-10
    (10:52) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  8. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q3 21:19 · LV 7 · Score 13-16
    (6:19) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 86-H.Henry for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 8:44 · LAC 2 · Score 16-16
    (8:44) 11-S.Janikowski 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  10. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 2:42 · LAC 26 · Score 19-16
    (2:42) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Los Angeles Chargers 19-16 in Week 15, 2016 on 2016-12-18.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 19, Los Angeles Chargers 16 (LV 19-16 LAC) in Week 15, 2016 on 2016-12-18.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Q1: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Los Angeles Chargers 7; Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Los Angeles Chargers 3; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Los Angeles Chargers 6; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 6, Los Angeles Chargers 0; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 19, Los Angeles Chargers 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — T. Benjamin (P. Rivers pass) (Q1 55:39) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:27) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — H. Henry (P. Rivers pass) (Q3 21:19) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — S. Janikowski (Q1 49:58, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — J. Lambo (Q2 31:33, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — S. Janikowski (Q3 25:52, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — S. Janikowski (Q4 8:44, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — S. Janikowski (Q4 2:42, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 54.3% completion, -1.5% CPOE, +0.19 EPA per dropback, +6.81 total passing EPA. P. Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers), 51.5% completion, -1.5% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +2.43 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers?

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +6.81 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.53 EPA): (11:44) 27-K.Farrow up the middle to LAC 14 for -2 yards (54-P.Riley). FUMBLES (54-P.Riley), RECOVERED by LV-53-M.Smith at LAC 14. 53-M.Smith to LAC 13 for 1 yard (84-S.McGrath).. The biggest win-probability swing was -26.8%.

Was Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Las Vegas Raiders won 19-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 10-3 Now 11-3 W

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 5-8 Now 5-9 L