Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2019 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-01, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 40–9 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 18 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +14.70 total EPA, and -8.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.70 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: 7-H.Butker kicks 55 yards from KC 35 to LV 10. 11-T.Davis to LV 24 for 14 yards (27-R.Fenton). FUMBLES (27-R.Fenton), RECOVERED by KC-44-D.O'Daniel at LV 24. 44-D.O'Daniel to LV 24 for no gain (33-D.W

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +14.70 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Washington · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.86 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Thompson · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.86 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Carrier · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Ingold · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +2.44 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.44 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.66 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Williams (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 52:32)
• Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q2 36:37)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Thornhill (Q2 33:52)
• Kansas City Chiefs — L. McCoy (Q3 21:56)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Thompson (Q4 5:29)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carrier (D. Carr pass) (Q4 0:45)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q3 27:08)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 15:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q1 52:32) — (7:32) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 31-D.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 52:26) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 13 (Q2 36:37) — (6:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 36:28) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 60 (Q2 33:52); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 33:42) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 32 (Q3 27:08) — (12:08) 7-H.Butker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q3 21:56) — (6:56) 25-L.McCoy left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 21:51) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 9–9. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 15 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 8-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q4 5:29) — (5:29) 34-D.Thompson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:24) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 4 (Q4 0:45) — (:45) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 85-D.Carrier for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs registered a safety from the KC 15 (Q4 0:39).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:26) — 7-H.Butker kicks 55 yards from KC 35 to LV 10. 11-T.Davis to LV 24 for 14 yards (27-R.Fenton). FUMBLES (27-R.Fenton), RECOVERED by KC-44-D.O'Daniel at LV 24. 44-D.O'Daniel to LV 24 for no gain (33-D.W [WPA -9.6% · EPA -5.77]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:05) — (11:05) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 83-D.Waller INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 48. 32-T.Mathieu to LV 47 for 5 yards (85-D.Carrier). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -3.80]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 50:24) — (5:24) (Shotgun) 31-D.Williams left guard to LV 15 for no gain (90-J.Hankins). [WPA -5.6% · EPA -4.20]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 16-T.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at LV 46. 22-J.Thornhill for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -5.3% · EPA -8.29]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 55:55) — (10:55) 17-M.Hardman right end to LV 38 for 9 yards (21-D.Swearinger). [WPA +4.6% · EPA +0.50]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:52) — (3:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 16-T.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at LV 46. 22-J.Thornhill for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -5.3% · EPA -8.29]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:26) — 7-H.Butker kicks 55 yards from KC 35 to LV 10. 11-T.Davis to LV 24 for 14 yards (27-R.Fenton). FUMBLES (27-R.Fenton), RECOVERED by KC-44-D.O'Daniel at LV 24. 44-D.O'Daniel to LV 24 for no gain (33-D.W [WPA -9.6% · EPA -5.77]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 50:24) — (5:24) (Shotgun) 31-D.Williams left guard to LV 15 for no gain (90-J.Hankins). [WPA -5.6% · EPA -4.20]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:05) — (11:05) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 83-D.Waller INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Mathieu at KC 48. 32-T.Mathieu to LV 47 for 5 yards (85-D.Carrier). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -3.80]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 37 dropbacks · 40.5% completion · -8.0% CPOE · +0.40 EPA/play · +14.70 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 35 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +4.4% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -5.75 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs -0.28), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +14.04 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, -20.77 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 52:32 · LV 3 · Score 0-6
   (7:32) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 31-D.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 52:26 · LV 15 · Score 0-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 36:37 · LV 13 · Score 0-13
   (6:37) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 36:28 · LV 15 · Score 0-14
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 33:52 · KC 60 · Score 0-20
   (3:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 16-T.Williams INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at LV 46. 22-J.Thornhill for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 33:42 · LV 15 · Score 0-21
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 27:08 · LV 32 · Score 0-24
   (12:08) 7-H.Butker 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 21:56 · LV 3 · Score 0-30
   (6:56) 25-L.McCoy left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 21:51 · LV 15 · Score 0-31
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 15:00 · KC 15 · Score 3-31
    (15:00) 8-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
11. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 5:29 · LV 4 · Score 3-37
    (5:29) 34-D.Thompson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 5:24 · LV 15 · Score 3-38
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
13. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 0:45 · KC 4 · Score 9-38
    (:45) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 85-D.Carrier for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Kansas City Chiefs Safety (+2) — Q4 0:39 · KC 15 · Score 9-40
    8-D.Carlson extra point is Blocked (92-T.Kpassagnon), Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 35-C.Ward recovered the blocked kick. ATTE