Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2012 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-10-28, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 26–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +0.05 total EPA, and +3.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Moore (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.74 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (1:50) 9-S.Lechler punts 36 yards to KC 14, Center-59-J.Condo. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-59-J.Condo at KC 14. 59-J.Condo to KC 11 for 3 yards (30-J.Brown).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Moore · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +7.74 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Palmer · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +5.93 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Myers · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
4. 4 D. McCluster · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
5. 5 D. McCluster · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +0.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Goodson · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +0.45 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +0.43 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
8. 8 J. O'Connell · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +0.27 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Moore (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 30:53)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Heyward-Bey (C. Palmer pass) (Q3 20:49)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. McCluster (M. Cassel pass) (Q4 2:32)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 54:55)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 44:48)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 40:25)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 34:17)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 29:02)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q3 23:45)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 8:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 18 (Q1 54:55) — (9:55) 11-S.Janikowski 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–6. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 17 (Q2 44:48) — (14:48) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 12 (Q2 40:25) — (10:25) 6-R.Succop 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 24 (Q2 34:17) — (4:17) 6-R.Succop 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 9 (Q2 30:53) — (:53) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 17-D.Moore for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q2 30:49) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 11 (Q3 29:02) — (14:02) 11-S.Janikowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 34 (Q3 23:45) — (8:45) 6-R.Succop 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 32 (Q3 20:49) — (5:49) (No Huddle) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 85-D.Heyward-Bey for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q3 20:40) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 14 (Q4 8:18) — (8:18) 11-S.Janikowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 10 (Q4 2:32) — (2:32) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short right to 22-D.McCluster for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 2:27) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 31:50) — (1:50) 9-S.Lechler punts 36 yards to KC 14, Center-59-J.Condo. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-59-J.Condo at KC 14. 59-J.Condo to KC 11 for 3 yards (30-J.Brown). [WPA +17.8% · EPA +4.35]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 17-D.Moore pushed ob at KC 24 for 58 yards (24-B.Flowers). [WPA +14.2% · EPA +4.74]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 47:40) — (2:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass deep middle intended for 81-T.Moeaki INTERCEPTED by 27-M.Giordano [77-M.Shaughnessy] at LV 34. 27-M.Giordano to KC 45 for 21 yards (82-D.Bowe). KC-9-B.Quinn was injured [WPA -12.4% · EPA -4.03]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 30:00) — (15:00) 7-M.Cassel FUMBLES (Aborted) at KC 19, RECOVERED by LV-93-T.Kelly at KC 18. 93-T.Kelly to KC 18 for no gain (73-J.Asamoah). [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.38]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 37:25) — (7:25) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle to 81-T.Moeaki to LV 30 for 20 yards (27-M.Giordano). [WPA +9.6% · EPA +2.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 30:00) — (15:00) 7-M.Cassel FUMBLES (Aborted) at KC 19, RECOVERED by LV-93-T.Kelly at KC 18. 93-T.Kelly to KC 18 for no gain (73-J.Asamoah). [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.38]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 17-D.Moore pushed ob at KC 24 for 58 yards (24-B.Flowers). [WPA +14.2% · EPA +4.74]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 31:50) — (1:50) 9-S.Lechler punts 36 yards to KC 14, Center-59-J.Condo. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LV-59-J.Condo at KC 14. 59-J.Condo to KC 11 for 3 yards (30-J.Brown). [WPA +17.8% · EPA +4.35]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 47:40) — (2:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass deep middle intended for 81-T.Moeaki INTERCEPTED by 27-M.Giordano [77-M.Shaughnessy] at LV 34. 27-M.Giordano to KC 45 for 21 yards (82-D.Bowe). KC-9-B.Quinn was injured [WPA -12.4% · EPA -4.03]

Quarterback report card

M.Cassel led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) · 38 dropbacks · 52.6% completion · +3.7% CPOE · +0.00 EPA/play · +0.05 total EPA
• C.Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders) · 29 dropbacks · 48.3% completion · -6.0% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +5.93 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.15), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, -12.09 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 14 drives, +1.63 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Moore (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Cassel (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Palmer (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 54:55 · KC 18 · Score 3-0
   (9:55) 11-S.Janikowski 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
2. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:48 · KC 17 · Score 6-0
   (14:48) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 40:25 · LV 12 · Score 6-3
   (10:25) 6-R.Succop 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 34:17 · LV 24 · Score 6-6
   (4:17) 6-R.Succop 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:53 · KC 9 · Score 12-6
   (:53) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 17-D.Moore for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:49 · KC 2 · Score 13-6
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
7. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 29:02 · KC 11 · Score 16-6
   (14:02) 11-S.Janikowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
8. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 23:45 · LV 34 · Score 16-9
   (8:45) 6-R.Succop 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 20:49 · KC 32 · Score 22-9
   (5:49) (No Huddle) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 85-D.Heyward-Bey for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 20:40 · KC 2 · Score 23-9
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
11. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 8:18 · KC 14 · Score 26-9
    (8:18) 11-S.Janikowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 2:32 · LV 10 · Score 26-15
    (2:32) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass short right to 22-D.McCluster for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 2:27 · LV 2 · Score 26-16
    6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.