Las Vegas Raiders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2022 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-06, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 27–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +7.04 total EPA, and -7.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.95 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (6:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to JAX 31 for 11 yards (2-R.Jenkins).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +16.95 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Adams · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +10.18 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +7.04 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.98 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
6. 6 F. Moreau · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.36 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Arnold · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.75 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Farrell · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.11 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Adams (D. Carr pass) (Q1 49:51)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Adams (D. Carr pass) (Q2 41:00)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Etienne (Q2 34:56)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 25:20)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Etienne (Q4 15:00)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 44:12)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 30:50)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q2 30:03)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson (Q4 1:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the JAX 25 (Q1 49:51) — (4:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 49:45).

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 13–10. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q2 44:12) — (14:12) 2-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the JAX 38 (Q2 41:00) — (11:00) 77-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 40:51) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q2 34:56) — (4:56) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 34:50) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q2 30:50) — (:50) 2-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 10-R.Patterson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q3 25:20) — (10:20) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 25:15).

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 1-T.Etienne right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 14:56); Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the LV 30 (Q4 1:08) — (1:08) 10-R.Patterson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:24) — (6:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to JAX 31 for 11 yards (2-R.Jenkins). [WPA +13.4% · EPA +3.51]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 55:21) — (10:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 32, RECOVERED by LV-98-M.Crosby at LV 29. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.72]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:08) — (3:08) 10-R.Patterson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. LV-99-C.Ferrell was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. [WPA -11.7% · EPA -4.04]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short middle to 13-H.Renfrow. [WPA -9.0% · EPA -1.96]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:51) — (3:51) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 85-D.Arnold to LV 27 for 19 yards (29-A.Averett) [99-C.Ferrell]. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +1.75]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 55:21) — (10:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 32, RECOVERED by LV-98-M.Crosby at LV 29. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.72]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 3:08) — (3:08) 10-R.Patterson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. LV-99-C.Ferrell was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. [WPA -11.7% · EPA -4.04]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 41:00) — (11:00) 77-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.85]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:24) — (6:24) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to JAX 31 for 11 yards (2-R.Jenkins). [WPA +13.4% · EPA +3.51]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 53.8% completion · -7.8% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +7.04 total EPA
• T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 32 dropbacks · 78.1% completion · +17.9% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +16.95 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Las Vegas Raiders +0.03, Jacksonville Jaguars +0.07) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, +6.21 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 10 drives, +2.16 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 49:51 · JAX 25 · Score 6-0
   (4:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 49:45 · JAX 15 · Score 7-0
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. PENALTY on JAX-32-T.Campbell, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:12 · JAX 19 · Score 10-0
   (14:12) 2-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 41:00 · JAX 38 · Score 16-0
   (11:00) 77-T.Munford reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 40:51 · JAX 15 · Score 17-0
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 34:56 · LV 1 · Score 17-6
   (4:56) (Shotgun) 1-T.Etienne up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 34:50 · LV 15 · Score 17-7
   10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
8. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:50 · JAX 20 · Score 20-7
   (:50) 2-D.Carlson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · LV 26 · Score 20-10
   (:03) 10-R.Patterson 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:20 · LV 7 · Score 20-16
    (10:20) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 13-C.Kirk for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 25:15 · LV 15 · Score 20-17
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. PENALTY on LV-33-R.Teamer, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
12. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · LV 5 · Score 20-23
    (15:00) 1-T.Etienne right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 14:56 · LV 15 · Score 20-24
    10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. PENALTY on LV-97-A.Billings, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs
14. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 1:08 · LV 30 · Score 20-27
    (1:08) 10-R.Patterson 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.