FantasyHQ+

FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · September 29, 2019 · 12 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2019 Week 4 Recap

Raiders defeat Colts 31–24 in Week 4

Derek Carr led Fantasy Impact as Raiders prevailed in a 31–24 Week 4 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 31 2–2 Winner
Final 31–24
Indianapolis Colts 24 2–2
Winner
Las Vegas Raiders
Final score
31–24
Halftime
Las Vegas Raiders 21–10 Indianapolis Colts
Top passer
Jacoby Brissett
FantasyHQ MVP
Derek Carr
Game date
September 29, 2019

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • Derek Carr
    Derek Carr 21/32 · 189 YDS · 2 TD +7.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Davis
    Tyler Davis 2 CAR · 74 YDS · 1 TD +6.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Foster Moreau
    Foster Moreau 3 REC · 30 YDS · 1 TD +4.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Casey Rogers
    Casey Rogers 3 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Ebron 1 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • N.Hines 6 REC · 39 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
View Raiders vs Colts box score View all 2019 NFL game recaps

Game story

The Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Indianapolis Colts 31–24 in Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-09-29, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-11.4% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-09-29, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 31–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -1.18 total EPA, and -13.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.45 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4—T
Las Vegas Raiders14737031
Indianapolis Colts73014024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +7.45 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Davis · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +6.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +3.02 EPA/play
  3. 3 F. Moreau · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Rogers · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.18 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  5. 5 E. Ebron · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Williams · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.42 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Ingold · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +2.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.37 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Carr — LV · Passing

D. Carr posted the highest total EPA (+7.45) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 32 counted snaps, they averaged +0.23 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.05 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Las Vegas Raiders — F. Moreau (D. Carr pass) (Q1 54:16)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — T. Davis (Q1 53:13)
  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Doyle (J. Brissett pass) (Q1 50:28)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — T. Williams (D. Carr pass) (Q2 44:18)
  • Indianapolis Colts — C. Rogers (J. Brissett pass) (Q4 5:32)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — E. Harris (Q4 2:17)
  • Indianapolis Colts — E. Ebron (J. Brissett pass) (Q4 1:19)

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 37:37)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q3 18:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 18 (Q1 54:16) — (9:16) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 87-F.Moreau for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 54:09) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 60 (Q1 53:13) — (8:13) 11-T.Davis left end for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q1 53:03) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q1 50:28) — (5:28) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 50:22) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the IND 19 (Q2 44:18) — (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-T.Williams for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 44:13) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LV 8 (Q2 37:37) — (7:37) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the IND 8 (Q3 18:18) — (3:18) 8-D.Carlson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q4 5:32) — (5:32) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 80-C.Rogers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 5:27) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 75 (Q4 2:17); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 2:09) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the LV 48 (Q4 1:19) — (1:19) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 1:10) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -11.4% · EPA -8.05]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 53:13) — (8:13) 11-T.Davis left end for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +5.13]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 50:28) — (5:28) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +1.44]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 44:18) — (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-T.Williams for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +3.55]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 31:27) — (1:27) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 14-Z.Pascal to LV 40 for 6 yards (29-L.Joyner). PENALTY on LV-94-C.Liuget, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +2.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -11.4% · EPA -8.05]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:19) — (1:19) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.1% · EPA +6.93]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 53:13) — (8:13) 11-T.Davis left end for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +5.13]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 19, RECOVERED by IND-99-J.Houston at LV 22. 99-J.Houston to LV 22 for no gain (83-D.Waller). [WPA -4.5% · EPA -5.05]

Quarterback report card

J.Brissett led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Brissett (Indianapolis Colts) · 53 dropbacks · 45.3% completion · -13.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -1.18 total EPA
  • D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 32 dropbacks · 65.6% completion · +4.0% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +7.45 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersIndianapolis Colts
Offensive EPA/play+0.057-0.065
Offensive success rate40.5%37.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.233-0.022
Rush EPA/play+0.023-0.166
Defensive EPA/play+0.065-0.057
Defensive success rate62.4%59.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -6.07 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, +4.81 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Brissett (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 54:16 · IND 18 · Score 6-0
    (9:16) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 87-F.Moreau for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 54:09 · IND 15 · Score 7-0
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 53:13 · IND 60 · Score 13-0
    (8:13) 11-T.Davis left end for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 53:03 · IND 15 · Score 14-0
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 50:28 · LV 5 · Score 14-6
    (5:28) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left to 84-J.Doyle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 50:22 · LV 15 · Score 14-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 44:18 · IND 19 · Score 20-7
    (14:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 16-T.Williams for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 44:13 · IND 15 · Score 21-7
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  9. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 37:37 · LV 8 · Score 21-10
    (7:37) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  10. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 18:18 · IND 8 · Score 24-10
    (3:18) 8-D.Carlson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  11. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 5:32 · LV 4 · Score 24-16
    (5:32) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short right to 80-C.Rogers for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 5:27 · LV 15 · Score 24-17
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  13. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 2:17 · LV 75 · Score 30-17
    (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 2:09 · IND 15 · Score 31-17
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
  15. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 1:19 · LV 48 · Score 31-23
    (1:19) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 1:10 · LV 15 · Score 31-24
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Indianapolis Colts 31-24 in Week 4, 2019 on 2019-09-29.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 31, Indianapolis Colts 24 (LV 31-24 IND) in Week 4, 2019 on 2019-09-29.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

Q1: Las Vegas Raiders 14, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Indianapolis Colts 14; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 31, Indianapolis Colts 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — F. Moreau (D. Carr pass) (Q1 54:16) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — T. Davis (Q1 53:13) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Doyle (J. Brissett pass) (Q1 50:28) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — T. Williams (D. Carr pass) (Q2 44:18) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — C. Rogers (J. Brissett pass) (Q4 5:32) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — E. Harris (Q4 2:17) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — E. Ebron (J. Brissett pass) (Q4 1:19) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 37:37, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q3 18:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

J. Brissett (Indianapolis Colts), 45.3% completion, -13.3% CPOE, -0.02 EPA per dropback, -1.18 total passing EPA. D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 65.6% completion, +4.0% CPOE, +0.23 EPA per dropback, +7.45 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts?

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +7.45 on passing plays. across 32 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.05 EPA): (2:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass short left intended for 14-Z.Pascal INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Harris at IND 30. 25-E.Harris for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -11.4%.

Was Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Las Vegas Raiders won 31-24 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 1-2 Now 2-2 W

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L

FantasyHQ · fantasyhq.co

More 2019 game recaps

Week 4 · Sep 30, 2019

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Read full recap →

Week 4 · Sep 29, 2019

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Read full recap →

Week 4 · Sep 29, 2019

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons

Read full recap →

Week 4 · Sep 29, 2019

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Read full recap →

Week 4 · Sep 29, 2019

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Read full recap →

Week 4 · Sep 29, 2019

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Read full recap →