Game story
In Week 17 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-29, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 16–15 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +4.87 total EPA, and +5.6% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, H. Renfrow (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-28.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 13-H.Renfrow is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Denver Broncos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 H. Renfrow · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +8.07 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
- 2 D. Lock · Denver Broncos · Passing · +7.40 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
- 3 D. Hamilton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.32 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
- 4 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +4.87 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
- 5 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
- 6 J. Richard · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.34 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play
- 7 D. Waller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
- 8 R. Gafford · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.65 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.65 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
H. Renfrow — LV · Receiving
H. Renfrow posted the highest total EPA (+8.07) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 10 counted snaps, they averaged +0.81 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.61 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (2:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller to DEN 17 for 75 yards (34-W.Parks).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Denver Broncos — A. Beck (D. Lock pass)
- Las Vegas Raiders — H. Renfrow (D. Carr pass)
Field goals
- Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson
- Denver Broncos — B. McManus
- Denver Broncos — B. McManus
- Denver Broncos — B. McManus
- Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson
- Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 5 (Q2 44:10) — (14:10) 8-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 25 (Q2 38:25) — (8:25) 8-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q2 30:33) — (:33) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass short right to 83-A.Beck for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 30:28) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman..
The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 31 (Q3 19:41).
The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 12–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 32 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 8-B.McManus 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 15 (Q4 9:07) — (9:07) 8-D.Carlson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 10 (Q4 3:13) — (3:13) 8-D.Carlson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q4 0:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:07) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 13-H.Renfrow is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 47:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller to DEN 17 for 75 yards (34-W.Parks).
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:42) — (7:42) 8-D.Carlson 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
- Denver Broncos (Q4 1:46) — (1:46) 8-B.McManus 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 47:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller to DEN 17 for 75 yards (34-W.Parks).
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 52:42) — (7:42) 8-D.Carlson 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
- Denver Broncos (Q4 6:04) — (6:04) 3-D.Lock FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 46, RECOVERED by LV-96-C.Ferrell at LV 41. 96-C.Ferrell to LV 41 for no gain (83-A.Beck).
- Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:14) — (5:14) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 13-H.Renfrow to DEN 25 for 39 yards. Lateral to 88-M.Ateman to DEN 16 for 9 yards (45-A.Johnson; 31-J.Simmons).
Quarterback report card
D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 50 dropbacks · 58.0% completion · +5.6% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +4.87 total EPA
- D.Lock (Denver Broncos) · 37 dropbacks · 45.9% completion · -2.0% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +7.40 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Las Vegas Raiders | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.071 | -0.073 |
| Offensive success rate | 36.4% | 43.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.097 | +0.200 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.284 | -0.596 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.073 | +0.071 |
| Defensive success rate | 56.2% | 63.6% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Las Vegas Raiders -0.07, Denver Broncos -0.07) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -5.88 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -6.21 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- H. Renfrow (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 44:10 · DEN 5 · Score 3-0
(14:10) 8-D.Carlson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 38:25 · LV 25 · Score 3-3
(8:25) 8-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman. - Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:33 · LV 1 · Score 3-9
(:33) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass short right to 83-A.Beck for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 30:28 · LV 15 · Score 3-10
8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 19:41 · LV 31 · Score 3-13
(4:41) 8-B.McManus 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman. PENALTY on LV-97-J.Mauro, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced betwe - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 15:00 · LV 32 · Score 3-16
(15:00) 8-B.McManus 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-6-C.Wadman. - Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 9:07 · DEN 15 · Score 6-16
(9:07) 8-D.Carlson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. - Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 3:13 · DEN 10 · Score 9-16
(3:13) 8-D.Carlson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole. - Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 0:11 · DEN 3 · Score 15-16
(:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 13-H.Renfrow for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
The Denver Broncos beat the Las Vegas Raiders 16-15 in Week 17, 2019 on 2019-12-29.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 15, Denver Broncos 16 (LV 15-16 DEN) in Week 17, 2019 on 2019-12-29.
What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 3, Denver Broncos 10; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Denver Broncos 3; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 12, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 15, Denver Broncos 16.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
Denver Broncos touchdown — A. Beck (D. Lock pass) (Q2 30:33) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — H. Renfrow (D. Carr pass) (Q4 0:11) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q2 44:10, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 38:25, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q3 19:41, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q4 15:00, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q4 9:07, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q4 3:13, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 58.0% completion, +5.6% CPOE, +0.10 EPA per dropback, +4.87 total passing EPA. D. Lock (Denver Broncos), 45.9% completion, -2.0% CPOE, +0.20 EPA per dropback, +7.40 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?
H. Renfrow (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +8.07 on receiving plays. across 10 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.61 EPA): (2:17) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 83-D.Waller to DEN 17 for 75 yards (34-W.Parks).. The biggest win-probability swing was -28.1%.
Was Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos a close game?
Yes — the margin was 1 points. Denver Broncos won 16-15 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Las Vegas Raiders
Entered 7-8 Now 7-9 L
Denver Broncos
Entered 6-9 Now 7-9 W
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