Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos: 2013 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-09-23, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 37–21 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +18.78 total EPA, and +21.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.78 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (12:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 87-E.Decker to LV 36 for 17 yards (24-C.Woodson). Penalty on LV-93-J.Hunter, Defensive Offside, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +18.78 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
2. 2 E. Decker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +11.31 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play
3. 3 W. Welker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.13 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Moore · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.07 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Reece · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.97 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Hillman · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +4.87 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Pryor · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +4.43 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.22 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — E. Decker (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:32)
• Denver Broncos — W. Welker (P. Manning pass) (Q2 37:32)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Moore (T. Pryor pass) (Q2 36:11)
• Denver Broncos — J. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q2 33:46)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Reece (D. McFadden pass) (Q3 15:24)
• Denver Broncos — R. Hillman (Q4 11:31)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (Q4 1:22)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 45:53)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 30:24)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q3 23:46)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q1 55:32) — (10:32) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 55:28) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 35 (Q1 45:53) — (:53) 5-M.Prater 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 17–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 12 (Q2 37:32) — (7:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 83-W.Welker for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 37:27) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 73 (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 35:57) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 13 (Q2 33:46) — (3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 80-J.Thomas for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 33:40) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 23 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) 5-M.Prater 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 21 (Q3 23:46) — (8:46) 5-M.Prater 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 16 (Q3 15:24) — (:24) 20-D.McFadden pass deep right to 45-M.Reece for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 15:17) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 11:31) — (11:31) 21-R.Hillman right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 11:27) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q4 1:22) — (1:22) 20-D.McFadden right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 1:15) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 87-E.Decker to LV 36 for 17 yards (24-C.Woodson). Penalty on LV-93-J.Hunter, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +9.6% · EPA +2.30]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +7.00]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 35:57) — (5:57) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-E.Decker to LV 19 for 61 yards (29-B.Ross). [WPA +5.6% · EPA +3.83]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 56:45) — (11:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) PENALTY on LV-90-P.Sims, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at LV 31 - No Play. [WPA +4.8% · EPA +1.14]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass incomplete short right to 81-M.Rivera. [WPA -4.1% · EPA -1.23]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +7.00]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 17:52) — (2:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at LV 15 for -2 yards (99-L.Houston). FUMBLES (99-L.Houston) [99-L.Houston], RECOVERED by LV-93-J.Hunter at LV 15. 93-J.Hunter to LV 30 for 15 yards (88 [WPA -0.5% · EPA -5.77]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 2:31) — (2:31) 28-M.Ball right guard to DEN 35 for 2 yards (94-Ke.Burnett). FUMBLES (94-Ke.Burnett), RECOVERED by LV-21-M.Jenkins at DEN 35. 21-M.Jenkins to DEN 15 for 20 yards. 21-M.Jenkins pass short right [WPA -0.0% · EPA -3.96]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 35:57) — (5:57) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-E.Decker to LV 19 for 61 yards (29-B.Ross). [WPA +5.6% · EPA +3.83]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 40 dropbacks · 80.0% completion · +21.8% CPOE · +0.47 EPA/play · +18.78 total EPA
• T.Pryor (Las Vegas Raiders) · 35 dropbacks · 54.3% completion · +8.5% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +4.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Denver Broncos held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.24 vs +0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 11 drives, +22.06 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, +6.79 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• T. Pryor (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 55:32 · LV 2 · Score 0-6
   (10:32) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-E.Decker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 55:28 · LV 2 · Score 0-7
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
3. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 45:53 · LV 35 · Score 0-10
   (:53) 5-M.Prater 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
4. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 37:32 · LV 12 · Score 0-16
   (7:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 83-W.Welker for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 37:27 · LV 2 · Score 0-17
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 36:11 · DEN 73 · Score 6-17
   (6:11) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 35:57 · DEN 2 · Score 7-17
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 33:46 · LV 13 · Score 7-23
   (3:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 80-J.Thomas for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 33:40 · LV 2 · Score 7-24
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:24 · LV 23 · Score 7-27
    (:24) 5-M.Prater 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 23:46 · LV 21 · Score 7-30
    (8:46) 5-M.Prater 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
12. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 15:24 · DEN 16 · Score 13-30
    (:24) 20-D.McFadden pass deep right to 45-M.Reece for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 15:17 · DEN 2 · Score 14-30
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
14. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 11:31 · LV 1 · Score 14-36
    (11:31) 21-R.Hillman right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 11:27 · LV 2 · Score 14-37
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
16. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 1:22 · DEN 1 · Score 20-37
    (1:22) 20-D.McFadden right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 1:15 · DEN 2 · Score 21-37
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.