FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 12 · November 23, 2008 · 11 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos: 2008 Week 12 Recap

Raiders defeat Broncos 31–10 in Week 12

J.J. Russell led Fantasy Impact as Raiders prevailed in a 31–10 Week 12 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 31 3–8 Winner
Final 31–10
Denver Broncos 10 6–5
Winner
Las Vegas Raiders
Final score
31–10
Halftime
Las Vegas Raiders 10–3 Denver Broncos
Top passer
J. Cutler
FantasyHQ MVP
J.J. Russell
Game date
November 23, 2008

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • J.J. Russell
    J.J. Russell 10/14 · 152 YDS · 1 TD +13.9 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Lelie 4 REC · 92 YDS · 1 TD +9.1 Fantasy Impact
  • D.McFadden 10 CAR · 38 YDS · 2 TD +4.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • J.Cutler 16/42 · 215 YDS · 1 TD +9.0 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Marshall 4 REC · 84 YDS +7.5 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Stokley 5 REC · 44 YDS +5.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Denver Broncos 31–10 in Week 12 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-23, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-24.4% win probability) came in the second quarter when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 12 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-23, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 31–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Cutler (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +8.99 total EPA, and -9.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Russell (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.91 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-24.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
Las Vegas Raiders107140031
Denver Broncos3700010

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Russell · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +13.91 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Lelie · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +9.08 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.27 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Cutler · Denver Broncos · Passing · +8.99 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Marshall · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +7.49 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.87 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Stokley · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.46 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. McFadden · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +4.83 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  7. 7 Z. Miller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.22 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  8. 8 P. Hillis · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.69 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Russell — LV · Passing

J. Russell posted the highest total EPA (+13.91) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 14 counted snaps, they averaged +0.99 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.01 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Las Vegas Raiders — J. Higgins (Q2 31:25)
  • Denver Broncos — P. Hillis (Q3 24:24)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (Q3 20:32)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — A. Lelie (J. Russell pass) (Q4 14:15)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (Q4 9:46)

Field goals

  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 38:04)
  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 33:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 7 (Q2 38:04) — (8:04) 11-S.Janikowski 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q2 33:03) — (3:03) 5-M.Prater 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 71 (Q2 31:25); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 31:06) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q3 24:24) — (9:24) 22-P.Hillis left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 24:18) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q3 20:32) — (5:32) 20-D.McFadden left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 20:26) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 4 (Q4 14:15) — (14:15) 2-J.Russell pass short middle to 87-A.Lelie for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 14:08) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q4 9:46) — (9:46) 20-D.McFadden left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 9:42) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (Q2 31:25) — (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA -24.4% · EPA -7.01]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 24:24) — (9:24) 22-P.Hillis left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +3.20]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 51:20) — (6:20) 6-J.Cutler FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 7, RECOVERED by LV-28-Gi.Wilson at LV 4. 28-Gi.Wilson to LV 5 for 1 yard (78-R.Clady). Hand off from Cutler dropped. [WPA -13.6% · EPA -4.64]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 24:12) — (9:12) 2-J.Russell pass deep right to 87-A.Lelie to DEN 19 for 51 yards (32-D.Bly). [WPA +13.0% · EPA +3.53]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 33:47) — (3:47) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-B.Stokley pushed ob at LV 26 for 14 yards (24-M.Huff). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.99]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q2 31:25) — (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA -24.4% · EPA -7.01]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 51:20) — (6:20) 6-J.Cutler FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 7, RECOVERED by LV-28-Gi.Wilson at LV 4. 28-Gi.Wilson to LV 5 for 1 yard (78-R.Clady). Hand off from Cutler dropped. [WPA -13.6% · EPA -4.64]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 24:12) — (9:12) 2-J.Russell pass deep right to 87-A.Lelie to DEN 19 for 51 yards (32-D.Bly). [WPA +13.0% · EPA +3.53]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 9:09) — (9:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall to LV 49 for 32 yards (28-Gi.Wilson). [WPA -0.2% · EPA +3.28]

Quarterback report card

J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Cutler (Denver Broncos) · 42 dropbacks · 38.1% completion · -9.5% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +8.99 total EPA
  • J.Russell (Las Vegas Raiders) · 14 dropbacks · 71.4% completion · +29.6% CPOE · +0.99 EPA/play · +13.91 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play+0.235-0.098
Offensive success rate54.3%39.5%
Pass EPA/play+1.023+0.214
Rush EPA/play+0.074-0.266
Defensive EPA/play+0.098-0.235
Defensive success rate60.5%45.7%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Las Vegas Raiders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs -0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Denver Broncos: 9 drives, -8.40 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, +16.43 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Russell (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Cutler (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Russell (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 38:04 · DEN 7 · Score 3-0
    (8:04) 11-S.Janikowski 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  2. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 33:03 · LV 26 · Score 3-3
    (3:03) 5-M.Prater 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 31:25 · LV 71 · Score 9-3
    (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards,
  4. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 31:06 · DEN 2 · Score 10-3
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  5. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 24:24 · LV 6 · Score 10-9
    (9:24) 22-P.Hillis left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 24:18 · LV 2 · Score 10-10
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
  7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 20:32 · DEN 1 · Score 16-10
    (5:32) 20-D.McFadden left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 20:26 · DEN 2 · Score 17-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 14:15 · DEN 4 · Score 23-10
    (14:15) 2-J.Russell pass short middle to 87-A.Lelie for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 14:08 · DEN 2 · Score 24-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  11. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 9:46 · DEN 1 · Score 30-10
    (9:46) 20-D.McFadden left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 9:42 · DEN 2 · Score 31-10
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Denver Broncos 31-10 in Week 12, 2008 on 2008-11-23.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 31, Denver Broncos 10 (LV 31-10 DEN) in Week 12, 2008 on 2008-11-23.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 10, Denver Broncos 3; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Denver Broncos 7; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 14, Denver Broncos 0; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 31, Denver Broncos 10.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — J. Higgins (Q2 31:25) Denver Broncos touchdown — P. Hillis (Q3 24:24) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. McFadden (Q3 20:32) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — A. Lelie (J. Russell pass) (Q4 14:15) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. McFadden (Q4 9:46) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — S. Janikowski (Q2 38:04, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q2 33:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

J. Cutler (Denver Broncos), 38.1% completion, -9.5% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +8.99 total passing EPA. J. Russell (Las Vegas Raiders), 71.4% completion, +29.6% CPOE, +0.99 EPA per dropback, +13.91 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos?

J. Russell (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +13.91 on passing plays. across 14 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.01 EPA): (1:25) 1-B.Kern punts 60 yards to LV 11, Center-83-M.Leach. 15-J.Higgins for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-15-J.Higgins, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between do. The biggest win-probability swing was -24.4%.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 2-8 Now 3-8 W

Denver Broncos

Entered 6-4 Now 6-5 L