Las Vegas Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills: 2011 Week 2 Recap

Game story

In Week 2 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-09-18, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 38–35 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +18.01 total EPA, and -1.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.00 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+46.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (:18) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone, slanting from left.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Campbell · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +21.00 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Fitzpatrick · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +18.01 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Moore · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +9.36 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Nelson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.53 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
5. 5 D. McFadden · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.25 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
6. 6 F. Jackson · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.75 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
7. 7 St. Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.63 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Hagan · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Bush (Q2 41:37)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (Q2 38:16)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Campbell (Q2 31:25)
• Buffalo Bills — F. Jackson (Q3 28:36)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Fitzpatrick (Q3 18:46)
• Buffalo Bills — F. Jackson (Q4 14:15)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (J. Campbell pass) (Q4 9:23)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Chandler (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q4 4:53)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Moore (J. Campbell pass) (Q4 3:50)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Nelson (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q4 0:18)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 32:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 21–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 41:37) — (11:37) 29-M.Bush up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 41:33) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q2 38:16) — (8:16) 20-D.McFadden left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 38:08) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the LV 7 (Q2 32:25) — (2:25) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 31:25) — (1:25) 8-J.Campbell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. QB sneak.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 31:22) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LV 43 (Q3 28:36) — (13:36) 22-F.Jackson left guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: S.Chandler.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 28:26) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q3 18:46) — (3:46) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 13-St.Johnson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 2.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 18:41) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 21–14. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 14:15); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 14:10) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BUF 12 (Q4 9:23) — (9:23) (Shotgun) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 20-D.McFadden for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at BUF 10.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 9:18) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q4 4:53) — (4:53) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 84-S.Chandler for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage, 6 yds. into end zone.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 4:48) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BUF 50 (Q4 3:50) — (3:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage at goal line.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 3:41) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone, slanting from left.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 0:14) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone, slanting from left. [WPA +46.0% · EPA +4.33]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 3:50) — (3:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage at goal line. [WPA +33.8% · EPA +4.93]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 19-D.Jones to LV 15 for 9 yards (37-C.Johnson). Caught at LV 18, slanting from left. [WPA +16.0% · EPA +1.96]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:00) — (:00) (Shotgun) 8-J.Campbell pass deep right intended for 17-D.Moore INTERCEPTED by 25-D.Searcy at BUF 0. Touchback. Coverage in front corner of end zone. [WPA -14.0% · EPA -0.12]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 9:23) — (9:23) (Shotgun) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 20-D.McFadden for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at BUF 10. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +3.05]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 3:50) — (3:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage at goal line. [WPA +33.8% · EPA +4.93]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 22:16) — (7:16) 20-D.McFadden right guard to BUF 41 for 1 yard (50-N.Barnett). FUMBLES (50-N.Barnett), RECOVERED by BUF-57-D.Batten at BUF 43. [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.75]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone, slanting from left. [WPA +46.0% · EPA +4.33]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 28:36) — (13:36) 22-F.Jackson left guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: S.Chandler. [WPA +0.9% · EPA +3.91]

Quarterback report card

R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) · 52 dropbacks · 53.8% completion · -1.7% CPOE · +0.35 EPA/play · +18.01 total EPA
• J.Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) · 33 dropbacks · 69.7% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.64 EPA/play · +21.00 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Las Vegas Raiders +0.29, Buffalo Bills +0.25) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, +24.32 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 10 drives, +23.52 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Campbell (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 41:37 · BUF 1 · Score 6-0
   (11:37) 29-M.Bush up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 41:33 · BUF 2 · Score 7-0
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 38:16 · BUF 5 · Score 13-0
   (8:16) 20-D.McFadden left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 38:08 · BUF 2 · Score 14-0
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 32:25 · LV 7 · Score 14-3
   (2:25) 9-R.Lindell 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 31:25 · BUF 1 · Score 20-3
   (1:25) 8-J.Campbell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. QB sneak.
7. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 31:22 · BUF 2 · Score 21-3
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 28:36 · LV 43 · Score 21-9
   (13:36) 22-F.Jackson left guard for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: S.Chandler.
9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 28:26 · LV 2 · Score 21-10
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 18:46 · LV 7 · Score 21-16
    (3:46) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 13-St.Johnson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LV 2.
11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 18:41 · LV 2 · Score 21-17
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
12. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 14:15 · LV 1 · Score 21-23
    (14:15) 22-F.Jackson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty for throwing challen
13. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 14:10 · LV 2 · Score 21-24
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 9:23 · BUF 12 · Score 27-24
    (9:23) (Shotgun) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 20-D.McFadden for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at BUF 10.
15. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 9:18 · BUF 2 · Score 28-24
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
16. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 4:53 · LV 6 · Score 28-30
    (4:53) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 84-S.Chandler for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage, 6 yds. into end zone.
17. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 4:48 · LV 2 · Score 28-31
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
18. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 3:50 · BUF 50 · Score 34-31
    (3:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 17-D.Moore for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in coverage at goal line.
19. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 3:41 · BUF 2 · Score 35-31
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
20. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 0:18 · LV 6 · Score 35-37
    (:18) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 86-D.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone, slanting from left.
21. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 0:14 · LV 2 · Score 35-38
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.