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NFL · Week 4 · October 2, 2016 · 12 min read

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2016 Week 4 Recap

Raiders defeat Ravens 28–27 in Week 4

M.Crabtree led Fantasy Impact as Raiders prevailed in a 28–27 Week 4 finish.

Las Vegas Raiders 28 3–1 Winner
Final 28–27
Baltimore Ravens 27 3–1
Winner
Las Vegas Raiders
Final score
28–27
Halftime
Las Vegas Raiders 14–6 Baltimore Ravens
Top passer
Joe Flacco
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Crabtree
Game date
October 2, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • M.Crabtree 7 REC · 88 YDS · 3 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Derek Carr
    Derek Carr 25/39 · 199 YDS · 4 TD +4.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Amari Cooper
    Amari Cooper 5 REC · 48 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • Shi Smith
    Shi Smith 8 REC · 111 YDS · 1 TD +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Flacco
    Joe Flacco 1 CAR · 1 YDS · 1 TD +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Gillmore 2 REC · 16 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
View Raiders vs Ravens box score View all 2016 NFL game recaps

Game story

The Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Baltimore Ravens 28–27 in Week 4 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-02, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-31.1% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-02, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 28–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 29 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with -6.55 total EPA, and -1.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Crabtree (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.83 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-31.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (5:42) (Shotgun) 33-D.Washington up the middle to LV 17 for no gain (93-L.Guy). FUMBLES (93-L.Guy), RECOVERED by BAL-36-T.Young at LV 17. 36-T.Young to LV 17 for no gain (70-K.Osemele).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4—T
Las Vegas Raiders77014028
Baltimore Ravens06615027

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Crabtree · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +6.83 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +4.38 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.47 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Cooper · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.51 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.51 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Gillmore · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Juszczyk · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.47 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Wallace · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.40 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Crabtree — LV · Receiving

M. Crabtree posted the highest total EPA (+6.83) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 12 counted snaps, they averaged +0.57 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.65 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (14:57) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 30 for -8 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin) [51-B.Irvin], RECOVERED by LV-96-D.Autry at BAL 29. 96-D.Autry to BAL 29 for no gain (66-R.Jensen).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Las Vegas Raiders — S. Roberts (D. Carr pass) (Q1 46:32)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 34:14)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Flacco (Q3 17:46)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q4 11:19)
  • Baltimore Ravens — S. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 6:38)
  • Baltimore Ravens — T. West (Q4 3:41)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q4 2:12)

Field goals

  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 42:55)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 30:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BAL 6 (Q1 46:32) — (1:32) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-S.Roberts for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q1 46:25) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–6. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the LV 5 (Q2 42:55) — (12:55) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BAL 5 (Q2 34:14) — (4:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 34:09) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the LV 25 (Q2 30:08) — (:08) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 6–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q3 17:46) — (2:46) 5-J.Flacco right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 15–14. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BAL 13 (Q4 11:19) — (11:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q4 11:11) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the LV 52 (Q4 6:38) — (6:38) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 89-S.Smith for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 6:27) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q4 3:41) — (3:41) 28-T.West right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens registered a safety from the LV 2 (Q4 3:36); Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the BAL 23 (Q4 2:12) — (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q4 2:12) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 33-D.Washington up the middle to LV 17 for no gain (93-L.Guy). FUMBLES (93-L.Guy), RECOVERED by BAL-36-T.Young at LV 17. 36-T.Young to LV 17 for no gain (70-K.Osemele). [WPA -31.1% · EPA -4.07]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 0:48) — (:48) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short middle to 11-K.Aiken (27-R.Nelson). No. 11 - Kamar Aiken (BAL) and No. 25 D.J. Hayden (LV) injured on play. [WPA -25.1% · EPA -2.00]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 14:57) — (14:57) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 30 for -8 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin) [51-B.Irvin], RECOVERED by LV-96-D.Autry at BAL 29. 96-D.Autry to BAL 29 for no gain (66-R.Jensen). [WPA -18.6% · EPA -4.65]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 17:46) — (2:46) 5-J.Flacco right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.6% · EPA +2.51]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 6:38) — (6:38) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 89-S.Smith for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +4.47]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 14:57) — (14:57) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 30 for -8 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin) [51-B.Irvin], RECOVERED by LV-96-D.Autry at BAL 29. 96-D.Autry to BAL 29 for no gain (66-R.Jensen). [WPA -18.6% · EPA -4.65]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 6:38) — (6:38) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 89-S.Smith for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +4.47]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 33-D.Washington up the middle to LV 17 for no gain (93-L.Guy). FUMBLES (93-L.Guy), RECOVERED by BAL-36-T.Young at LV 17. 36-T.Young to LV 17 for no gain (70-K.Osemele). [WPA -31.1% · EPA -4.07]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:12) — (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.7% · EPA +3.45]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 61 dropbacks · 52.5% completion · -1.5% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -6.55 total EPA
  • D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 64.1% completion · +5.8% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.38 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLas Vegas RaidersBaltimore Ravens
Offensive EPA/play-0.066-0.079
Offensive success rate38.3%39.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.112-0.107
Rush EPA/play-0.479+0.090
Defensive EPA/play+0.079+0.066
Defensive success rate60.7%61.7%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Las Vegas Raiders -0.07, Baltimore Ravens -0.08) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 14 drives, -8.41 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 15 drives, -5.32 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Crabtree (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 46:32 · BAL 6 · Score 6-0
    (1:32) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 10-S.Roberts for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 46:25 · BAL 15 · Score 7-0
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  3. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 42:55 · LV 5 · Score 7-3
    (12:55) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 34:14 · BAL 5 · Score 13-3
    (4:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 34:09 · BAL 15 · Score 14-3
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  6. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 30:08 · LV 25 · Score 14-6
    (:08) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  7. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 17:46 · LV 1 · Score 14-12
    (2:46) 5-J.Flacco right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 11:19 · BAL 13 · Score 20-12
    (11:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 11:11 · BAL 15 · Score 21-12
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
  10. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 6:38 · LV 52 · Score 21-18
    (6:38) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 89-S.Smith for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 6:27 · LV 15 · Score 21-19
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  12. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 3:41 · LV 3 · Score 21-25
    (3:41) 28-T.West right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Baltimore Ravens Safety (+2) — Q4 3:36 · LV 2 · Score 21-27
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Flacco pass to 17-M.Wallace is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Penalty on BAL-17-M.Wallace, Unnecessary Roughness, declined. PENAL
  14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 2:12 · BAL 23 · Score 27-27
    (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 15-M.Crabtree for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 2:12 · BAL 15 · Score 28-27
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Baltimore Ravens 28-27 in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

The final score was Las Vegas Raiders 28, Baltimore Ravens 27 (LV 28-27 BAL) in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.

What was the score by quarter in Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

Q1: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Baltimore Ravens 0; Q2: Las Vegas Raiders 7, Baltimore Ravens 6; Q3: Las Vegas Raiders 0, Baltimore Ravens 6; Q4: Las Vegas Raiders 14, Baltimore Ravens 15; Final: Las Vegas Raiders 28, Baltimore Ravens 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — S. Roberts (D. Carr pass) (Q1 46:32) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 34:14) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — J. Flacco (Q3 17:46) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q4 11:19) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — S. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 6:38) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — T. West (Q4 3:41) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q4 2:12) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 42:55, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 30:08, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens), 52.5% completion, -1.5% CPOE, -0.11 EPA per dropback, -6.55 total passing EPA. D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 64.1% completion, +5.8% CPOE, +0.11 EPA per dropback, +4.38 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens?

M. Crabtree (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +6.83 on receiving plays. across 12 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.65 EPA): (14:57) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at BAL 30 for -8 yards (51-B.Irvin). FUMBLES (51-B.Irvin) [51-B.Irvin], RECOVERED by LV-96-D.Autry at BAL 29. 96-D.Autry to BAL 29 for no gain (. The biggest win-probability swing was -31.1%.

Was Las Vegas Raiders vs Baltimore Ravens a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Las Vegas Raiders won 28-27 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 3-0 Now 3-1 L

FantasyHQ · fantasyhq.co

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