Game story
In Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-04, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Los Angeles Chargers, pulling away with a 38–31 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +12.78 total EPA, and +4.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+30.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Los Angeles Chargers changed the game: (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | 14 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +16.01 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
- 2 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +12.78 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
- 3 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +10.16 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
- 4 J. Guyton · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +7.18 total EPA · 1 snaps · +7.18 EPA/play
- 5 S. Miller · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.27 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
- 6 T. Johnson · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.61 EPA/play
- 7 K. Vaughn · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
- 8 D.Parham Jr. · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.92 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Herbert — LAC · Passing
J. Herbert posted the highest total EPA (+16.01) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 32 counted snaps, they averaged +0.50 EPA per play.
The signature play (-10.58 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass)
- Los Angeles Chargers — T. Johnson (J. Herbert pass)
- Los Angeles Chargers — M. Davis
- Los Angeles Chargers — D. Parham (J. Herbert pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — O. Howard (T. Brady pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Miller (T. Brady pass)
- Los Angeles Chargers — J. Guyton (J. Herbert pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Vaughn (T. Brady pass)
Field goals
- Los Angeles Chargers — M. Badgley
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Herbert
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 3 (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q1 55:00) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 53 (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston].; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 53:14) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LAC 32 (Q1 49:08); Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 48:55) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..
The second quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 10–7. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 19 (Q2 38:56) — (8:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 89-D.Parham Jr. for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 38:50) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the TB 35 (Q2 31:41) — (1:41) 4-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. Penalty on TB-45-D.White, Illegal Formation, declined.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 6 (Q2 30:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 30:22) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 28 (Q3 23:29) — (8:29) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 80-O.Howard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 23:22) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 19 (Q3 15:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 15:52) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 72 (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 15:00) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 9 (Q4 11:10) — (11:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 30-K.Vaughn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q4 11:05) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the LAC 7 (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 3-R.Succop 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the TB 72 (Q4 2:35).
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 49:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 12:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to LAC 7 for 48 yards (24-N.Adderley).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 16:40) — (1:40) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller to LAC 19 for 44 yards (26-C.Hayward Jr.).
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston].
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 49:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 30:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 27-J.Kelley up the middle to LAC 6 for -3 yards (93-N.Suh). FUMBLES (93-N.Suh), RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at LAC 8. 45-D.White to LAC 6 for 2 yards (72-R.Groy).
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston].
Quarterback report card
T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +4.9% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +12.78 total EPA
- J.Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) · 32 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +14.0% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +16.01 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Los Angeles Chargers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.051 | +0.093 |
| Offensive success rate | 33.8% | 51.6% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.500 | +0.266 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.498 | -0.067 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.093 | -0.051 |
| Defensive success rate | 48.4% | 66.2% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Los Angeles Chargers +0.05, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.09) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Los Angeles Chargers: 12 drives, +3.62 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +8.86 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Herbert (LAC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 55:05 · LAC 3 · Score 0-6
(10:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 55:00 · LAC 15 · Score 0-7
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 53:24 · TB 53 · Score 6-7
(8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston]. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 53:14 · TB 15 · Score 7-7
4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. - Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 49:08 · LAC 32 · Score 13-7
(4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 48:55 · TB 15 · Score 14-7
4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. - Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 38:56 · TB 19 · Score 20-7
(8:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 89-D.Parham Jr. for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 38:50 · TB 15 · Score 21-7
4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. - Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 31:41 · TB 35 · Score 24-7
(1:41) 4-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. Penalty on TB-45-D.White, Illegal Formation, declined. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:28 · LAC 6 · Score 24-13
(:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:22 · LAC 15 · Score 24-14
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 23:29 · LAC 28 · Score 24-20
(8:29) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 80-O.Howard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 23:22 · LAC 15 · Score 24-21
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:56 · LAC 19 · Score 24-27
(:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:52 · LAC 15 · Score 24-28
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q3 15:12 · TB 72 · Score 30-28
(:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q3 15:00 · TB 15 · Score 31-28
4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:10 · LAC 9 · Score 31-34
(11:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 30-K.Vaughn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 11:05 · LAC 15 · Score 31-35
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 2:44 · LAC 7 · Score 31-38
(2:44) 3-R.Succop 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 2:35 · TB 72 · Score 31-38
(2:35) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Davis at TB 48. 24-C.Davis pushed ob at LAC 21 for 31 yards (88-V.Green). PENALT
Frequently asked questions
Who won Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Los Angeles Chargers 38-31 in Week 4, 2020 on 2020-10-04.
What was the final score of Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Los Angeles Chargers 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 (LAC 31-38 TB) in Week 4, 2020 on 2020-10-04.
What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Los Angeles Chargers 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Los Angeles Chargers 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q4: Los Angeles Chargers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13; Final: Los Angeles Chargers 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:05) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — T. Johnson (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 53:24) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — M. Davis (Q1 49:08) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — D. Parham (J. Herbert pass) (Q2 38:56) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:28) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — O. Howard (T. Brady pass) (Q3 23:29) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:56) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — J. Guyton (J. Herbert pass) (Q3 15:12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. Vaughn (T. Brady pass) (Q4 11:10) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — M. Badgley (Q2 31:41, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q4 2:44, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — J. Herbert (Q4 2:35, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.5% completion, +4.9% CPOE, +0.27 EPA per dropback, +12.78 total passing EPA. J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), 62.5% completion, +14.0% CPOE, +0.50 EPA per dropback, +16.01 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +16.01 on passing plays. across 32 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.58 EPA): (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +30.9%.
Was Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 7 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 38-31 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Los Angeles Chargers
Entered 1-2 Now 1-3 L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W