FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 4, 2020 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2020 Week 4 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Chargers 38–31 in Week 4

Justin Herbert led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 31–38 Week 4 finish.

Los Angeles Chargers 31 1–3
Final 31–38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 3–1 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
31–38
Halftime
Los Angeles Chargers 24–14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Justin Herbert
Game date
October 4, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • Justin Herbert
    Justin Herbert 20/32 · 287 YDS · 3 TD +16.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jalen Guyton
    Jalen Guyton 1 REC · 72 YDS · 1 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Tysheem Johnson
    Tysheem Johnson 1 REC · 53 YDS · 1 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • T.Brady 30/48 · 369 YDS · 6 TD +12.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 7 REC · 122 YDS · 1 TD +10.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Scotty Miller
    Scotty Miller 5 REC · 83 YDS · 1 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 38–31 in Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-04, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+30.9% win probability) came in the third quarter when Los Angeles Chargers swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-04, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Los Angeles Chargers, pulling away with a 38–31 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +12.78 total EPA, and +4.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+30.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Los Angeles Chargers changed the game: (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Chargers141070031
Tampa Bay Buccaneers771413038

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +16.01 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +12.78 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +10.16 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Guyton · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +7.18 total EPA · 1 snaps · +7.18 EPA/play
  5. 5 S. Miller · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.27 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Johnson · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.61 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Vaughn · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  8. 8 D.Parham Jr. · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.92 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Herbert — LAC · Passing

J. Herbert posted the highest total EPA (+16.01) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 32 counted snaps, they averaged +0.50 EPA per play.

The signature play (-10.58 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:05)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — T. Johnson (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 53:24)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — M. Davis (Q1 49:08)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — D. Parham (J. Herbert pass) (Q2 38:56)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:28)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — O. Howard (T. Brady pass) (Q3 23:29)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:56)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — J. Guyton (J. Herbert pass) (Q3 15:12)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Vaughn (T. Brady pass) (Q4 11:10)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Chargers — M. Badgley (Q2 31:41)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q4 2:44)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Herbert (Q4 2:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 3 (Q1 55:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q1 55:00) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 53 (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston].; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 53:14) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the LAC 32 (Q1 49:08); Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 48:55) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 10–7. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 19 (Q2 38:56) — (8:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 89-D.Parham Jr. for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 38:50) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the TB 35 (Q2 31:41) — (1:41) 4-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. Penalty on TB-45-D.White, Illegal Formation, declined.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 6 (Q2 30:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 30:22) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 28 (Q3 23:29) — (8:29) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 80-O.Howard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 23:22) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 19 (Q3 15:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 15:52) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the TB 72 (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 15:00) — 4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LAC 9 (Q4 11:10) — (11:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 30-K.Vaughn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q4 11:05) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the LAC 7 (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 3-R.Succop 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the TB 72 (Q4 2:35).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +30.9% · EPA +7.18]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 49:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.3% · EPA -10.58]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 12:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to LAC 7 for 48 yards (24-N.Adderley). [WPA +21.1% · EPA +3.86]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 16:40) — (1:40) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller to LAC 19 for 44 yards (26-C.Hayward Jr.). [WPA +14.8% · EPA +2.68]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston]. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +4.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 49:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.3% · EPA -10.58]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 15:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +30.9% · EPA +7.18]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 30:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 27-J.Kelley up the middle to LAC 6 for -3 yards (93-N.Suh). FUMBLES (93-N.Suh), RECOVERED by TB-45-D.White at LAC 8. 45-D.White to LAC 6 for 2 yards (72-R.Groy). [WPA -6.9% · EPA -5.18]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston]. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +4.61]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +4.9% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +12.78 total EPA
  • J.Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) · 32 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +14.0% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +16.01 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles ChargersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.051+0.093
Offensive success rate33.8%51.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.500+0.266
Rush EPA/play-0.498-0.067
Defensive EPA/play-0.093-0.051
Defensive success rate48.4%66.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Los Angeles Chargers +0.05, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.09) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Los Angeles Chargers: 12 drives, +3.62 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, +8.86 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Herbert (LAC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 55:05 · LAC 3 · Score 0-6
    (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 55:00 · LAC 15 · Score 0-7
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  3. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 53:24 · TB 53 · Score 6-7
    (8:24) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 83-T.Johnson for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-W.Gholston].
  4. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 53:14 · TB 15 · Score 7-7
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  5. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 49:08 · LAC 32 · Score 13-7
    (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 48:55 · TB 15 · Score 14-7
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  7. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 38:56 · TB 19 · Score 20-7
    (8:56) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep left to 89-D.Parham Jr. for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 38:50 · TB 15 · Score 21-7
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  9. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 31:41 · TB 35 · Score 24-7
    (1:41) 4-M.Badgley 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long. Penalty on TB-45-D.White, Illegal Formation, declined.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:28 · LAC 6 · Score 24-13
    (:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:22 · LAC 15 · Score 24-14
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 23:29 · LAC 28 · Score 24-20
    (8:29) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 80-O.Howard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 23:22 · LAC 15 · Score 24-21
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:56 · LAC 19 · Score 24-27
    (:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 10-S.Miller for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:52 · LAC 15 · Score 24-28
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  16. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q3 15:12 · TB 72 · Score 30-28
    (:12) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right to 15-J.Guyton for 72 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  17. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q3 15:00 · TB 15 · Score 31-28
    4-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Mazza, Holder-1-T.Long.
  18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:10 · LAC 9 · Score 31-34
    (11:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 30-K.Vaughn for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 11:05 · LAC 15 · Score 31-35
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 2:44 · LAC 7 · Score 31-38
    (2:44) 3-R.Succop 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
  21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 2:35 · TB 72 · Score 31-38
    (2:35) 10-J.Herbert pass deep right intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Davis at TB 48. 24-C.Davis pushed ob at LAC 21 for 31 yards (88-V.Green). PENALT

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Los Angeles Chargers 38-31 in Week 4, 2020 on 2020-10-04.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Los Angeles Chargers 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38 (LAC 31-38 TB) in Week 4, 2020 on 2020-10-04.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Los Angeles Chargers 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Los Angeles Chargers 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q3: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q4: Los Angeles Chargers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13; Final: Los Angeles Chargers 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (T. Brady pass) (Q1 55:05) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — T. Johnson (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 53:24) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — M. Davis (Q1 49:08) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — D. Parham (J. Herbert pass) (Q2 38:56) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:28) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — O. Howard (T. Brady pass) (Q3 23:29) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — S. Miller (T. Brady pass) (Q3 15:56) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — J. Guyton (J. Herbert pass) (Q3 15:12) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. Vaughn (T. Brady pass) (Q4 11:10) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — M. Badgley (Q2 31:41, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q4 2:44, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — J. Herbert (Q4 2:35, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.5% completion, +4.9% CPOE, +0.27 EPA per dropback, +12.78 total passing EPA. J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), 62.5% completion, +14.0% CPOE, +0.50 EPA per dropback, +16.01 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +16.01 on passing plays. across 32 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.58 EPA): (4:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 17-J.Watson INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 22. 43-M.Davis for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +30.9%.

Was Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 38-31 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 1-2 Now 1-3 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W