Game story
In Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-26, the Los Angeles Chargers took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 20–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
N. Foles (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with -23.87 total EPA, and -8.1% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Williams (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.31 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-16.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Los Angeles Chargers changed the game: (1:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 19 for -6 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 54-D.Odeyingbo). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner) [54-D.Odeyingbo], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at LAC 21.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | 13 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Williams · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +9.31 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.33 EPA/play
- 2 A. Pierce · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.90 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
- 3 A. Ekeler · Los Angeles Chargers · Rushing · +1.42 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
- 4 J. Palmer · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +1.29 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
- 5 J. Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers · Rushing · +0.90 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
- 6 J. Kelley · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +0.25 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
- 7 Z. Moss · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
- 8 D. Parham · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · -0.14 total EPA · 2 snaps · -0.07 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Williams — LAC · Receiving
M. Williams posted the highest total EPA (+9.31) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +2.33 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.75 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Los Angeles Chargers — A. Ekeler
- Los Angeles Chargers — A. Ekeler
Field goals
- Indianapolis Colts — C. McLaughlin
- Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker
- Los Angeles Chargers — unlisted player
- Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The second quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 13–3. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q2 38:44) — (8:44) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q2 38:41) — 15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the LAC 27 (Q2 34:26) — (4:26) 7-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the IND 6 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 15-C.Dicker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.
The third quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 3–0. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the IND 3 (Q3 21:05) — (6:05) 15-C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott..
The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 7–0. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 8:23) — (8:23) (No Huddle) 30-A.Ekeler left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the IND 15 (Q4 8:20) — 15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 16:39) — (1:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 19 for -6 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 54-D.Odeyingbo). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner) [54-D.Odeyingbo], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at LAC 21.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 53:50) — (8:50) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 14-A.Pierce to LAC 39 for 3 yards (26-A.Samuel). Indianapolis challenged the short of the line to gain ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-N.F
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 42:25) — (12:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left to 81-M.Williams to IND 31 for 16 yards (31-B.Facyson).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 9-N.Foles up the middle to LAC 12 for no gain (49-D.Tranquill; 32-A.Gilman).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 16:39) — (1:39) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert sacked at LAC 19 for -6 yards (sack split by 99-D.Buckner and 54-D.Odeyingbo). FUMBLES (99-D.Buckner) [54-D.Odeyingbo], RECOVERED by IND-51-K.Paye at LAC 21.
- Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 52:34) — (7:34) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short left intended for 13-K.Allen INTERCEPTED by 25-R.Thomas at IND 42. 25-R.Thomas to IND 47 for 5 yards (13-K.Allen).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q3 25:12) — (10:12) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right intended for 1-P.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 26-A.Samuel at IND 37. 26-A.Samuel ran ob at IND 26 for 11 yards (11-M.Pittman).
Quarterback report card
N.Foles led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- N.Foles (Indianapolis Colts) · 37 dropbacks · 45.9% completion · -8.1% CPOE · -0.65 EPA/play · -23.87 total EPA
- J.Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) · 37 dropbacks · 64.9% completion · +10.9% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -4.11 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Los Angeles Chargers | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.105 | -0.478 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.4% | 37.1% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.111 | -0.645 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.005 | -0.318 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.478 | +0.105 |
| Defensive success rate | 62.9% | 55.6% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Los Angeles Chargers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.10 vs -0.48), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, -29.65 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
- Los Angeles Chargers: 11 drives, -8.53 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Los Angeles Chargers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Williams (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- N. Foles (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- J. Herbert (LAC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 38:44 · IND 1 · Score 6-0
(8:44) 30-A.Ekeler up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 38:41 · IND 15 · Score 7-0
15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 34:26 · LAC 27 · Score 7-3
(4:26) 7-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-6-M.Haack. - Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · IND 6 · Score 10-3
(:03) 15-C.Dicker 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. - Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 10-3
END QUARTER 2 - Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q3 21:05 · IND 3 · Score 13-3
(6:05) 15-C.Dicker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott. - Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q4 8:23 · IND 1 · Score 19-3
(8:23) (No Huddle) 30-A.Ekeler left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q4 8:20 · IND 15 · Score 20-3
15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 in Week 16, 2022 on 2022-12-26.
What was the final score of Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
The final score was Los Angeles Chargers 20, Indianapolis Colts 3 (LAC 20-3 IND) in Week 16, 2022 on 2022-12-26.
What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q2: Los Angeles Chargers 13, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q3: Los Angeles Chargers 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q4: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Indianapolis Colts 0; Final: Los Angeles Chargers 20, Indianapolis Colts 3.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — A. Ekeler (Q2 38:44) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — A. Ekeler (Q4 8:23) Indianapolis Colts field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q2 34:26, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — unlisted player (Q2 30:00, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q3 21:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
N. Foles (Indianapolis Colts), 45.9% completion, -8.1% CPOE, -0.65 EPA per dropback, -23.87 total passing EPA. J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), 64.9% completion, +10.9% CPOE, -0.11 EPA per dropback, -4.11 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts?
M. Williams (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +9.31 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.75 EPA): (8:32) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 80-J.Woods INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Davis at LAC 11. 43-M.Davis to LAC 41 for 30 yards (80-J.Woods).. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.0%.
Season records after this game
Los Angeles Chargers
Entered 8-6 Now 9-6 W
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 4-9 Now 4-10 L
Fantasy · fantasyhq.co
