FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 8, 2023 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos: 2022 Week 18 Recap

Broncos defeat Chargers 31–28 in Week 18

Justin Herbert led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 28–31 Week 18 finish.

Los Angeles Chargers 28 10–7
Final 28–31
Denver Broncos 31 5–12 Winner
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
28–31
Halftime
Tied 17–17 at halftime
Top passer
Justin Herbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Justin Herbert
Game date
January 8, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • Justin Herbert
    Justin Herbert 25/38 · 268 YDS · 2 TD +10.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Kyle Allen
    Kyle Allen 8 REC · 102 YDS · 2 TD +8.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Austin Ekeler
    Austin Ekeler 4 REC · 36 YDS +5.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Jerry Jeudy
    Jerry Jeudy 5 REC · 154 YDS +8.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Russell Wilson
    Russell Wilson 13/32 · 275 YDS · 3 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Latavius Murray
    Latavius Murray 15 CAR · 103 YDS · 1 TD +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 31–28 in Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-08, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-14.1% win probability) came in the second quarter when Los Angeles Chargers swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-08, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Los Angeles Chargers, pulling away with a 31–28 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) paced the passing game, with +10.30 total EPA, and -2.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Los Angeles Chargers changed the game: (6:20) 30-A.Ekeler right guard to DEN 48 for no gain (31-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (31-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by DEN-47-J.Jewell at DEN 46. 47-J.Jewell to LAC 49 for 5 yards (30-A.Ekeler).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Chargers71038028
Denver Broncos71077031

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Herbert · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +10.30 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  2. 2 K. Allen · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +8.89 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Jeudy · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +8.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.33 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Ekeler · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +5.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.33 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Wilson · Denver Broncos · Passing · +5.29 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
  6. 6 L. Murray · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +4.04 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  7. 7 F. Swain · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.43 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Palmer · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.85 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Herbert — LAC · Passing

J. Herbert posted the highest total EPA (+10.30) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.27 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.57 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (8:57) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right intended for 83-A.Beck INTERCEPTED by 69-S.Joseph (8-K.Van Noy) at 50. 69-S.Joseph to DEN 46 for 4 yards (77-Q.Meinerz).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Chargers — K. Allen (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 56:22)
  • Denver Broncos — L. Murray (Q1 48:58)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — G. Everett (J. Herbert pass) (Q2 41:01)
  • Denver Broncos — E. Tomlinson (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 30:10)
  • Denver Broncos — T. Badie (R. Wilson pass) (Q3 26:51)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 11:21)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — K. Allen (C. Daniel pass) (Q4 6:06)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q2 32:46)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q2 30:31)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Dicker (Q3 21:46)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the DEN 14 (Q1 56:22) — (11:22) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 56:17) — 15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LAC 2 (Q1 48:58) — (3:58) 28-L.Murray right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q1 48:55) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q2 41:01) — (11:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 7-G.Everett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 40:57) — 15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LAC 15 (Q2 32:46) — (2:46) 8-B.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the DEN 30 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) 15-C.Dicker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LAC 3 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 87-E.Tomlinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q2 30:06) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LAC 24 (Q3 26:51) — (11:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 36-T.Badie for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q3 26:42) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the DEN 18 (Q3 21:46) — (6:46) 15-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 8–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LAC 20 (Q4 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LAC 15 (Q4 11:15) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q4 6:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 4-C.Daniel pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers registered a safety from the DEN 2 (Q4 6:02) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-C.Daniel pass to 5-J.Palmer is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 36:20) — (6:20) 30-A.Ekeler right guard to DEN 48 for no gain (31-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (31-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by DEN-47-J.Jewell at DEN 46. 47-J.Jewell to LAC 49 for 5 yards (30-A.Ekeler). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -5.44]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 30:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 10-J.Jeudy pushed ob at LAC 3 for 57 yards (32-A.Gilman). Penalty on LAC-32-A.Gilman, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +3.64]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 12:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 86-F.Swain to LAC 24 for 52 yards (24-N.Adderley). [WPA +12.4% · EPA +4.77]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 45:51) — (:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 81-M.Williams to DEN 36 for 18 yards (31-J.Simmons). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +2.79]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 15:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 1-D.Carter to DEN 15 for 25 yards (31-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (31-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by DEN-22-K.Jackson at DEN 9. 22-K.Jackson to DEN 11 for 2 yards (3 [WPA -10.8% · EPA -2.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q3 23:57) — (8:57) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right intended for 83-A.Beck INTERCEPTED by 69-S.Joseph (8-K.Van Noy) at 50. 69-S.Joseph to DEN 46 for 4 yards (77-Q.Meinerz). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -5.57]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q2 36:20) — (6:20) 30-A.Ekeler right guard to DEN 48 for no gain (31-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (31-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by DEN-47-J.Jewell at DEN 46. 47-J.Jewell to LAC 49 for 5 yards (30-A.Ekeler). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -5.44]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 12:51) — (12:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 86-F.Swain to LAC 24 for 52 yards (24-N.Adderley). [WPA +12.4% · EPA +4.77]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q4 9:15) — (9:15) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to DEN 23, Center-47-J.Harris. 89-B.Johnson MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by LAC-32-A.Gilman at DEN 29. [WPA +6.4% · EPA +4.67]

Quarterback report card

J.Herbert led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Chargers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) · 38 dropbacks · 65.8% completion · -2.0% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +10.30 total EPA
  • R.Wilson (Denver Broncos) · 32 dropbacks · 40.6% completion · +1.1% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +5.29 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles ChargersDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play+0.120+0.133
Offensive success rate44.2%45.1%
Pass EPA/play+0.252+0.165
Rush EPA/play-0.416+0.189
Defensive EPA/play-0.133-0.120
Defensive success rate54.9%55.8%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Los Angeles Chargers +0.12, Denver Broncos +0.13) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, +10.93 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 13 drives, +10.33 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 56:22 · DEN 14 · Score 6-0
    (11:22) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 56:17 · DEN 15 · Score 7-0
    15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 48:58 · LAC 2 · Score 7-6
    (3:58) 28-L.Murray right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 48:55 · LAC 15 · Score 7-7
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  5. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q2 41:01 · DEN 3 · Score 13-7
    (11:01) (Shotgun) 10-J.Herbert pass short middle to 7-G.Everett for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q2 40:57 · DEN 15 · Score 14-7
    15-C.Dicker extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 32:46 · LAC 15 · Score 14-10
    (2:46) 8-B.McManus 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  8. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 30:31 · DEN 30 · Score 17-10
    (:31) 15-C.Dicker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:10 · LAC 3 · Score 17-16
    (:10) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 87-E.Tomlinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 30:06 · LAC 15 · Score 17-17
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  11. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 26:51 · LAC 24 · Score 17-23
    (11:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 36-T.Badie for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 26:42 · LAC 15 · Score 17-24
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  13. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q3 21:46 · DEN 18 · Score 20-24
    (6:46) 15-C.Dicker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-16-J.Scott.
  14. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 11:21 · LAC 20 · Score 20-30
    (11:21) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 11:15 · LAC 15 · Score 20-31
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
  16. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q4 6:06 · DEN 3 · Score 26-31
    (6:06) (Shotgun) 4-C.Daniel pass short right to 13-K.Allen for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  17. Los Angeles Chargers Safety (+2) — Q4 6:02 · DEN 2 · Score 28-31
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-C.Daniel pass to 5-J.Palmer is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

The Denver Broncos beat the Los Angeles Chargers 31-28 in Week 18, 2022 on 2023-01-08.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Los Angeles Chargers 28, Denver Broncos 31 (LAC 28-31 DEN) in Week 18, 2022 on 2023-01-08.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Los Angeles Chargers 7, Denver Broncos 7; Q2: Los Angeles Chargers 10, Denver Broncos 10; Q3: Los Angeles Chargers 3, Denver Broncos 7; Q4: Los Angeles Chargers 8, Denver Broncos 7; Final: Los Angeles Chargers 28, Denver Broncos 31.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — K. Allen (J. Herbert pass) (Q1 56:22) Denver Broncos touchdown — L. Murray (Q1 48:58) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — G. Everett (J. Herbert pass) (Q2 41:01) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Tomlinson (R. Wilson pass) (Q2 30:10) Denver Broncos touchdown — T. Badie (R. Wilson pass) (Q3 26:51) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Sutton (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 11:21) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — K. Allen (C. Daniel pass) (Q4 6:06) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 32:46, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q2 30:31, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — C. Dicker (Q3 21:46, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers), 65.8% completion, -2.0% CPOE, +0.27 EPA per dropback, +10.30 total passing EPA. R. Wilson (Denver Broncos), 40.6% completion, +1.1% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +5.29 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos?

J. Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +10.30 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.57 EPA): (8:57) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right intended for 83-A.Beck INTERCEPTED by 69-S.Joseph (8-K.Van Noy) at 50. 69-S.Joseph to DEN 46 for 4 yards (77-Q.Meinerz).. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.1%.

Was Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Denver Broncos won 31-28 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 10-6 Now 10-7 L

Denver Broncos

Entered 4-12 Now 5-12 W