FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 25, 2016 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2016 Week 3 Recap

Rams defeat Buccaneers 37–32 in Week 3

Mitchell Evans led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 37–32 Week 3 finish.

Los Angeles Rams 37 2–1 Winner
Final 37–32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 1–2
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
37–32
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 17–20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Jameis Winston
FantasyHQ MVP
Mitchell Evans
Game date
September 25, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • B.Quick 2 REC · 53 YDS · 1 TD +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Cunningham 2 CAR · 29 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Austin 2 CAR · 22 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 10 REC · 132 YDS · 1 TD +10.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Brate 5 REC · 46 YDS · 2 TD +2.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Humphries
    Adam Humphries 9 REC · 100 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37–32 in Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-25, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-41.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-25, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 37–32 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 25 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -3.49 total EPA, and +1.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.39 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-41.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Westbrooks for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Rams107713037
Tampa Bay Buccaneers614012032

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +10.39 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. Quick · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +5.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.78 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Cunningham · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +3.48 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.74 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Austin · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +1.59 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Sims · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +1.42 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Rodgers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Evans — TB · Receiving

M. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+10.39) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 14 counted snaps, they averaged +0.74 EPA per play.

The signature play (-11.03 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Westbrooks for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Quick (C. Keenum pass) (Q1 57:05)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Alexander (Q1 53:54)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Sims (Q2 42:27)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 36:10)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Gurley (Q2 30:28)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Gurley (Q3 15:53)
  • Los Angeles Rams — E. Westbrooks (Q4 11:56)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 9:00)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Austin (C. Keenum pass) (Q4 4:49)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q4 2:24)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — G. Zuerlein (Q1 47:31)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 10–6. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the TB 44 (Q1 57:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 83-B.Quick for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 56:58) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 65 (Q1 53:54); Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the TB 35 (Q1 47:31) — (2:31) (Field Goal formation) 4-G.Zuerlein 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q2 42:27) — (12:27) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 42:23); Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LA 3 (Q2 36:10) — (6:10) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-J.Forrest].; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 36:03) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 30:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 30-T.Gurley up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 30:22) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 7–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q3 15:53) — (:53) 64-A.Donnal reported in as eligible. 30-T.Gurley left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 15:48) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 13–12. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the LA 13 (Q4 11:56); Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 11:39) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LA 1 (Q4 9:00) — (9:00) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the TB 43 (Q4 4:49) — (4:49) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep left to 11-T.Austin for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the LA 7 (Q4 2:24) — (2:24) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Westbrooks for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -41.6% · EPA -11.03]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles up the middle to LA 5 for 10 yards (94-R.Quinn). [WPA -37.8% · EPA -2.42]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 53:54) — (8:54) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 11-T.Austin INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander at LA 38. 58-K.Alexander for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.2% · EPA -7.40]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 57:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 83-B.Quick for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +5.35]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:21) — (14:21) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to LA 43 for 17 yards (38-C.Davis). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +2.64]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Westbrooks for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -41.6% · EPA -11.03]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 53:54) — (8:54) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 11-T.Austin INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander at LA 38. 58-K.Alexander for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.2% · EPA -7.40]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 57:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 83-B.Quick for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +5.35]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:32) — (2:32) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 34-C.Sims INTERCEPTED by 26-M.Barron (22-T.Johnson) at TB 29. 26-M.Barron to TB 22 for 7 yards (34-C.Sims). [WPA -12.3% · EPA -5.16]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 68 dropbacks · 52.9% completion · +1.4% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -3.49 total EPA
  • C.Keenum (Los Angeles Rams) · 30 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · -10.1% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -2.21 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles RamsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.017-0.055
Offensive success rate41.7%44.5%
Pass EPA/play-0.074-0.051
Rush EPA/play+0.073+0.035
Defensive EPA/play+0.055-0.017
Defensive success rate55.5%58.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Los Angeles Rams generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Los Angeles Rams: 13 drives, +1.39 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14 drives, -6.04 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Keenum (LA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 57:05 · TB 44 · Score 6-0
    (12:05) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep middle to 83-B.Quick for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 56:58 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 53:54 · TB 65 · Score 7-6
    (8:54) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 11-T.Austin INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander at LA 38. 58-K.Alexander for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q1 47:31 · TB 35 · Score 10-6
    (2:31) (Field Goal formation) 4-G.Zuerlein 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:27 · LA 1 · Score 10-12
    (12:27) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:23 · LA 15 · Score 10-13
    19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. PENALTY on LA-97-E.Sims, Disqualification, 15 yards, enforced between downs. 97 EJECTED
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 36:10 · LA 3 · Score 10-19
    (6:10) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-J.Forrest].
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 36:03 · LA 15 · Score 10-20
    19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  9. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 30:28 · TB 1 · Score 16-20
    (:28) (Shotgun) 30-T.Gurley up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 30:22 · TB 15 · Score 17-20
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  11. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 15:53 · TB 1 · Score 23-20
    (:53) 64-A.Donnal reported in as eligible. 30-T.Gurley left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 15:48 · TB 15 · Score 24-20
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  13. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 11:56 · LA 13 · Score 30-20
    (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Wes
  14. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 11:39 · TB 15 · Score 31-20
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 9:00 · LA 1 · Score 31-26
    (9:00) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 4:49 · TB 43 · Score 37-26
    (4:49) (Shotgun) 17-C.Keenum pass deep left to 11-T.Austin for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 2:24 · LA 7 · Score 37-32
    (2:24) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37-32 in Week 3, 2016 on 2016-09-25.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Los Angeles Rams 37, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32 (LA 37-32 TB) in Week 3, 2016 on 2016-09-25.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Los Angeles Rams 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Q2: Los Angeles Rams 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14; Q3: Los Angeles Rams 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: Los Angeles Rams 13, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12; Final: Los Angeles Rams 37, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 32.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — B. Quick (C. Keenum pass) (Q1 57:05) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. Alexander (Q1 53:54) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Sims (Q2 42:27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q2 36:10) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Gurley (Q2 30:28) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Gurley (Q3 15:53) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — E. Westbrooks (Q4 11:56) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 9:00) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Austin (C. Keenum pass) (Q4 4:49) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q4 2:24) Los Angeles Rams field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q1 47:31, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 52.9% completion, +1.4% CPOE, -0.05 EPA per dropback, -3.49 total passing EPA. C. Keenum (Los Angeles Rams), 46.7% completion, -10.1% CPOE, -0.07 EPA per dropback, -2.21 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +10.39 on receiving plays. across 14 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-11.03 EPA): (11:56) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at LA 23 for -10 yards (94-R.Quinn). FUMBLES (94-R.Quinn) [92-C.Thomas], RECOVERED by LA-93-E.Westbrooks at LA 23. 93-E.Westbrooks for 77 yards. The biggest win-probability swing was -41.6%.

Was Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 5 points. Los Angeles Rams won 37-32 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 1-1 Now 2-1 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 1-1 Now 1-2 L