FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 26, 2021 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2021 Week 16 Recap

Rams defeat Vikings 30–23 in Week 16

Jordan Jefferson led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 30–23 Week 16 finish.

Los Angeles Rams 30 11–4 Winner
Final 30–23
Minnesota Vikings 23 7–8
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
30–23
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 13–3 Minnesota Vikings
Top passer
Kirk Cousins
FantasyHQ MVP
Jordan Jefferson
Game date
December 26, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Cooper Kupp
    Cooper Kupp 10 REC · 109 YDS +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Sony Michel
    Sony Michel 27 CAR · 131 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Darrell Henderson
    Darrell Henderson 1 CAR · 17 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Jordan Jefferson
    Jordan Jefferson 8 REC · 116 YDS +7.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Conklin
    Tyler Conklin 4 REC · 44 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Kirk Cousins
    Kirk Cousins 27/43 · 312 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Minnesota Vikings 30–23 in Week 16 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-26, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-19.7% win probability) came in the third quarter when Los Angeles Rams swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-26, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 30–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with +2.38 total EPA, and +6.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.54 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.7% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Los Angeles Rams changed the game: (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr (94-D.Tomlinson) at LA 10. 55-A.Barr to LA 2 for 8 yards (63-A.Corbett).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Los Angeles Rams76710030
Minnesota Vikings031010023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Jefferson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +7.54 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Kupp · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Michel · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +3.32 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Conklin · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +2.70 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
  5. 5 K. Cousins · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +2.38 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Henderson · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +1.31 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Thielen · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +0.92 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Stafford · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +0.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Jefferson — MIN · Receiving

J. Jefferson posted the highest total EPA (+7.54) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 12 counted snaps, they averaged +0.63 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.02 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr (94-D.Tomlinson) at LA 10. 55-A.Barr to LA 2 for 8 yards (63-A.Corbett).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — S. Michel (Q1 52:18)
  • Minnesota Vikings — A. Mattison (Q3 26:07)
  • Los Angeles Rams — B. Powell (Q3 22:22)
  • Los Angeles Rams — O. Beckham (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 11:42)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Osborn (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 8:25)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q2 36:40)
  • Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q2 32:38)
  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q2 30:14)
  • Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q3 16:34)
  • Los Angeles Rams — M. Gay (Q4 2:05)
  • Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q4 0:36)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 7–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the MIN 1 (Q1 52:18) — (7:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-S.Michel up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 52:13) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 6–3. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the MIN 14 (Q2 36:40) — (6:40) 8-M.Gay 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the LA 4 (Q2 32:38) — (2:38) 1-G.Joseph 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the MIN 13 (Q2 30:14) — (:14) 8-M.Gay 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 10–7. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the LA 2 (Q3 26:07) — (11:07) 25-A.Mattison left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 26:01); Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the LA 79 (Q3 22:22); Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q3 22:06) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the LA 6 (Q3 16:34) — (1:34) 1-G.Joseph 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the MIN 7 (Q4 11:42) — (11:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 3-O.Beckham for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 11:37) — 8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the LA 6 (Q4 8:25) — (8:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 17-K.Osborn for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q4 8:21) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the MIN 6 (Q4 2:05) — (2:05) 8-M.Gay 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the LA 26 (Q4 0:36) — (:36) 1-G.Joseph 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 26:13) — (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr (94-D.Tomlinson) at LA 10. 55-A.Barr to LA 2 for 8 yards (63-A.Corbett). [WPA -19.7% · EPA -6.02]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) 3-J.Berry punts 40 yards to LA 39, Center-42-A.DePaola. 19-B.Powell for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN-22-H.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA -14.7% · EPA -6.02]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 45:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Howard (11-D.Williams) at LA -2. 32-T.Howard pushed ob at LA 17 for 19 yards (17-K.Osborn). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.66]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 25-S.Michel INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr at LA 14. 55-A.Barr to LA 11 for 3 yards (25-S.Michel). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.30]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 19:20) — (4:20) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 18-J.Jefferson to LA 23 for 34 yards (24-T.Rapp). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +2.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 26:13) — (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr (94-D.Tomlinson) at LA 10. 55-A.Barr to LA 2 for 8 yards (63-A.Corbett). [WPA -19.7% · EPA -6.02]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) 3-J.Berry punts 40 yards to LA 39, Center-42-A.DePaola. 19-B.Powell for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN-22-H.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA -14.7% · EPA -6.02]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 45:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left intended for 17-K.Osborn INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Howard (11-D.Williams) at LA -2. 32-T.Howard pushed ob at LA 17 for 19 yards (17-K.Osborn). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.66]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 25-S.Michel INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr at LA 14. 55-A.Barr to LA 11 for 3 yards (25-S.Michel). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -4.30]

Quarterback report card

K.Cousins led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • K.Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) · 43 dropbacks · 62.8% completion · +6.9% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.38 total EPA
  • M.Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) · 38 dropbacks · 55.3% completion · -10.1% CPOE · -0.24 EPA/play · -9.01 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatLos Angeles RamsMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play-0.032-0.166
Offensive success rate47.7%38.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.237+0.055
Rush EPA/play+0.197-0.325
Defensive EPA/play+0.166+0.032
Defensive success rate61.7%52.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Los Angeles Rams generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.17), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Los Angeles Rams: 12 drives, -2.71 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 12 drives, -13.41 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • K. Cousins (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Stafford (LA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 52:18 · MIN 1 · Score 6-0
    (7:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-S.Michel up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 52:13 · MIN 15 · Score 7-0
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  3. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 36:40 · MIN 14 · Score 10-0
    (6:40) 8-M.Gay 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  4. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 32:38 · LA 4 · Score 10-3
    (2:38) 1-G.Joseph 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.
  5. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 30:14 · MIN 13 · Score 13-3
    (:14) 8-M.Gay 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  6. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 26:07 · LA 2 · Score 13-9
    (11:07) 25-A.Mattison left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 26:01 · LA 15 · Score 13-10
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry. PENALTY on LA-33-N.Scott, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
  8. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q3 22:22 · LA 79 · Score 19-10
    (7:22) 3-J.Berry punts 40 yards to LA 39, Center-42-A.DePaola. 19-B.Powell for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN-22-H.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards
  9. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q3 22:06 · MIN 15 · Score 20-10
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  10. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q3 16:34 · LA 6 · Score 20-13
    (1:34) 1-G.Joseph 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.
  11. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 11:42 · MIN 7 · Score 26-13
    (11:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 3-O.Beckham for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 11:37 · MIN 15 · Score 27-13
    8-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  13. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 8:25 · LA 6 · Score 27-19
    (8:25) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 17-K.Osborn for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 8:21 · LA 15 · Score 27-20
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.
  15. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q4 2:05 · MIN 6 · Score 30-20
    (2:05) 8-M.Gay 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  16. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 0:36 · LA 26 · Score 30-23
    (:36) 1-G.Joseph 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Minnesota Vikings 30-23 in Week 16, 2021 on 2021-12-26.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Los Angeles Rams 30, Minnesota Vikings 23 (LA 30-23 MIN) in Week 16, 2021 on 2021-12-26.

What was the score by quarter in Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Los Angeles Rams 7, Minnesota Vikings 0; Q2: Los Angeles Rams 6, Minnesota Vikings 3; Q3: Los Angeles Rams 7, Minnesota Vikings 10; Q4: Los Angeles Rams 10, Minnesota Vikings 10; Final: Los Angeles Rams 30, Minnesota Vikings 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — S. Michel (Q1 52:18) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — A. Mattison (Q3 26:07) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — B. Powell (Q3 22:22) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — O. Beckham (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 11:42) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — K. Osborn (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 8:25) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q2 36:40, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — G. Joseph (Q2 32:38, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q2 30:14, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — G. Joseph (Q3 16:34, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — M. Gay (Q4 2:05, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — G. Joseph (Q4 0:36, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

K. Cousins (Minnesota Vikings), 62.8% completion, +6.9% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.38 total passing EPA. M. Stafford (Los Angeles Rams), 55.3% completion, -10.1% CPOE, -0.24 EPA per dropback, -9.01 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings?

J. Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +7.54 on receiving plays. across 12 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.02 EPA): (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 89-T.Higbee INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr (94-D.Tomlinson) at LA 10. 55-A.Barr to LA 2 for 8 yards (63-A.Corbett).. The biggest win-probability swing was -19.7%.

Was Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Los Angeles Rams won 30-23 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 7-7 Now 7-8 L