Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-02, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 41–31 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +10.36 total EPA, and +6.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.94 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-9.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (5:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 26 for -8 yards (38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed) [38-L.Sneed], RECOVERED by KC-95-C.Jones at TB 22. 95-C.Jones to TB 20 for 2 yards (67-L.Goedeke).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +11.94 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +10.93 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +10.36 total EPA · 57 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +9.34 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Edwards-Helaire · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.81 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
6. 6 R. White · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.59 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Fortson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.45 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Valdes-Scantling · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 59:20)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Edwards-Helaire (Q1 49:07)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Edwards-Helaire (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 41:35)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 38:55)
• Kansas City Chiefs — N. Gray (Q2 32:15)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Fortson (P. Mahomes pass) (Q3 20:46)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. White (Q3 15:47)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — L. Fournette (T. Brady pass) (Q4 3:35)

Field goals

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q1 55:17)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Wright (Q3 26:31)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Wright (Q4 10:51)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 16 (Q1 59:20) — (14:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 59:14) — 19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 27 (Q1 55:17) — (10:17) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q1 49:07) — (4:07) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-J.McKinnon. 25-C.Edwards-Helaire up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 49:01) — 19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 14–14. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q2 41:35) — (11:35) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [22-K.Neal].; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 41:26) — 19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 13 (Q2 38:55) — (8:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 38:50) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 32:15) — (2:15) Direct snap to 83-N.Gray. 83-N.Gray up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 32:11) — 19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q2 30:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 13-M.Evans for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 30:10) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–7. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the TB 26 (Q3 26:31) — (11:31) 19-M.Wright 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 10 (Q3 20:46) — (5:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 88-J.Fortson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 20:42) — 19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q3 15:47) — (:47) 29-R.White right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 15:44) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the TB 14 (Q4 10:51) — (10:51) 19-M.Wright 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 5 (Q4 3:35) — (3:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 7-L.Fournette for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 3:30) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:09) — (5:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 26 for -8 yards (38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed) [38-L.Sneed], RECOVERED by KC-95-C.Jones at TB 22. 95-C.Jones to TB 20 for 2 yards (67-L.Goedeke). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -5.82]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 60:00) — 19-M.Wright kicks 67 yards from KC 35 to TB -2. 29-R.White to TB 23 for 25 yards (43-J.Cochrane, 29-C.Lammons). FUMBLES (29-C.Lammons), RECOVERED by KC-44-E.Lee at TB 21. [WPA -9.1% · EPA -6.00]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 52:28) — (7:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to TB 41 for 13 yards (24-C.Davis). [WPA +8.8% · EPA +2.47]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 25-C.Edwards-Helaire up the middle to TB 16 for 5 yards (58-S.Barrett). [WPA +6.7% · EPA +0.15]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:20) — (14:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.1% · EPA +2.32]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 60:00) — 19-M.Wright kicks 67 yards from KC 35 to TB -2. 29-R.White to TB 23 for 25 yards (43-J.Cochrane, 29-C.Lammons). FUMBLES (29-C.Lammons), RECOVERED by KC-44-E.Lee at TB 21. [WPA -9.1% · EPA -6.00]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:09) — (5:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 26 for -8 yards (38-L.Sneed). FUMBLES (38-L.Sneed) [38-L.Sneed], RECOVERED by KC-95-C.Jones at TB 22. 95-C.Jones to TB 20 for 2 yards (67-L.Goedeke). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -5.82]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 4:58) — (4:58) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 9-J.Smith-Schuster INTERCEPTED by 23-S.Murphy-Bunting at TB 33. 23-S.Murphy-Bunting pushed ob at KC 34 for 33 yards (15-P.Mahomes). [WPA -0.5% · EPA -4.80]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 35:13) — (5:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire. [WPA -5.6% · EPA -3.44]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 57 dropbacks · 68.4% completion · +6.0% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +10.36 total EPA
• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 44 dropbacks · 52.3% completion · +1.5% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +11.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.21 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +20.47 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +3.14 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 59:20 · TB 16 · Score 6-0
   (14:20) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 59:14 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
   19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 55:17 · KC 27 · Score 7-3
   (10:17) 3-R.Succop 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 49:07 · TB 3 · Score 13-3
   (4:07) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 1-J.McKinnon. 25-C.Edwards-Helaire up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 49:01 · TB 15 · Score 14-3
   19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 41:35 · TB 2 · Score 20-3
   (11:35) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 25-C.Edwards-Helaire for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [22-K.Neal].
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 41:26 · TB 15 · Score 21-3
   19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 38:55 · KC 13 · Score 21-9
   (8:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 38:50 · KC 15 · Score 21-10
   3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 32:15 · TB 1 · Score 27-10
    (2:15) Direct snap to 83-N.Gray. 83-N.Gray up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 32:11 · TB 15 · Score 28-10
    19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 30:15 · KC 1 · Score 28-16
    (:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 13-M.Evans for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 30:10 · KC 15 · Score 28-17
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
14. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 26:31 · TB 26 · Score 31-17
    (11:31) 19-M.Wright 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
15. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 20:46 · TB 10 · Score 37-17
    (5:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 88-J.Fortson for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 20:42 · TB 15 · Score 38-17
    19-M.Wright extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:47 · KC 1 · Score 38-23
    (:47) 29-R.White right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:44 · KC 15 · Score 38-24
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
19. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 10:51 · TB 14 · Score 41-24
    (10:51) 19-M.Wright 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:35 · KC 5 · Score 41-30
    (3:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 7-L.Fournette for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:30 · KC 15 · Score 41-31
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.