Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots: 2019 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-08, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 23–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -0.58 total EPA, and -1.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Hardman (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.64 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles left tackle to KC 12 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Hardman · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.64 total EPA · 1 snaps · +5.64 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Hill · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +2.76 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.76 EPA/play
4. 4 J. White · New England Patriots · Passing · +2.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.00 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Sanu · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.48 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.48 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Bolden · New England Patriots · Rushing · +1.46 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Thompson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Watkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.20 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — J. Edelman (T. Brady pass) (Q1 57:43)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Hardman (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 43:14)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (Q2 39:37)
• New England Patriots — B. Bolden (Q3 19:30)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q1 52:17)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 31:02)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q3 23:50)
• New England Patriots — N. Folk (Q4 11:45)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the KC 37 (Q1 57:43) — (12:43) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 11-J.Edelman for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. flea flicker; New England Patriots added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 57:34) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NE 30 (Q1 52:17) — (7:17) 7-H.Butker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 17–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the NE 48 (Q2 43:14) — (13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 43:04) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the NE 4 (Q2 39:37) — (9:37) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 87-T.Kelce. 87-T.Kelce up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 39:33) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NE 13 (Q2 31:02) — (1:02) 7-H.Butker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 6–3. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the NE 23 (Q3 23:50) — (8:50) 7-H.Butker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the KC 10 (Q3 19:30) — (4:30) 38-B.Bolden right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the KC 11 (Q4 11:45) — (11:45) 2-N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q4 3:26) — (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady scrambles left tackle to KC 12 for 17 yards (32-T.Mathieu). [WPA +17.2% · EPA +2.97]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 43:14) — (13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +5.64]
• New England Patriots (Q4 1:11) — (1:11) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 11-J.Edelman (21-B.Breeland). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -2.82]
• New England Patriots (Q2 43:04) — (13:04) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 83-M.LaCosse INTERCEPTED by 21-B.Breeland at NE 39. 21-B.Breeland to NE 35 for 4 yards (28-J.White). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.76]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 44:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill to NE 33 for 21 yards (31-J.Jones) [53-K.Van Noy]. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +3.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 43:14) — (13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +5.64]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 15:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to NE 36 for 1 yard (32-D.McCourty, 24-S.Gilmore). New England challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. [WPA -10.2% · EPA -5.00]
• New England Patriots (Q2 43:04) — (13:04) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 83-M.LaCosse INTERCEPTED by 21-B.Breeland at NE 39. 21-B.Breeland to NE 35 for 4 yards (28-J.White). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.76]
• New England Patriots (Q1 47:06) — (2:06) 2-N.Folk 41 yard field goal is BLOCKED (92-T.Kpassagnon), Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey, RECOVERED by KC-35-C.Ward at KC 35. 35-C.Ward to KC 42 for 7 yards (58-J.Collins). [WPA -8.0% · EPA -4.16]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 50 dropbacks · 52.0% completion · -1.7% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.58 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -9.9% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -9.15 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.19), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 12 drives, -3.42 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 12 drives, -15.31 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Hardman (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 57:43 · KC 37 · Score 0-6
   (12:43) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 11-J.Edelman for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. flea flicker
2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 57:34 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 52:17 · NE 30 · Score 3-7
   (7:17) 7-H.Butker 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 43:14 · NE 48 · Score 9-7
   (13:14) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 17-M.Hardman for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 43:04 · NE 15 · Score 10-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 39:37 · NE 4 · Score 16-7
   (9:37) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 87-T.Kelce. 87-T.Kelce up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 39:33 · NE 15 · Score 17-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 31:02 · NE 13 · Score 20-7
   (1:02) 7-H.Butker 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 23:50 · NE 23 · Score 23-7
   (8:50) 7-H.Butker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 19:30 · KC 10 · Score 23-13
    (4:30) 38-B.Bolden right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 11:45 · KC 11 · Score 23-16
    (11:45) 2-N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.