Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2015 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-06, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -20.61 total EPA, and -4.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Walford (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-28.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (12:16) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 26-R.Helu INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Mauga [55-D.Ford] at KC 32. 90-J.Mauga to LV 2 for 66 yards (26-R.Helu).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Walford · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.42 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Maclin · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Roberts · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.85 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Crabtree · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
5. 5 L. Smith · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.61 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Ware · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +1.47 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Wilson · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.29 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Reece · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +1.23 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — L. Murray (Q1 55:29)
• Kansas City Chiefs — A. Smith (Q1 50:03)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Crabtree (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:19)
• Kansas City Chiefs — S. Ware (Q3 24:19)
• Las Vegas Raiders — L. Smith (D. Carr pass) (Q3 17:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Maclin (A. Smith pass) (Q4 11:19)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Maclin (A. Smith pass) (Q4 8:03)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Branch (Q4 3:27)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 2 (Q1 55:29); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 55:25) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q1 50:03) — (5:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q1 49:58) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 25 (Q2 30:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 30:13) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–6. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 10 (Q3 24:19) — (9:19) 32-S.Ware left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 24:16) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 5 (Q3 17:15).

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 20–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q4 11:19) — (11:19) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 13 (Q4 8:03); Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 84 (Q4 3:27); Kansas City Chiefs registered a safety from the LV 2 (Q4 3:14) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 87-T.Kelce is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 12:16) — (12:16) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 26-R.Helu INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Mauga [55-D.Ford] at KC 32. 90-J.Mauga to LV 2 for 66 yards (26-R.Helu). [WPA -28.6% · EPA -9.72]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 8:21) — (8:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right intended for 89-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 29. 22-M.Peters to LV 13 for 58 yards (10-S.Roberts). [WPA -22.1% · EPA -7.42]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 8:03) — (8:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-20-N.Allen was injured during the play. His return is Probable. [WPA +19.4% · EPA +2.48]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to LV 26 for 16 yards (24-C.Woodson). FUMBLES (24-C.Woodson), RECOVERED by LV-24-C.Woodson at LV 26. 24-C.Woodson to KC 36 for 38 yards (11-A [WPA -16.3% · EPA -5.26]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 6:26) — (6:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at KC 31 for -7 yards (49-D.Sorensen). [WPA -13.3% · EPA -1.64]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 12:16) — (12:16) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 26-R.Helu INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Mauga [55-D.Ford] at KC 32. 90-J.Mauga to LV 2 for 66 yards (26-R.Helu). [WPA -28.6% · EPA -9.72]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 8:21) — (8:21) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right intended for 89-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 29. 22-M.Peters to LV 13 for 58 yards (10-S.Roberts). [WPA -22.1% · EPA -7.42]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 3:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle intended for 89-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Branch at LV 38. 27-T.Branch for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-72-D.Penn was injured during the play. His return is Pr [WPA -10.2% · EPA -6.46]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to LV 26 for 16 yards (24-C.Woodson). FUMBLES (24-C.Woodson), RECOVERED by LV-24-C.Woodson at LV 26. 24-C.Woodson to KC 36 for 38 yards (11-A [WPA -16.3% · EPA -5.26]

Quarterback report card

D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 55 dropbacks · 56.4% completion · -4.2% CPOE · -0.37 EPA/play · -20.61 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 31 dropbacks · 51.6% completion · +0.5% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -2.67 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.11 vs -0.27), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 14 drives, -7.17 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 13 drives, -26.02 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Walford (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 55:29 · KC 2 · Score 0-6
   (10:29) 28-L.Murray right guard to KC 1 for 1 yard (96-J.Howard). Oakland challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 73-M.McCants
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 55:25 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 50:03 · LV 3 · Score 6-7
   (5:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 49:58 · LV 15 · Score 7-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:19 · KC 25 · Score 7-13
   (:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:13 · KC 15 · Score 7-14
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 24:19 · LV 10 · Score 13-14
   (9:19) 32-S.Ware left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 24:16 · LV 15 · Score 14-14
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 17:15 · KC 5 · Score 14-20
   (2:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 86-L.Smith for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-22-M.Peters, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforc
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 11:19 · LV 1 · Score 20-20
    (11:19) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 8:03 · LV 13 · Score 26-20
    (8:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-20-N.Allen was injured during the play. His return is Probable.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 3:27 · KC 84 · Score 32-20
    (3:27) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle intended for 89-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Branch at LV 38. 27-T.Branch for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. LV-72-D.Penn was i
13. Kansas City Chiefs Safety (+2) — Q4 3:14 · LV 2 · Score 34-20
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 87-T.Kelce is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.