Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2012 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-16, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 15–0 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 6 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Quinn (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -18.93 total EPA, and -9.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Moeaki (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +2.68 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-7.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (1:40) 11-S.Janikowski 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Moeaki · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.68 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Streater · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.67 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Moore · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.49 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Reece · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.44 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Goodson · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.04 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Palmer · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +0.91 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Goodson · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · -0.05 total EPA · 14 snaps · -0.00 EPA/play
8. 8 P. Hillis · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · -0.53 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.53 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 46:48)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 40:43)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 30:03)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 21:45)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 13:32)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 2 (Q1 46:48) — (1:48) 11-S.Janikowski 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 6–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 32 (Q2 40:43) — (10:43) 11-S.Janikowski 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 39 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 12 (Q3 21:45) — (6:45) 11-S.Janikowski 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 23 (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) 11-S.Janikowski 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 31:40) — (1:40) 11-S.Janikowski 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler. [WPA -7.1% · EPA -2.63]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 18:34) — (3:34) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep left to 84-J.Newsome. PENALTY on LV-31-C.Francies, Defensive Pass Interference, 27 yards, enforced at LV 36 - No Play. [WPA +6.5% · EPA +2.91]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 40:43) — (10:43) 11-S.Janikowski 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler. [WPA +6.3% · EPA +1.80]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 41:06) — (11:06) 20-D.McFadden right tackle to KC 32 for -2 yards (29-E.Berry). [WPA -6.0% · EPA -2.19]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 50:47) — (5:47) (Shotgun) 25-M.Goodson up the middle to KC 35 for 8 yards (29-E.Berry). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +0.70]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 10:29) — (10:29) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 20-D.McFadden to LV 22 for 2 yards (52-B.Siler). FUMBLES (52-B.Siler), RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at LV 22. 50-J.Houston to LV 18 for 4 yards (69-K.Barnes). T [WPA -5.5% · EPA -5.21]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 15:31) — (:31) 25-M.Goodson up the middle to KC 32 for 43 yards (30-J.Brown). [WPA +3.0% · EPA +3.13]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 9:32) — (9:32) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep left to 89-J.Baldwin [52-P.Wheeler]. [WPA -2.2% · EPA -3.04]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 18:34) — (3:34) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep left to 84-J.Newsome. PENALTY on LV-31-C.Francies, Defensive Pass Interference, 27 yards, enforced at LV 36 - No Play. [WPA +6.5% · EPA +2.91]

Quarterback report card

B.Quinn led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Quinn (Kansas City Chiefs) · 38 dropbacks · 47.4% completion · -9.6% CPOE · -0.50 EPA/play · -18.93 total EPA
• C.Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders) · 30 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · -4.0% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -1.52 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.06 vs -0.34), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, -21.23 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -5.83 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Moeaki (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Quinn (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• C. Palmer (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 46:48 · KC 2 · Score 0-3
   (1:48) 11-S.Janikowski 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
2. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 40:43 · KC 32 · Score 0-6
   (10:43) 11-S.Janikowski 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
3. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · KC 39 · Score 0-9
   (:03) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
4. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 21:45 · KC 12 · Score 0-12
   (6:45) 11-S.Janikowski 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
5. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 13:32 · KC 23 · Score 0-15
   (13:32) 11-S.Janikowski 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.