Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2010 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-11-07, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 23–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +7.87 total EPA, and -3.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Ford (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.21 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+30.3% win probability) landed in overtime when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (13:39) 69-K.Barnes reported in as eligible. 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 12-J.Ford to KC 15 for 47 yards (24-B.Flowers).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Ford · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +8.21 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Cassel · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +7.87 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
3. 3 V. Tucker · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.52 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.52 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Copper · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Moeaki · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.43 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Barnes · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
8. 8 D. McFadden · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +0.27 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — V. Tucker (M. Cassel pass) (Q2 44:40)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Ford (Q3 30:00)
• Las Vegas Raiders — K. Barnes (J. Campbell pass) (Q3 21:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Bowe (M. Cassel pass) (Q4 6:17)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q2 41:10)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Succop (Q3 24:46)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 9:50)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 0:07)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (OT 12:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 11 (Q2 44:40); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 44:31) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 25 (Q2 41:10) — (11:10) 6-R.Succop 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 30 (Q3 30:00); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q3 29:48) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the LV 7 (Q3 24:46) — (9:46) 6-R.Succop 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the KC 2 (Q3 21:15) — (6:15) 69-K.Barnes reported in as eligible. 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 69-K.Barnes for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q3 21:13) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–6. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 5 (Q4 9:50) — (9:50) 11-S.Janikowski 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the LV 20 (Q4 6:17) — (6:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle to 82-D.Bowe for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 6:13) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 22 (Q4 0:07) — (:07) 11-S.Janikowski 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Overtime: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the KC 15 (OT 12:09) — (12:09) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (OT 13:39) — (13:39) 69-K.Barnes reported in as eligible. 8-J.Campbell pass deep middle to 12-J.Ford to KC 15 for 47 yards (24-B.Flowers). [WPA +30.3% · EPA +2.97]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 9:02) — (9:02) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to LV 32, Center-43-T.Gafford. 89-N.Miller MUFFS catch, and recovers at LV 25. 89-N.Miller to LV 30 for 5 yards (53-D.Williams). FUMBLES (53-D.Williams), RECOVERED b [WPA +21.9% · EPA +5.67]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 30:00) — 6-R.Succop kicks 64 yards from KC 30 to LV 6. 12-J.Ford for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-54-S.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +18.6% · EPA +6.19]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Chiefs' Captains:#20 T.Jones; #47 J.McGraw; #50 M.Vrabel; #54 B.Waters; #72 G.Dorsey [WPA +18.2% · EPA -0.02]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 6:17) — (6:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle to 82-D.Bowe for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.9% · EPA +4.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 30:00) — 6-R.Succop kicks 64 yards from KC 30 to LV 6. 12-J.Ford for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-54-S.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +18.6% · EPA +6.19]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 9:02) — (9:02) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to LV 32, Center-43-T.Gafford. 89-N.Miller MUFFS catch, and recovers at LV 25. 89-N.Miller to LV 30 for 5 yards (53-D.Williams). FUMBLES (53-D.Williams), RECOVERED b [WPA +21.9% · EPA +5.67]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 6:17) — (6:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle to 82-D.Bowe for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.9% · EPA +4.03]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 29:48) — 11-S.Janikowski kicks 71 yards from LV 15 to KC 14. 21-J.Arenas to KC 35 for 21 yards (25-R.Cartwright). FUMBLES (25-R.Cartwright), RECOVERED by LV-31-H.Eugene at KC 34. 31-H.Eugene to KC 34 for no ga [WPA -12.5% · EPA -3.84]

Quarterback report card

M.Cassel led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Cassel (Kansas City Chiefs) · 45 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -3.1% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +7.87 total EPA
• J.Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) · 39 dropbacks · 48.7% completion · +3.0% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -5.34 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Kansas City Chiefs -0.09, Las Vegas Raiders -0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Kansas City Chiefs: 17 drives, -9.44 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 17 drives, -8.85 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Ford (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Cassel (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 44:40 · LV 11 · Score 6-0
   (14:40) 7-M.Cassel pass short left to 15-V.Tucker for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Oakland challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 a
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 44:31 · LV 2 · Score 7-0
   6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 41:10 · LV 25 · Score 10-0
   (11:10) 6-R.Succop 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 30:00 · KC 30 · Score 10-6
   6-R.Succop kicks 64 yards from KC 30 to LV 6. 12-J.Ford for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on LV-54-S.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced betwee
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 29:48 · KC 2 · Score 10-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
6. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 24:46 · LV 7 · Score 13-7
   (9:46) 6-R.Succop 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 21:15 · KC 2 · Score 13-13
   (6:15) 69-K.Barnes reported in as eligible. 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 69-K.Barnes for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 21:13 · KC 2 · Score 13-14
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
9. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 9:50 · KC 5 · Score 13-17
   (9:50) 11-S.Janikowski 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 6:17 · LV 20 · Score 19-17
    (6:17) (Shotgun) 7-M.Cassel pass deep middle to 82-D.Bowe for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 6:13 · LV 2 · Score 20-17
    6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
12. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 0:07 · KC 22 · Score 20-20
    (:07) 11-S.Janikowski 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
13. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — OT 12:09 · KC 15 · Score 20-23
    (12:09) 11-S.Janikowski 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.