Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers: 2015 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-09-28, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 38–28 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with -0.10 total EPA, and -9.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.36 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+7.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (12:08) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +17.36 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Maclin · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +11.98 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +11.22 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Charles · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.72 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.23 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Montgomery · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.90 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Thomas · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — T. Montgomery (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 54:50)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 47:23)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q2 42:08)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:56)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 22:22)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Maclin (A. Smith pass) (Q3 16:00)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 12:13)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q4 10:01)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q4 1:30)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 36:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 8 (Q1 54:50) — (9:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 88-T.Montgomery for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 54:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q1 47:23) — (2:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 47:18) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 9 (Q2 42:08) — (12:08) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 42:02) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the KC 26 (Q2 36:20) — (6:20) 2-M.Crosby 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 27 (Q2 30:56); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 30:56) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 4 (Q3 22:22) — (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q3 22:18) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q3 16:00) — (1:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 19-J.Maclin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 15:56) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the KC 4 (Q4 12:13) — (12:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 12:10) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 4 (Q4 10:01) — (10:01) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs registered a safety from the GB 2 (Q4 9:56) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 87-T.Kelce is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q4 1:30) — (1:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 42:08) — (12:08) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.49]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:40) — (10:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 27-E.Lacy to KC 8 for 26 yards (56-D.Johnson). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +1.55]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:44) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 67 yards from GB 35 to KC -2. 34-K.Davis pushed ob at GB 48 for 54 yards (91-J.Elliott). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.19]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:13) — (11:13) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 89-J.Jones ran ob at KC 34 for 12 yards (23-P.Gaines). [WPA +4.8% · EPA +0.66]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:56) — (:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-91-T.Hali, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +4.7% · EPA +3.47]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 22:33) — (7:33) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short left intended for 12-A.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 37-S.Shields [52-C.Matthews] at KC 19. 37-S.Shields ran ob at KC 4 for 15 yards (11-A.Smith). Penalty on KC-66-B.Gru [WPA -0.8% · EPA -4.85]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:31) — (13:31) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones ran ob at KC 8 for 52 yards (29-E.Berry). Penalty on KC-55-D.Ford, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +0.6% · EPA +4.49]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 10:57) — (10:57) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 19-J.Maclin to GB 14 for 61 yards (37-S.Shields). [WPA -0.0% · EPA +4.18]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 17:31) — (2:31) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 19-J.Maclin to GB 7 for 31 yards (32-C.Banjo). [WPA +0.3% · EPA +3.86]

Quarterback report card

A.Smith led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 59 dropbacks · 40.7% completion · -9.5% CPOE · -0.00 EPA/play · -0.10 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 46 dropbacks · 52.2% completion · +4.1% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +17.36 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs +0.07), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +16.08 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, +6.49 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 54:50 · KC 8 · Score 0-6
   (9:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 88-T.Montgomery for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 54:44 · KC 15 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:23 · KC 3 · Score 0-13
   (2:23) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 47:18 · KC 15 · Score 0-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 42:08 · GB 9 · Score 6-14
   (12:08) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 42:02 · GB 15 · Score 7-14
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 36:20 · KC 26 · Score 7-17
   (6:20) 2-M.Crosby 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:56 · KC 27 · Score 7-23
   (:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 89-J.Jones for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on KC-91-T.Hali, Defensive Offside, declined.
9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:56 · KC 15 · Score 7-24
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 22:22 · KC 4 · Score 7-30
    (7:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 22:18 · KC 15 · Score 7-31
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 16:00 · GB 5 · Score 13-31
    (1:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 19-J.Maclin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 15:56 · GB 15 · Score 14-31
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 12:13 · KC 4 · Score 14-37
    (12:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 12:10 · KC 15 · Score 14-38
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
16. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 10:01 · GB 4 · Score 20-38
    (10:01) (Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Kansas City Chiefs Safety (+2) — Q4 9:56 · GB 2 · Score 22-38
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-A.Smith pass to 87-T.Kelce is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
18. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 1:30 · GB 7 · Score 28-38
    (1:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-J.Charles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.