FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 1, 2012 · 8 min read

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos: 2011 Week 17 Recap

Chiefs defeat Broncos 7–3 in Week 17

D.Bowe led Fantasy Impact as Chiefs prevailed in a 7–3 Week 17 finish.

Kansas City Chiefs 7 7–9 Winner
Final 7–3
Denver Broncos 3 8–8
Winner
Kansas City Chiefs
Final score
7–3
Top passer
K. Orton
FantasyHQ MVP
D.Bowe
Game date
January 1, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Chiefs

  • D.Bowe 6 REC · 93 YDS +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • D.McCluster 12 CAR · 61 YDS · 1 TD +3.9 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Copper 1 REC · 14 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • W.McGahee 28 CAR · 145 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Fells 1 REC · 14 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Royal 2 CAR · 18 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Denver Broncos 7–3 in Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+15.2% win probability) came in the third quarter when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 7–3 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 7 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Orton (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +1.57 total EPA, and -11.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.65 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (9:50) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to KC 17, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-12-M.Willis at KC 20. 12-M.Willis to KC 20 for no gain (21-J.Arenas).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q3T
Kansas City Chiefs700007
Denver Broncos030003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.65 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. McCluster · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +3.85 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Copper · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
  4. 4 W. McGahee · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +1.97 total EPA · 28 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Fells · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.69 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.69 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Orton · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +1.57 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
  7. 7 E. Royal · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +1.39 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  8. 8 L. Pope · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.01 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Bowe — KC · Receiving

D. Bowe posted the highest total EPA (+5.65) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Kansas City Chiefs's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +0.94 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.93 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (9:50) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to KC 17, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-12-M.Willis at KC 20. 12-M.Willis to KC 20 for no gain (21-J.Arenas).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Kansas City Chiefs — D. McCluster (Q1 45:20)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q3 23:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the DEN 21 (Q1 45:20) — (:20) 22-D.McCluster right end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 45:11) — 6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the KC 20 (Q3 23:15) — (8:15) 5-M.Prater 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (Q3 24:50) — (9:50) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to KC 17, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-12-M.Willis at KC 20. 12-M.Willis to KC 20 for no gain (21-J.Arenas). [WPA +15.2% · EPA +4.93]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 11:05) — (11:05) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow sacked at KC 45 for -9 yards (sack split by 92-W.Gilberry and 50-J.Houston). [WPA -13.6% · EPA -2.47]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 0:45) — (:45) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow pass short right to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 25 for 9 yards (24-B.Flowers) [92-W.Gilberry]. PENALTY on KC-92-W.Gilberry, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 25. [WPA +11.0% · EPA +0.63]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 5:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 89-J.Baldwin ran ob at KC 27 for 15 yards. [WPA +10.7% · EPA +1.90]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 52:35) — (7:35) 6-R.Succop 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -3.83]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q3 24:50) — (9:50) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to KC 17, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-12-M.Willis at KC 20. 12-M.Willis to KC 20 for no gain (21-J.Arenas). [WPA +15.2% · EPA +4.93]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 38:47) — (8:47) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow left end to KC 13 for 2 yards (23-K.Lewis). FUMBLES (23-K.Lewis), RECOVERED by KC-50-J.Houston at KC 14. 50-J.Houston to KC 14 for no gain (86-D.Fells). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.05]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 52:35) — (7:35) 6-R.Succop 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -3.83]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 45:20) — (:20) 22-D.McCluster right end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.8% · EPA +2.76]

Quarterback report card

K.Orton led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • K.Orton (Kansas City Chiefs) · 30 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -11.4% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +1.57 total EPA
  • T.Tebow (Denver Broncos) · 25 dropbacks · 24.0% completion · -24.7% CPOE · -0.34 EPA/play · -8.42 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatKansas City ChiefsDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play-0.039-0.092
Offensive success rate38.7%36.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.052-0.337
Rush EPA/play-0.014-0.089
Defensive EPA/play+0.092+0.039
Defensive success rate63.7%61.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.09), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -8.33 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Kansas City Chiefs: 12 drives, -2.89 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • D. Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • K. Orton (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • T. Tebow (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 45:20 · DEN 21 · Score 6-0
    (:20) 22-D.McCluster right end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 45:11 · DEN 2 · Score 7-0
    6-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
  3. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 23:15 · KC 20 · Score 7-3
    (8:15) 5-M.Prater 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Denver Broncos 7-3 in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the final score of Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Kansas City Chiefs 7, Denver Broncos 3 (KC 7-3 DEN) in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the score by quarter in Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Kansas City Chiefs 7, Denver Broncos 0; Q3: Kansas City Chiefs 0, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Kansas City Chiefs 7, Denver Broncos 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — D. McCluster (Q1 45:20) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q3 23:15, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

K. Orton (Kansas City Chiefs), 50.0% completion, -11.4% CPOE, +0.05 EPA per dropback, +1.57 total passing EPA. T. Tebow (Denver Broncos), 24.0% completion, -24.7% CPOE, -0.34 EPA per dropback, -8.42 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos?

D. Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs) led the game in total EPA with +5.65 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.93 EPA): (9:50) 4-B.Colquitt punts 37 yards to KC 17, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-J.Arenas MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-12-M.Willis at KC 20. 12-M.Willis to KC 20 for no gain (21-J.Arenas).. The biggest win-probability swing was +15.2%.

Was Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos a close game?

Yes — the margin was 4 points. Kansas City Chiefs won 7-3 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Kansas City Chiefs

Entered 6-9 Now 7-9 W

Denver Broncos

Entered 8-7 Now 8-8 L