Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills: 2014 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-11-09, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 17–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Orton (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -3.24 total EPA, and -6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.85 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-56.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: End of half - 2.22 pm

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Bowe · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.85 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Brown · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.11 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Charles · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +4.10 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Hogan · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +1.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Dixon · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.37 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Davis · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — C. Hogan (K. Orton pass) (Q1 54:57)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Charles (Q4 13:39)
• Kansas City Chiefs — A. Smith (Q4 9:05)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q1 50:27)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q2 37:13)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q3 18:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the KC 25 (Q1 54:57) — (9:57) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short right to 15-C.Hogan for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught near hashmark at KC 10.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the KC 2 (Q1 54:51) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BUF 18 (Q1 50:27) — (5:27) 5-C.Santos 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 8 (Q2 37:13) — (7:13) 2-D.Carpenter 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the KC 3 (Q3 18:09) — (3:09) 2-D.Carpenter 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 39 (Q4 13:39) — (13:39) 25-J.Charles left end for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 13:30) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BUF 8 (Q4 9:05) — (9:05) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 8:59) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2) — End of half - 2.22 pm [WPA -56.6% · EPA -1.96]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 30:42) — (:42) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 16 for 4 yards (56-K.Rivers). [WPA +55.9% · EPA +0.97]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 9:57) — (9:57) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to BUF 31, Center-43-T.Gafford. 21-L.McKelvin to BUF 30 for -1 yards (42-A.Sherman). FUMBLES (42-A.Sherman), RECOVERED by KC-42-A.Sherman at BUF 26. KC-88-J.Hemingwa [WPA +25.9% · EPA +5.84]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:31) — (2:31) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass incomplete short right to 14-S.Watkins (38-R.Parker). Receiver at goal line underthrown, nearly intercepted at KC 2. [WPA -19.4% · EPA -2.99]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 13:39) — (13:39) 25-J.Charles left end for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +5.96]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 13:39) — (13:39) 25-J.Charles left end for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +5.96]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 9:57) — (9:57) 2-D.Colquitt punts 53 yards to BUF 31, Center-43-T.Gafford. 21-L.McKelvin to BUF 30 for -1 yards (42-A.Sherman). FUMBLES (42-A.Sherman), RECOVERED by KC-42-A.Sherman at BUF 26. KC-88-J.Hemingwa [WPA +25.9% · EPA +5.84]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 41:14) — (11:14) 34-K.Davis right tackle to KC 31 for -5 yards (53-N.Bradham). FUMBLES (53-N.Bradham), RECOVERED by BUF-92-J.Wynn at KC 31. 92-J.Wynn to KC 31 for no gain (80-A.Fasano). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -5.35]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 24:54) — (9:54) (Shotgun) 35-B.Brown right tackle to KC 5 for 12 yards (38-R.Parker). FUMBLES (38-R.Parker), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback. Ball bounced out of back of end zone. [WPA -9.3% · EPA -4.78]

Quarterback report card

K.Orton led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Orton (Buffalo Bills) · 53 dropbacks · 54.7% completion · -6.3% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -3.24 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 37 dropbacks · 45.9% completion · -5.8% CPOE · -0.08 EPA/play · -3.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.08), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 13 drives, -7.39 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 13 drives, -2.26 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Bowe (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Orton (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Smith (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 54:57 · KC 25 · Score 0-6
   (9:57) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short right to 15-C.Hogan for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught near hashmark at KC 10.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 54:51 · KC 2 · Score 0-7
   2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 50:27 · BUF 18 · Score 3-7
   (5:27) 5-C.Santos 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 37:13 · KC 8 · Score 3-10
   (7:13) 2-D.Carpenter 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 18:09 · KC 3 · Score 3-13
   (3:09) 2-D.Carpenter 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 13:39 · BUF 39 · Score 9-13
   (13:39) 25-J.Charles left end for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 13:30 · BUF 2 · Score 10-13
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
8. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 9:05 · BUF 8 · Score 16-13
   (9:05) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 8:59 · BUF 2 · Score 17-13
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.