Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2015 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-20, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 34–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Clausen (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with -9.63 total EPA, and -5.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Aiken (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.16 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-30.8% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (3:03) (Shotgun) 37-J.Allen left guard to KC 27 for 3 yards (56-D.Johnson). FUMBLES (56-D.Johnson), RECOVERED by KC-27-T.Branch at KC 27. 27-T.Branch for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 K. Aiken · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +8.16 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +7.47 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.11 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Butler · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +4.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Juszczyk · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Williams · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Wilson · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +0.97 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
8. 8 C. West · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +0.94 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — C. West (Q1 54:22)
• Baltimore Ravens — K. Juszczyk (J. Clausen pass) (Q1 51:35)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Allen (Q1 48:03)
• Kansas City Chiefs — J. Maclin (A. Smith pass) (Q2 45:00)
• Baltimore Ravens — K. Aiken (J. Clausen pass) (Q2 30:04)
• Kansas City Chiefs — M. Peters (Q4 4:50)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q2 30:54)
• Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos (Q4 6:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BAL 38 (Q1 54:22); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q1 54:13) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the KC 1 (Q1 51:35) — (6:35) 2-J.Clausen pass short left to 44-K.Juszczyk for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q1 51:30) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 30 (Q1 48:03); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q1 47:49).

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the BAL 13 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 44:56) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BAL 35 (Q2 30:54) — (:54) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the KC 48 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass deep left to 11-K.Aiken for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN [51-F.Zombo].; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 30:00) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the BAL 14 (Q4 6:50) — (6:50) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 16 (Q4 4:50); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q4 4:36) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 48:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 37-J.Allen left guard to KC 27 for 3 yards (56-D.Johnson). FUMBLES (56-D.Johnson), RECOVERED by KC-27-T.Branch at KC 27. 27-T.Branch for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -30.8% · EPA -10.67]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:22) — (9:22) No.79 - Stephenson reports as eligible. 35-C.West left tackle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-35-C.West, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +4.16]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 56:01) — (11:01) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles right end pushed ob at KC 38 for 6 yards (97-T.Jernigan). PENALTY on BAL-97-T.Jernigan, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at KC 38. [WPA +9.2% · EPA +2.92]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass deep left to 11-K.Aiken for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN [51-F.Zombo]. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +6.65]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 4:50) — (4:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass short right intended for 83-D.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 10. 22-M.Peters for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.8% · EPA -11.73]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 4:50) — (4:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass short right intended for 83-D.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 10. 22-M.Peters for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.8% · EPA -11.73]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 48:03) — (3:03) (Shotgun) 37-J.Allen left guard to KC 27 for 3 yards (56-D.Johnson). FUMBLES (56-D.Johnson), RECOVERED by KC-27-T.Branch at KC 27. 27-T.Branch for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -30.8% · EPA -10.67]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass deep left to 11-K.Aiken for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN [51-F.Zombo]. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +6.65]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:22) — (9:22) No.79 - Stephenson reports as eligible. 35-C.West left tackle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-35-C.West, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +11.1% · EPA +4.16]

Quarterback report card

J.Clausen led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Clausen (Baltimore Ravens) · 53 dropbacks · 49.1% completion · -5.5% CPOE · -0.18 EPA/play · -9.63 total EPA
• A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 32 dropbacks · 65.6% completion · +13.3% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +7.47 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Kansas City Chiefs generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.25), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, -21.40 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 12 drives, +3.80 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• K. Aiken (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Clausen (BAL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Smith (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 54:22 · BAL 38 · Score 6-0
   (9:22) No.79 - Stephenson reports as eligible. 35-C.West left tackle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on KC-35-C.West, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforc
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 54:13 · BAL 15 · Score 7-0
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q1 51:35 · KC 1 · Score 7-6
   (6:35) 2-J.Clausen pass short left to 44-K.Juszczyk for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q1 51:30 · KC 15 · Score 7-7
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
5. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 48:03 · KC 30 · Score 13-7
   (3:03) (Shotgun) 37-J.Allen left guard to KC 27 for 3 yards (56-D.Johnson). FUMBLES (56-D.Johnson), RECOVERED by KC-27-T.Branch at KC 27. 27-T.Branch for 73 yar
6. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 47:49 · BAL 15 · Score 14-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. PENALTY on BAL-41-A.Levine, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · BAL 13 · Score 20-7
   (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 19-J.Maclin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 44:56 · BAL 15 · Score 21-7
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 30:54 · BAL 35 · Score 24-7
   (:54) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 30:04 · KC 48 · Score 24-13
    (:04) (Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass deep left to 11-K.Aiken for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN [51-F.Zombo].
11. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 30:00 · KC 15 · Score 24-14
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
12. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 6:50 · BAL 14 · Score 27-14
    (6:50) (Field Goal formation) 5-C.Santos 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
13. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 4:50 · KC 16 · Score 33-14
    (4:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-J.Clausen pass short right intended for 83-D.Brown INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at KC 10. 22-M.Peters for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 4:36 · BAL 15 · Score 34-14
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.