Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans: 2013 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-10, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Tennessee Titans, pulling away with a 29–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Fitzpatrick (Tennessee Titans) paced the passing game, with +7.51 total EPA, and +2.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Fitzpatrick (Tennessee Titans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.51 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tennessee Titans changed the game: (2:39) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at TEN 21 for -9 yards (24-W.Blackmon). FUMBLES (24-W.Blackmon), RECOVERED by JAX-24-W.Blackmon at TEN 21. 24-W.Blackmon for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Fitzpatrick · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +7.51 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Wright · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +5.38 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Walker · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +4.44 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.36 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Thompson · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.53 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Burton · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.75 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Harbor · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.35 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Fitzpatrick · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +1.34 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones-Drew (Q1 58:34)
• Tennessee Titans — T. Thompson (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 30:46)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Todman (Q3 25:22)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Fitzpatrick (Q4 4:21)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — W. Blackmon (Q4 2:39)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Walker (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q4 0:44)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q1 51:35)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 40:52)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q3 20:20)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q4 13:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 6 (Q1 58:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 32-M.Jones-Drew left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q1 58:29) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the TEN 14 (Q1 51:35) — (6:35) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the TEN 26 (Q2 40:52) — (10:52) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the JAX 9 (Q2 30:46) — (:46) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 84-T.Thompson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:41) — 2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 5 (Q3 25:22) — (10:22) 30-J.Todman left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q3 25:17) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 21 (Q3 20:20) — (5:20) (Field Goal formation) 2-R.Bironas 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The fourth quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 17–9. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 19 (Q4 13:00) — (13:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-R.Bironas 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the JAX 99 (Q4 7:55); Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q4 4:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:15) — 2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 70 (Q4 2:39); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q4 2:32) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the JAX 14 (Q4 0:44) — (:44) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 82-D.Walker for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 0:40) — 2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tennessee Titans (Q4 2:39) — (2:39) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at TEN 21 for -9 yards (24-W.Blackmon). FUMBLES (24-W.Blackmon), RECOVERED by JAX-24-W.Blackmon at TEN 21. 24-W.Blackmon for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.6% · EPA -7.18]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 14:25) — (14:25) 7-C.Henne pass deep left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Verner at JAX 32. 20-A.Verner to JAX 26 for 6 yards (30-J.Todman). [WPA -14.3% · EPA -2.84]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 36:33) — (6:33) 10-J.Locker FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 20, RECOVERED by JAX-50-R.Allen at JAX 17. 50-R.Allen to JAX 17 for no gain (71-M.Roos). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -4.90]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 59:54) — (14:54) 28-C.Johnson right tackle to TEN 19 for 4 yards (51-P.Posluszny). FUMBLES (51-P.Posluszny), RECOVERED by JAX-51-P.Posluszny at TEN 19. 51-P.Posluszny to TEN 19 for no gain (62-B.Schwenke). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.93]
• Tennessee Titans (Q4 4:31) — (4:31) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 13-K.Wright pushed ob at JAX 9 for 26 yards (27-D.Gratz). PENALTY on JAX-94-J.Mincey, Roughing the Passer, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 9. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +2.47]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tennessee Titans (Q4 2:39) — (2:39) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at TEN 21 for -9 yards (24-W.Blackmon). FUMBLES (24-W.Blackmon), RECOVERED by JAX-24-W.Blackmon at TEN 21. 24-W.Blackmon for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -29.6% · EPA -7.18]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 59:54) — (14:54) 28-C.Johnson right tackle to TEN 19 for 4 yards (51-P.Posluszny). FUMBLES (51-P.Posluszny), RECOVERED by JAX-51-P.Posluszny at TEN 19. 51-P.Posluszny to TEN 19 for no gain (62-B.Schwenke). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.93]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 36:33) — (6:33) 10-J.Locker FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 20, RECOVERED by JAX-50-R.Allen at JAX 17. 50-R.Allen to JAX 17 for no gain (71-M.Roos). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -4.90]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:03) — (9:03) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short right intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 52-C.McCarthy [91-D.Morgan] at JAX 35. 52-C.McCarthy to JAX 34 for 1 yard (89-M.Lewis). [WPA -4.9% · EPA -4.52]

Quarterback report card

R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Tennessee Titans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Fitzpatrick (Tennessee Titans) · 39 dropbacks · 56.4% completion · +2.1% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +7.51 total EPA
• C.Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 28 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +1.4% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -1.93 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Jacksonville Jaguars -0.07, Tennessee Titans -0.12) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 16 drives, -5.76 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Tennessee Titans: 15 drives, -10.93 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Fitzpatrick (Tennessee Titans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 58:34 · TEN 6 · Score 6-0
   (13:34) (Shotgun) 32-M.Jones-Drew left guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 58:29 · TEN 2 · Score 7-0
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 51:35 · TEN 14 · Score 10-0
   (6:35) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 40:52 · TEN 26 · Score 13-0
   (10:52) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
5. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 30:46 · JAX 9 · Score 13-6
   (:46) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 84-T.Thompson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 30:41 · JAX 2 · Score 13-7
   2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:22 · TEN 5 · Score 19-7
   (10:22) 30-J.Todman left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 25:17 · TEN 2 · Score 20-7
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
9. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q3 20:20 · JAX 21 · Score 20-10
   (5:20) (Field Goal formation) 2-R.Bironas 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
10. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q4 13:00 · JAX 19 · Score 20-13
    (13:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-R.Bironas 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q4 7:55 · JAX 99 · Score 22-13
    (7:55) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right to 23-S.Greene to TEN 2 for 1 yard (55-G.Hayes). PENALTY on TEN-70-C.Warmack, Offensive Holding, 1 yard, enfor
12. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 4:21 · JAX 4 · Score 22-19
    (4:21) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 4:15 · JAX 2 · Score 22-20
    2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:39 · JAX 70 · Score 28-20
    (2:39) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at TEN 21 for -9 yards (24-W.Blackmon). FUMBLES (24-W.Blackmon), RECOVERED by JAX-24-W.Blackmon at TEN 21. 24-W.Blackmon
15. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:32 · TEN 2 · Score 29-20
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-19-B.Anger.
16. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 0:44 · JAX 14 · Score 29-26
    (:44) (Shotgun) 4-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 82-D.Walker for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 0:40 · JAX 2 · Score 29-27
    2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.