Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2017 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-24, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 44–33 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +4.86 total EPA, and -0.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (8:51) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep middle intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 24-K.Williams at SF 47. 24-K.Williams to JAX 26 for 27 yards (85-J.Mickens).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Garoppolo · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +12.72 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Breida · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +6.76 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
3. 3 J. O'Shaughnessy · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.28 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Strong · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.20 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
5. 5 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.65 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Bortles · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.86 total EPA · 61 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Juszczyk · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Taylor · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.74 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — J. Garoppolo (Q1 55:20)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Johnson (Q2 41:13)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Fournette (Q2 35:15)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Strong (B. Bortles pass) (Q2 30:14)
• San Francisco 49ers — G. Kittle (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q3 21:51)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Taylor (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q4 10:42)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Hyde (Q4 9:03)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Yeldon (Q4 2:20)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. O'Shaughnessy (B. Bortles pass) (Q4 1:54)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Breida (Q4 1:31)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q1 50:46)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q3 26:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 55:20) — (10:20) 90-E.Mitchell reported in as eligible. 10-J.Garoppolo up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 55:18) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q1 50:46) — (5:46) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 16–6. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 56 (Q2 41:13); Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the JAX 15 (Q2 41:03); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q2 35:15); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 35:10) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q2 30:14); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 30:10) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the SF 27 (Q3 26:02) — (11:02) 4-J.Lambo 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q3 21:51) — (6:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at JAX 2. 2-YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 21:46) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 21–14. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q4 10:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 81-T.Taylor for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [22-A.Colvin]. 0-YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 10:39) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q4 9:03) — (9:03) 28-C.Hyde left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 8:59); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q4 2:20) — (2:20) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the SF 2 (Q4 2:17); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the SF 11 (Q4 1:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 30 (Q4 1:31) — (1:31) 22-M.Breida left end for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 1:24) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep middle intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 24-K.Williams at SF 47. 24-K.Williams to JAX 26 for 27 yards (85-J.Mickens). [WPA -15.3% · EPA -4.41]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:13) — (11:13) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 36-D.Johnson at 50. 36-D.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -8.28]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 42-B.Church [93-C.Campbell] at JAX -8. Touchback. [WPA -11.5% · EPA -4.49]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 28:15) — (13:15) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep left to 84-K.Cole pushed ob at SF 26 for 32 yards (45-T.Powell). Caught at SF 28. 2-YAC [WPA +11.0% · EPA +2.62]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:14) — (:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 10-J.Strong for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. SF-56-R.Foster was injured during the play. Pass was intended for and deflected by L.Fournette. 0-YAC [WPA +10.2% · EPA +2.85]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:13) — (11:13) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 36-D.Johnson at 50. 36-D.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -11.8% · EPA -8.28]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 10:34) — (10:34) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Witherspoon at JAX 41. 23-A.Witherspoon to JAX 18 for 23 yards (78-J.Parnell). [WPA -3.7% · EPA -5.69]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:31) — (1:31) 22-M.Breida left end for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.1% · EPA +4.52]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 31:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 84-K.Bourne INTERCEPTED by 42-B.Church [93-C.Campbell] at JAX -8. Touchback. [WPA -11.5% · EPA -4.49]

Quarterback report card

B.Bortles led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 61 dropbacks · 52.5% completion · -0.7% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +4.86 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 32 dropbacks · 65.6% completion · +9.0% CPOE · +0.40 EPA/play · +12.72 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 drives, -1.80 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, +9.87 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 55:20 · JAX 1 · Score 0-6
   (10:20) 90-E.Mitchell reported in as eligible. 10-J.Garoppolo up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 55:18 · JAX 15 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 50:46 · JAX 9 · Score 0-10
   (5:46) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 41:13 · SF 56 · Score 0-16
   (11:13) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle intended for 84-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 36-D.Johnson at 50. 36-D.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q2 41:03 · JAX 15 · Score 2-16
   9-R.Gould extra point is Blocked (31-J.Myrick), Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion. DEFENSIVE TWO-POINT ATTEMPT. 22-A.Colvin recovered the blocked kick. ATTE
6. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 35:15 · SF 1 · Score 8-16
   (5:15) (No Huddle) 27-L.Fournette up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 35:10 · SF 15 · Score 9-16
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 30:14 · SF 5 · Score 15-16
   (:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short middle to 10-J.Strong for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. SF-56-R.Foster was injured during the play. Pass was intended fo
9. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 30:10 · SF 15 · Score 16-16
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 26:02 · SF 27 · Score 19-16
    (11:02) 4-J.Lambo 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-C.Holba, Holder-3-B.Nortman.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 21:51 · JAX 8 · Score 19-22
    (6:51) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 85-G.Kittle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at JAX 2. 2-YAC
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 21:46 · JAX 15 · Score 19-23
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
13. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 10:42 · JAX 5 · Score 19-29
    (10:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 81-T.Taylor for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN [22-A.Colvin]. 0-YAC
14. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 10:39 · JAX 15 · Score 19-30
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
15. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 9:03 · JAX 6 · Score 19-36
    (9:03) 28-C.Hyde left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 8:59 · JAX 15 · Score 19-37
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion. PENALTY on JAX-31-J.Myrick, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:20 · SF 1 · Score 25-37
    (2:20) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q4 2:17 · SF 2 · Score 27-37
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-B.Bortles pass to 83-B.Koyack is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the
19. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:54 · SF 11 · Score 33-37
    (1:54) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
20. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 1:31 · JAX 30 · Score 33-43
    (1:31) 22-M.Breida left end for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
21. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 1:24 · JAX 15 · Score 33-44
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.