Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2009 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-11-29, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 20–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -7.36 total EPA, and +9.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Smith (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.45 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:53) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +7.45 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
2. 2 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +7.03 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.18 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
4. 4 E. Wilford · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Walker · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Jones-Drew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Jennings · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.81 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Crabtree · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.73 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (A. Smith pass) (Q2 39:02)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (A. Smith pass) (Q2 31:00)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q1 55:07)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:04)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q3 22:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the JAX 29 (Q1 55:07) — (10:07) 6-J.Nedney 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q2 39:02) — (9:02) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at JAX 3.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 38:58) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q2 31:00); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:52) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q3 22:29) — (7:29) 6-J.Nedney 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:53) — (13:53) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -3.71]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 40:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 15-M.Crabtree to JAX 9 for 27 yards (20-A.Smith). Caught at JAX 20. [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.67]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 48:19) — (3:19) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short left [96-K.Balmer]. PENALTY on JAX-9-D.Garrard, Intentional Grounding, 10 yards, enforced at SF 46. [WPA -7.7% · EPA -1.93]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:24) — (:24) 4-A.Lee punts 51 yards to JAX 11, Center-86-B.Jennings. 38-B.Witherspoon to SF 47 for 42 yards (55-A.Brooks). SF-28-C.Taylor was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA -7.4% · EPA -1.95]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 27:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at SF 24 for -7 yards (99-M.Lawson). FUMBLES (99-M.Lawson) [99-M.Lawson], RECOVERED by SF-94-J.Smith at SF 27. 94-J.Smith to SF 27 for no gain (73-E.Britton). D.Ga [WPA -6.9% · EPA -5.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 27:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at SF 24 for -7 yards (99-M.Lawson). FUMBLES (99-M.Lawson) [99-M.Lawson], RECOVERED by SF-94-J.Smith at SF 27. 94-J.Smith to SF 27 for no gain (73-E.Britton). D.Ga [WPA -6.9% · EPA -5.28]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 9-D.Garrard sacked at SF 26 for -12 yards (sack split by 94-J.Smith and 98-P.Haralson). FUMBLES (94-J.Smith) [98-P.Haralson], RECOVERED by SF-91-R.McDonald at SF 34. 91-R.McDonald to SF 34 for [WPA -2.5% · EPA -4.46]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:53) — (13:53) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -3.71]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:39) — (7:39) 10-J.Scobee 21 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. [WPA -2.0% · EPA -3.66]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 46 dropbacks · 54.3% completion · +9.6% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -7.36 total EPA
• A.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 42 dropbacks · 64.3% completion · +0.9% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +7.45 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.19), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -14.88 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +2.34 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Smith (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 55:07 · JAX 29 · Score 0-3
   (10:07) 6-J.Nedney 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
2. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 39:02 · JAX 3 · Score 0-9
   (9:02) 11-A.Smith pass short left to 85-V.Davis for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at JAX 3.
3. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 38:58 · JAX 2 · Score 0-10
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 31:00 · JAX 4 · Score 0-16
   (1:00) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 21-F.Gore for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 30:52 · JAX 2 · Score 0-17
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · SF 14 · Score 3-17
   (:04) 10-J.Scobee 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 22:29 · JAX 9 · Score 3-20
   (7:29) 6-J.Nedney 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.